David Shor @davidshor
Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹 blueroseresearch.org New York, NY Joined November 2007-
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Takeaways: 1/ Protests generate significant but short-lived online activity (Google searches + tweets). 2/ Protests have no effect on political opinions and attitudes. 3/ The exception is Black Lives Matter, which might have affected political views and voting behavior.
If you have the relevant skills, this is a way to really directly contribute to saving the country and you should do it —>
If you have the relevant skills, this is a way to really directly contribute to saving the country and you should do it —>
For decades, social science has 'known' that women are more religious than men. However, if you track the religiosity of young adults - something really interesting happened. Women are more likely to claim no religious affiliation than men. It started around 2016.
Super excited to announce new openings for SOFTWARE ENGINEERS ahead of the 2024 cycle. This is a great opportunity to work on cutting edge machine learning problems for the biggest groups in the Democratic party!
Democrats gain in congressional elections when policy moves rightward & Republicans gain when policy moves too far leftward, but this does not fully account for the president's midterm penalty Our newly accepted article: researchgate.net/publication/38…
When is LLMs' #AlphaGOZero moment? Imagine #LLMs self-evolving without human supervision 🔥🔥🔥 Through #selfplay in an adversarial language game 🕹️, we observe continuous improvements in LLM reasoning 🚀. #AGI is getting closer! Check our paper at arxiv.org/abs/2404.10642!
It's difficult to explain advanced hyperdimensional quantum European racism to Americans but: not only is this the racist candidate, these are literally her #1 most racist supporters
It's difficult to explain advanced hyperdimensional quantum European racism to Americans but: not only is this the racist candidate, these are literally her #1 most racist supporters https://t.co/0ZY6D547ud
@davidshor @UCBerkeley @BrankoMilan Yes! Here is the 2008-18 version. While I like the long time span of the original -- it's very hard to measure global inequality shifts over short time spans -- the update is another good reason to be optimistic. stonecenter.gc.cuny.edu/files/2024/01/…
Young American men commit much fewer crimes than previous generations did at the same age. academic.oup.com/bjc/article-ab…
@omnius_eacc @burny_tech Most voters are just very authoritarian relative to what exists in elite social circles and what’s happening is that the institutions that were built to suppress those views from being expressed politically have been subverted by technological and demographic change.
@omnius_eacc @burny_tech Most voters are just very authoritarian relative to what exists in elite social circles and what’s happening is that the institutions that were built to suppress those views from being expressed politically have been subverted by technological and demographic change.
@omnius_eacc @burny_tech The idea that the political disruption we’re seeing across the west is due to our dysfunctional institutions (IE, academia, science, etc) is quite popular among tech folks and rationalists but it really is completely wrong.
Our first experiment gave voters a series of campaign leaflets headlines to find out which voters were most likely to read on. MaxDiff analysis then shows leaflets leading on culture war topics were generally *far less likely* to be read than those on bread/butter issues
Sadly, you do in fact need to say Joe Biden's name to persuade voters to vote for him. No cheat codes or shortcuts here. theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
Hey you! You should check out this cool new paper. "War Causes Religiosity" The authors scraped web images of hundreds of thousands of gravestones of deceased U.S. Americans. People who were randomly drafted into war are at least 20% more likely to have religious gravestones
@poiThePoi @Chuck3737 @MrRBourne But I will say that the US simultaneously becoming more equal in terms of income inequality and pulling away in terms of per capita growth from the rest of the OECD in the past ten years is not something that I (or anyone else I think?) expected and we should try to learn policy…
@Chuck3737 @MrRBourne There’s an age old question about the inequality/growth trade-off that I won’t speak to, but one concrete way that high p90/p10 ratios hurt the US is that it makes providing high quality public services much more expensive, because the opportunity cost from the private sector is…
As one would expect from an ancestrally Democratic area, there are a number of Democratic county officials in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. However, these Dem officeholders are not evenly distributed as their presence aligns with higher concentrations of Finnish-Americans.
