Benjamin 98 @YuBenjamin12

What lessons can we learn from history? Joined December 2022

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Benjamin 98 @YuBenjamin12

4 weeks ago

3韩信最大的误判，是认为“只要我不主动反，刘邦就不会杀我”。他既不愿背叛刘邦，又不愿彻底放弃自己的实力，试图两边都保住。但在刘邦眼中，拥有巨大军功、军队和政治威望的韩信，本身就是潜在威胁。韩信等安全，刘邦等时机。

Benjamin 98 @YuBenjamin12

4 weeks ago

韩信高估了刘邦的“仁”，低估了刘邦的“疑”。他认为自己功劳巨大，又受刘邦知遇，因此刘邦不会加害于他。但蒯彻看得更透：功劳越大、实力越强，越容易引起君主忌惮。韩信把“知遇之恩”当成安全保障，却忽略了权力斗争的残酷逻辑。

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