The Global Risk Index is a ratio of 3 simple macro signals.
No weights, no fitting parameters.
3 signals independent of Bitcoin, larger than Bitcoin, that explain Bitcoin’s cycles.
Discussed in latest issue, covered in more detail next week: techdev52.com/p/techdev-news…
🔴 Top = Business cycle (BC) peaks, so BTC peaks
🟣 Bear market = BC and BTC fall together
🟢 Bull market ramp = BC keeps falling while BTC grinds up
🔴 Bull market parabola = BC reverses, so BC and BTC rise together
Where are we now?
Bear market while reds decline.
Bull market ramp when bars green.
Goes parabolic when bars go red.
Red profile mirrors parabola profile.
Impulse tops at blue peaks.
USD tops at red peaks.
We’re still green.
The global business cycle has dictated every aspect of Bitcoin’s.
Bitcoin Cycles Explained...
USD tops at red bar tops.
(not even red yet)
Impulse tops at blue signal tops.
(last cycle only one where red and blue were different - why most alts topped May 2021)
Bear market while red bars decline.
(ends when bars go green)
Bull market ramp…
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皆さんがそうしなくてもいいように、私たちは金融と経済の第三レールに触れています。