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
542K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnistJosh Barro @jbarro
285K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/ZoyMCO4aN5), I host the Very Serious podcast, & I co-host https://t.co/UzPB0fX8QJ w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot comJames Medlock @jdcmedlock
102K Followers 2K Following Tax enthusiast. Hyperinflation doubter. Soc dem in the streets, market socialist in the sheets. 🧦🏗️New Liberals 🌐🇺.. @CNLiberalism
84K Followers 1K Following Liberal, Open, and Radically Pragmatic. The home for the center-left. Part of @NewDemocracySenior PowerPoint Eng.. @ryxcommar
42K Followers 3K Following Risk manager @AlamedaResearch. | Prev: QA engineer at Knight Capital Group | he/him | https://t.co/Z2YNAksZLOJoey Politano 🏳️.. @JosephPolitano
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56K Followers 3K Following correspondent @heatmap_news matthew at heatmap dot newsMatt Darling 🌐🏗.. @besttrousers
47K Followers 3K Following Senior Employment Policy Analyst @niskanencenter. Chief Neoliberal Shill 2023. Labor/behavioral economics and causal inference.Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
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42K Followers 1K Following Corporate attorney in America's natural gas industry. Chief Neoliberal Shill Emeritus. I argue for liberty, an open society, and the Constitution. Views my own.Conor Sen @conorsen
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188 Followers 439 Following∯ @Thrasymachus5
21 Followers 3K Followingゆい @RussellAli28609
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4 Followers 132 Following奥野志季 @ao_zhi41016
99 Followers 1K Following 親友に莫大な借金を背負わされたけど、始めてその日に20万円稼ぐことに成功し、3カ月間この日給を下回る事無く継続中💅 嬉しい声数々もらってます🍑 本日付けで入金される在宅ワーク⛱️ ↓ https://t.co/kpSblynXvDJames Rasmussen @MoPack09
3 Followers 521 FollowingSam @LegendBartlett2
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5 Followers 191 Followingo @hotentropy
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3 Followers 324 FollowingPion Star @PionStar99
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12 Followers 713 Following Aspiring sexologist. Interested in philosophy, psychoanalysis, and ecology. 21 year old bisexual transwoman, living in Australia.Sondre Engebrethsen @Sondre_Enge
242 Followers 1K Following Norwegian PhD Student in exile at @UCSDEcon, in an attempt to avoid harsh winters. Talk Political Economics, Environmental Economics and Economic Theory to me.Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
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285K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/ZoyMCO4aN5), I host the Very Serious podcast, & I co-host https://t.co/UzPB0fX8QJ w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot comJames Medlock @jdcmedlock
102K Followers 2K Following Tax enthusiast. Hyperinflation doubter. Soc dem in the streets, market socialist in the sheets. 🧦🏗️New Liberals 🌐🇺.. @CNLiberalism
84K Followers 1K Following Liberal, Open, and Radically Pragmatic. The home for the center-left. Part of @NewDemocracySenior PowerPoint Eng.. @ryxcommar
42K Followers 3K Following Risk manager @AlamedaResearch. | Prev: QA engineer at Knight Capital Group | he/him | https://t.co/Z2YNAksZLOJoey Politano 🏳️.. @JosephPolitano
64K Followers 1K Following Writing a data-driven newsletter about economics @ https://t.co/IanQ9oPoPi | Nuance? In this economy? | he/him | Bi/panMatthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin
56K Followers 3K Following correspondent @heatmap_news matthew at heatmap dot newsMatt Darling 🌐🏗.. @besttrousers
47K Followers 3K Following Senior Employment Policy Analyst @niskanencenter. Chief Neoliberal Shill 2023. Labor/behavioral economics and causal inference.Darrell Owens @IDoTheThinking
