Mai. @_MMahmoud

A sun-loving Egyptian working towards a 100% renewable energy world @UniLUT #SolarEconomy Lappeenranta, Suomi Joined February 2011

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

@Daverik80 9/ Conclusions presented @_MMahmoud: Excellent solar resources lead to PV dominance in the energy-industry system & substantial energy cost reduction for zero CO2. Jobs are created & health improved. Bifacial PV is least cost. #PtXeconomy describes best the new system.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

@Daverik80 8/ Results 5: The energy flows in 2040 reveal a Power-to-X Economy as almost all primary energy is composed by electricity which is converted in all final energy forms needed. Solar-to-X Economy may be the better term.

Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

@Daverik80 7/ Results 4: Electricity generation cost can be halved from >60 €/MWh to <30 €/MWh. Levelised cost of energy across all fuels/sectors can be reduced. CO2 emissions in the power sector can be zero in 2040 and in all energy sectors by 2050.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

@Daverik80 6/ Results 3: Battery storage used as diurnal storage. Hydrogen functions as buffer storage to enable baseload H2-to-X synthesis (ammonia, methanol, kerosene jet fuel). Low-cost electrolysers run according to solar PV availability in least cost mode.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

@Daverik80 4/ Results 1: final energy declines thanks to efficient electrification esp. in transportation. Electricity emerges to the dominating primary energy source. Fuels demand can be halved.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

@Daverik80 3/ Scenario & Modelling: Zero CO2 emissions & #100RE for 2050, 7 mainland regions, full energy-industry system, 9 PV system options, utility-scale bifacial PV phase-in according to #ITRPV

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

2/ Methods: LUT-ESTM was expanded by bifacial PV systems for fixed, 1-axis & vertical PV for #agrivoltaics. Now covering 9 PV system options: prosumers (RES, COM, IND), utility-scale: fixed & 1-axis (mono & bifacial), offshore floating PV, agrivoltaics: vertical PV. @Daverik80

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

1/ @EUPVSEC presentation @UniLUT @OTH_Regensburg @ujaen @serendipv_eu on the energy transition in #Spain & #Portugal. Expanded LUT-ESTM modelling features emphasise the enormous value of solar PV. #PtXeconomy the new normal for Iberia.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

8/ Emerging sunbelt countries are in a prime position to provide global e-fuels/chemicals exports & CO2 removal services, thereby enhancing domestic costs & experience with main #RE technologies & feedstocks, & driving foreign investments for the #RE transition in such countries.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

7/ Combining both services would require 2.3 times the total primary energy demand of the reference scenario by 2050. Yet, the total area demand of the main #RE technologies still remains at 3.6% of #Egypt’s total area, posing no land use conflicts.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

6/ Offering CO2 removal services alone or with e-fuels/chemicals exports, can lower domestic annual system costs by 15% (2050). It also lowers the costs of feedstock, like #CO2 & #H2 by 36% & 18%, compared to the reference self-sufficiency scenario .

Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

5/ Core results show that #Egypt can utilise either solar PV coupled with batteries & heat pumps or CSP coupled with thermal energy storage to effectively provide CO2 removal services, with most capacities installed in the southern regions owing to their high solar yields.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

4/ Methods: LUT Energy System Transition Model (LUT-ESTM) was used. LUT-ESTM is one of the most used #100RE models & it’s the 1st #100RE tool with multiple #DACCU & #DACCS features ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/99446… ; ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/98379… Sectors modeled in hourly & 7 regions resolution.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

3/ Literature review reveals the potential role of sunbelt countries, esp. in the #MENA region, to provide such services. This is the first study that analyses the techno-economic impact of such a potential on the exporter’s energy system.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

2/ Key insights: offering as much as 10% of the projected European e-fuels/e-chemicals demand and 5% of the global required CO2 removal volume is feasible via 2 different system configurations with positive impacts on the domestic energy system

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

1/ New research @UniLUT on the techno-economic impact of e-fuels/chemicals exports and providing CO2 removal services on the energy system of emerging sunbelt countries on the case of #Egypt: doi.org/10.1016/j.apen… @_MMahmoud

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

8/ Leapfrogging of emerging countries is clearly documented in this research, as in research on entire Africa cell.com/iscience/fullt… and in a conceptional framing on leapfrogging of emerging countries sciencedirect.com/science/articl…. Waiting is not an option ise.fraunhofer.de/en/publication….

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

7/ Standards of living in #Egypt can go up to high levels, thanks to excellent renewable resources. Scenarios find 2400-2500 TWh of electricity supply by renewables by 2050. Emerging sunbelt countries are on the bright side of low-cost & sustainable energy for their development.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

6/ The least cost, i.e. fastest energy transition case is also the case with the lowest CO2 emissions. Another indication that low-cost and highest levels of sustainability go hand in hand.

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Christian Breyer 🦣 @ChristianOnRE

2 years ago

5/ Levelised costs of energy and feedstock, also of electricity CLEARLY indicate that an as fast as possible energy transition towards #100RE is the least cost case for #Egypt. This STRONGLY challenges the (old) rational that emerging economies may have a slower transition.