Looking for value, focused on O&G, Mining and Shipping - It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t sozerogcos.substack.comJoined January 2023
Rio2 left an incredible nugget in the water announcement. Targeting >300,000oz/a starting 2031. Take whatever capex assumptions you want, that implies a NPV5 (discounted to today!) of >$3.5B at consensus $2,750/oz. 0.6x P/NAV mult, 1.3 CAD/USD, 445 Msh, gives a target >C$6/sh
Rio2 left an incredible nugget in the water announcement. Targeting >300,000oz/a starting 2031. Take whatever capex assumptions you want, that implies a NPV5 (discounted to today!) of >$3.5B at consensus $2,750/oz. 0.6x P/NAV mult, 1.3 CAD/USD, 445 Msh, gives a target >C$6/sh
Namibia’s Orange Basin has emerged as a major exploration frontier though deepwater is slow. Years of appraisal, infrastructure planning and fiscal clarity stand between today’s discoveries and tomorrow’s output—meaning Namibia won’t be a meaningful producer until the 2030s $OOTT…
$Ark.v mid day release (unintentionally) was a disappointment in content (two holes, mehh) but over (panic) reaction IMO -33%. Will try and scoop some up down here.
Gonna need to do some rep damage control @arrasminerals
With the $CVX arbitration win over $XOM marking a new phase in Guyana’s offshore story, Namibia is emerging as the next major deepwater frontier, with competitive bids underway for a large stake in Galp’s Mopane discovery 🇬🇾 🇳🇦 #OOTT
(1) ExxonMobil began developing Guyana’s…
Really like this transaction — strong short- to mid-term organic growth potential and a deeper PTTEP partnership, possibly setting up future M&A. But the huge cash pile is still just sitting there. The capital structure remains utterly inefficient. If the focus is shifting to…
Really like this transaction — strong short- to mid-term organic growth potential and a deeper PTTEP partnership, possibly setting up future M&A. But the huge cash pile is still just sitting there. The capital structure remains utterly inefficient. If the focus is shifting to…
First article is out. Free for all to read.
I cover the life of Nicholas Pritzker, which I consider central to understanding the Pritzker story.
He immigrated, gritted his way to be the family’s first attorney, and established an ethos that defined the family for generations.
Galp is marketing its 80% stake in the Mopane discovery (10B BOE in-place est) in Namibia’s Orange Basin 🇳🇦 Despite softer markets in 2025, the greenfield play has drawn interest from $TTE, $PBR, and others. Bidding is expected to conclude soon.
Petrobras’ CEO recently stated it…
Imho the near-term risk of Israeli strikes on Iranian export capacity (Kharg, etc.) >>> the risk of Tehran blockading the Strait of Hormuz.
But, if Iran loses the capacity to export most of its crude, that then in turn really stokes the risk of Iranian attacks in the Strait.
Arras Minerals to Mobilize Second Drill Rig to Elemes Project, Provides Exploration Update, and Announces Termination of Beskauga Option Agreement $ARK.V tinyurl.com/29eqcqss
0 Followers 25 FollowingCreated this account in the metals bull market of 2025.
Energy/metals focused.
Not investment advice. DYOD.
Probably I'm just liying half the time.
70 Followers 3K Following17 años de experiencia en bolsa • Inversor y Agente Asesor del Inver Value Global Fund (ES0131445142) • Inversión con Sentido Común &https://t.co/erCqrOSpBM
5K Followers 863 FollowingInversor en valor | Gestor de mi patrimonio.
"Price is what you pay, VALUE is what you get"
Rentabilidad CAGR '16-22: 15%
Podcast en Ivoox "Silicon Value"
124 Followers 2K FollowingLong shitcos that can grow EPS (FCF) at 15% for a few years. Occasionally long unprofitable shitcos if I'm in the mood for losing money
92 Followers 2 FollowingNortilus is a data driven researc platform focusing on equities in shipping, offshore and commodities.
Launching in October 2025!
https://t.co/kt2pwUpn4N
1K Followers 75 FollowingCommodore Research publishes Weekly China Reports, Weekly Executive Reports, and Global Advisory Notes. Free trials at https://t.co/cycJ3FXta2
15K Followers 293 FollowingHedge fund mgr. Not financial advice. Happy to debate ideas, especially shorts. River Road Partners is a made-up name for X, by the way, so don’t bother.
7K Followers 317 FollowingWe publish research reports in the public interest. Not investment advice.
Our social media manager is dyslexic.
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2K Followers 727 FollowingLong shitcos that can grow EPS (FCF) at 15% for a few years. Occasionally long unprofitable shitcos if I’m in the mood for losing money
719 Followers 187 FollowingSemi retired financial executive. Recovering corporate treasurer. Still trying to figure out stuff. Not financial advice. Snark and wise guy. Live life well.
1K Followers 1K FollowingWe are just a team of seventeen-year-olds publishing our thoughts on companies with a huge value gap. No tweets should be taken as financial advise.
5K Followers 284 FollowingEnergy lifer and mostly regretting it. Founder of AFE Leaks. 25% value add, 75% dad jokes. OXY always submits a counter-bid.https://t.co/kLoinkva4J
816 Followers 71 FollowingInvestigative journalism - exposing fraud - information arbitrage
nothing I post is financial advice, everything is to the best of my knowledge and belief
656 Followers 751 FollowingIndividual investor focussed on value, small caps and resources. I generally tweet about stocks I own. Not financial advice.
2K Followers 414 FollowingStocks, Value, & Counter-Strike. Ahead and already in the next frontier of tech. Not financial advice. Some health writing https://t.co/d7uhmaqaDi
3K Followers 3K FollowingHindsight is infallible. Being good involves recognizing when you’re lucky & pounding the table w/ conviction. Not investment advice. U win some, U learn some
23K Followers 708 FollowingLooking for investments to sleepwell (public+private). Music, Consumer, Tech and Luxury. Independent artist & engineer. Opinions my own,disclaimers on Substack.
247 Followers 98 Following🇨🇭-based, 🇸🇪-educated, 🇬🇷 at heart 💙| Investor in companies (passion & job) | All statements are personal opinion | No investment advice - DYODD!