44K Followers 1K Following Data Analyst. Housing and Transit wonk. My tweets and retweets do not represent my employer.Conor Sen @conorsen
92K Followers 295 Following Columnist for @opinion. Founder of Peachtree Creek Investments. Sun Belt/monoculture enthusiast. The future is a policy choice.Adam Ozimek @ModeledBehavior
83K Followers 868 Following Chief economist at @InnovateEconomy. Host of the EconTwitter Water Cooler, live on twitter spaces and downloadable here: https://t.co/toyjfDruRukingseeker peter fram.. @revhowardarson
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13K Followers 619 Following Infosec, politics, and fast food. Subscribe to my newsletter https://t.co/OUpl9s9C0iG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
118K Followers 528 Following editorial director of data analytics @abc news + 538. author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS: how polls work and why we need them https://t.co/c8nxYdnpks.Drew Savicki @DrewSav
41K Followers 6K Following Politics, elections, stuff. CT-IL-NC. Bad speller. KISS fan, all around pop culture guy. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙♂️🗺️ He/HimJonathan Chait @jonathanchait
204K Followers 735 Following Writer for New York magazine. Tweets with links are intended as prompts to read the linked story, not self-contained arguments substituting for the linked storyJake Anbinder @JakeAnbinder
29K Followers 4K Following American historian and Klarman Fellow @Cornell. I write about NIMBYs (but I don't call them that). I only check this site intermittently now—reach me via email.Special Puppy 🧦�.. @SpecialPuppy1
7K Followers 573 Following I’m not afraid of RUFFhousing.Bernie Sanders-Bill Clinton Democrat. Intriguing, Infuriating, and Completely Baffling. CEO,influencer, anti-masturbation activistMuyao @MuyaoShen
8K Followers 872 Following magic money on the Internet @crypto via @business | formerly @CoinDesk | tweets are my own | mshen118 (at) https://t.co/aYIh8D3zXP OR DM for SignalChris Elmendorf @CSElmendorf
7K Followers 516 Following The law prof at UC Davis, not the developer in San Diego. Dad. Denizen of San Francisco. Patron of Amtrak. Tweets are my own, not statements of UC. (he/him)midnightjon.bsky.soci.. @MidnightJon
673 Followers 637 Following #BlackLivesMatter • Had working kidneys once. 32, deaf mixed-race bi raised Mennonite w/ MPA & MUP, working for DFAS. Tired™. Land value tax would solve this.Josh Lerner @josh_lerner
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26K Followers 267 Following Founder of @ProgressLibs • Gen-Z • 🇲🇽 Immigrant • 2Gay2Live • big fan of Voting and SuccessionMelissa Waage @melissawaage
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544 Followers 178 Following A curious Bayesian interested in the signaling nature of public opinions.Toby Muresianu 🇺�.. @tobyhardtospell
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269 Followers 372 Following Researcher @Tencent, PhD @DukeU, BS @Tsinghua_Uni, Intern @Microsoft @neclabs, #LLM #NLP #DeepLearningAlex Trembath @atrembath
12K Followers 5K Following Deputy Director @TheBTI. Ecomodernist. Promethean Hamiltonian Schumpeterian meliorist.Ant Breach @AntBreach
8K Followers 4K Following Housing, Planning, Devolution, and Urban Economics @CentreforCities. Stuff on Ukraine + Eastern Europe and Japan + East Asia too. Views own etc. 🥑🇺🇦Chenoa Yorgason @ChenoaYorgason
114 Followers 147 Following PhD candidate @StanfordPoliSci. Professionally into elections, $, inequality, local politics; personally into falling off boulders. Past: Pitt, Seattle, HawaiiAdam Gluck (🖖/acc) @adamgluck
949 Followers 1K Following ceo + founder @ copia automation, “tech person” in new york, building a better future 🇺🇸🌎🤖AI at Meta @AIatMeta
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242 Followers 587 Following Postdoc @Columbia. I study memory, as far as I recall.Ben (e/sqlite) @andersonbcdefg
