Dallas Crain @_dallascrain
Joined June 2015-
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Basically everything we're getting indicates a 2020 repeat. It's likely to be an extremely close election, with marginal movement towards either side overall. Texas was R+5.5 in 2020, so this is entirely consistent with that.
Basically everything we're getting indicates a 2020 repeat. It's likely to be an extremely close election, with marginal movement towards either side overall. Texas was R+5.5 in 2020, so this is entirely consistent with that.
Right. If I ever see a leftist say anything negative about Nancy Pelosi ever again, you all deserve electoral exile for eternity.
Party elites, which include e.g. elected officials, donors, WH staffers, labor and interest group leaders, and influential media members, have a lot of power according to academic studies of modern political parties. They demonstrated it by e.g. coming to Biden's aid in 2020.
Party elites, which include e.g. elected officials, donors, WH staffers, labor and interest group leaders, and influential media members, have a lot of power according to academic studies of modern political parties. They demonstrated it by e.g. coming to Biden's aid in 2020.
I have just completed a minor household task which I have been putting off for 18 months. It took me 15 minutes. Will I learn from this? I will not.
Analogue Pocket was awarded for Best Inventions of 2022 by @TIME Magazine. time.com/collection/bes…
Twitter in a month from now ✅💫
What a time to be alive.
Each 5 min more moderate to vigorous exercise a day is associated with 19 - 79 days younger epigenetic age. 1500 more steps, 10 months! tinyurl.com/yc3n6mb5
@geoffreyvs Okay but here me out: Biden vs. Trump vs. Cheney (I) vs. The Rock (I)
My King.
Only 241 days 🥳
Apple Watch series 8 is for people who don't want to die, the ultra is for people who do
Here is am about to spend over $1,000 dollars on a new iPhone because the animations of a rounded rectangle were *that* good.
Trying to recreate 1978 by cramming the Global War on Terror square into the Cold War circle is a big part of the Establishment's undoing. If anything, 9/11 put off/made worse the GOP reckoning; recall that W ran in 2000 against nation building and favored social spending.
Trying to recreate 1978 by cramming the Global War on Terror square into the Cold War circle is a big part of the Establishment's undoing. If anything, 9/11 put off/made worse the GOP reckoning; recall that W ran in 2000 against nation building and favored social spending.
If you're a progressive concerned about conservative judicial overreach then frankly a) it's probably just getting started; b) there's not a lot you can do about it in the short term (other than win elections). So maybe it's time to expand the time horizon to 5, 10, 20 years.
Age limits for people in power seems smart
Matching is easier on the Internet—e.g. finding a romantic partner who shares your personality and interests—but there's also nemesis matching. Twitter exposes you to people you'll find uniquely, incredibly, WTF-level annoying: your anti-soulmates.
Regression to the mean is an unintuitive yet pervasive phenomenon and is among the tools of rationality that should become second nature to educated people.
Education and income are sometimes lumped together under "socioeconomic status". But they're different, politically. Increased educational attainment correlates with Democratic voting whereas increased income correlates with Republican voting *once you control for education*.
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