3K Followers 3K Following 🤖 Computer scientist, next-word-prediction enjoyer 📊 Prev. research fellow @ Stanford RegLab 🛠️ bUiLdiNg sOmeThiNg nEw (https://t.co/mdYPZmjSzN - YC S23) 🏳️🌈Sahar Tartak🇮🇱�.. @sahar_tartak
11K Followers 372 Following Proud Jew. Words (spoken and written) in @WSJ, @NRO, @Quillette, @FreeBeacon, @theFP and more. DMs open!Laura London @lauralondon_
3K Followers 790 Following interested in western civilization, culture, and the individual | CA water abundance | fellow @rootsofprogressJohn Voorheis @john_voorheis
7K Followers 735 Following Principal Economist, Center for Economic Studies at @uscensusbureau. I study how people, places, businesses and the environment interact. Opinions my own.corvid friend @ahabstanaccount
484 Followers 772 Following keep on gaming, but never become arrogantnotsaila @notsaila
167 Followers 86 FollowingAli Ahmadi @AliR_Ahmadi
5K Followers 2K Following Sanctions, Export Controls and Geoeconomics. Executive Fellow @theGCSP, Analyst @GulfStateAnalyt. [email protected]Billy Corben @BillyCorben
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649 Followers 3K Following 🤝 Partner @changemediagrp | ✍️ Creator 'Changemaker' | 🇺🇸 Ex-@DNC & @BarackObama | 🚗 Flint native | 👨👧👦 Dad 2 Amelia & Malcolm | 🧠 Brain & Psych BuffPoi - not traveling @poiThePoi
1K Followers 419 Following I travel to take pictures and ride roller coasters. Don't say you weren't warned. Test bio update for the blue check bugNick Hanauer @NickHanauer
51K Followers 392 Following Entrepreneur, venture capitalist, civic activist, philanthropist, author. Host of Pitchfork Economics. NOT a billionaire. https://t.co/Fuy7e45FDQSusan Zhang @suchenzang
20K Followers 505 Following @ Google Deepmind. Past: @MetaAI, @OpenAI, @unitygames, @losalamosnatlab, @Princeton etc. Always hungry for compute.Andrew Stern @andrewbstern
279 Followers 667 Following comms @OpenNYforall once @a24 @producersguildinsane moments in bri.. @PoliticsMoments
134K Followers 1 Following UK politics isn't normal. Reminding people of the strange and downright insane moments that we have had to bear through the years. DM for ideasLaila Chima ✨ @lailachima
3K Followers 278 Following talking about the real things ✨ previously eng @stripe, @ycombinator backed CTO, @stanfordsymsys 💕🦋Menchaca 萬齊�.. @cmenchaca
19K Followers 6K Following ✊🏽 Power is with the People 🚲 🇲🇽🇺🇸🏳️🌈 former @nyccouncil District 38Jhourney @jhanatech
3K Followers 281 Following Data-driven education for blissful meditation. Check out our upcoming meditation retreats -- IRL and Online, accessible globallyDavid Petersen @typesfaster
6K Followers 2K FollowingErin Grant @ermgrant
3K Followers 1K Following Senior Research Fellow @GatsbyUCL & @SWC_Neuro {learning, representations, structure} in 🧠💭🤖 @[email protected] @[email protected]scott cunningham @causalinf
54K Followers 6K Following Economics professor paying it forward with 55 burgers, 55 fries, 55 tacos, 55 pies, 55 Cokes, 100 tater tots, 100 pizzas, 100 tenders, 100 meatballsGary Marcus @GaryMarcus
145K Followers 7K Following “A beacon of clarity”. Spoke at US Senate AI Oversight committee. Founder/CEO Geometric Intelligence (acq. by Uber). Rebooting AI & Taming Silicon Valley.Cristine Rice @PstafarianPrice
8K Followers 4K Following Notes from someone that does not put toast in shoes ————————— Professional software engineer, amateur curmudgeonDanielle Bett @daniellebett
5K Followers 2K Following Scottish-Israeli. Jewish. Person. Any views expressed are my own.Wei-Lin Chiang @infwinston
3K Followers 852 Following CS PhD student at UC Berkeley. co-lead of Chatbot Arena @lmsysorgtil SQLite's code of conduct is just the Benedictine Rule sqlite.org/codeofethics.h…
I often encourage folks to "embrace the uncertainty" -- this @beccasiegel talk is fantastic on this score and should be required watching for anyone entering political polling/analytics. We are lucky to have her.
.@beccasiegel, Senior Adviser on the Biden campaign gave a fun talk on Presidential campaigns & analytics. Fun chart showing some 2020 forecasts (and talk about age imputation in Wisconsin...a nerdy delight) youtube.com/watch?v=JSRX3j…
Political ground on housing has fundamentally shifted in the last five years, and some of the biggest changes have been at the state-level. I wrote about how to think about these new bills and new laws vox.com/policy/2413626…
This is a pretty normal set of protest messaging and community guidelines and I don’t get why people are being weird about it.
The Community Guidelines at the George Washington University encampment are very much like what Hamas would want for them, especially “no sexual relationships” part.
econ programs choosing film school grads over predocs because they're better at reel analysis
A Harvard economics student Wesley Wang spent 2+ years making a short film in high school and posted it online. Darren Aronofsky saw it & emailed him. After a bidding war, TriStar Pictures bought the rights. Wang will adapt it to film to be produced by Aronofsky’s Protozoa firm.
@stefan_meyer98 @davidandrz about ~ 15 years ago a bunch of us working in utility policy did math & margins were impossibly small, we suggested just letting utilities rate base charger networks, boom, done. VCs in valley & other startup types screamed hell no. They thought electricity was high margin.
Honestly kind of remarkable that we had one of the deadliest mass killings of law enforcement officers in U.S. history yesterday, yet the overwhelming amount of media attention (even the right-wing ones!) is still being given to children setting up tents on campus quads
National Science Foundation funding in political science went overwhelmingly to quantitative research & methods, helping to drive the field in that direction cambridge.org/core/journals/…
I too say this every month and never succeed
It’s just really sad to see this happening. The people who will be most harmed are students in red states. We all have to work to restore faith in higher Ed.
UNC-Chapel Hill officials secretly recorded classes taught by a veteran economics professor — apparently violating Kenan-Flagler Business School policy in the process. ⬇️ theassemblync.com/education/high…
I wrote this in 2019, and I remember the copy desk treated me like I was crazy. vox.com/policy-and-pol…
the North American Numbering Plan Administration assigned the area code 321 to the part of Florida where Cape Canaveral and the Kennedy Space station is — as in ''3-2-1 liftoff"
it's really important to acknowledge when seemingly intractable problems start changing. There's a lot of fatalism today, and a lot of people who build reputations and careers peddling the idea that reform is a fool's errand x.com/voxdotcom/stat…
After decades of inaction, states are finally stepping up on housing trib.al/Ral1ac9
People talk about how political protests these days are all theatrics. But another way of thinking about it is just how fucking politically hardcore people were in the early 20th century. Even the effete Orwell went to fight fascists in Spain and got shot in the neck.
Getting very tired of people being wrong about the scope of 1st Amendment protections. I don't mean on genuine borderline stuff, I mean in obvious ways where the case law is quite settled. I'm only 35. Am I really gonna have to endure four or more additional decades of this?
If the Vietnam War was just the US government selling weapons to ARVN and voting with them at the UN with no American boots on the ground or American planes dropping bombs, would there have been a large anti-war protest movement?
In retrospect giving academics access to twitter was wrong.
There's lots of denialism over the fact that Trump represents the far right extreme of the abortion debate. Every previous GOP presidential candidate hedged on abortion. Trump busts in like the Kool-Aid man calling for pregnancy monitoring and jailing women who've had abortions.