David Shor @davidshor
Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹 blueroseresearch.org New York, NY Joined November 2007-
Tweets20K
-
Followers79K
-
Following4K
-
Likes153K
Most Common Self-Reported Native American Group by State #nativeamerican #native #sioux #cherokee #choctaw #chippewa #araphao #yupik #navajo
But since around the mid 18th century, Catholicism stops being a mass phenomenon and is instead much more geographically polarised Here's the map of practicing Catholics in 1965. Big contrasts. Alsace, Brittany, the SW and the south-center are very pious
We've entered a very odd moment in British politics where it's both Labour and the Conservatives' best interest to support proportional representation...
We've entered a very odd moment in British politics where it's both Labour and the Conservatives' best interest to support proportional representation...
Thrilled to be part of this incredible project. My final 2024 Presidential Election demographic estimates are available for the public to explore at the precinct level through VoteHub's tool. Take a look—and stay tuned for much more content here in the days ahead.
Thrilled to be part of this incredible project. My final 2024 Presidential Election demographic estimates are available for the public to explore at the precinct level through VoteHub's tool. Take a look—and stay tuned for much more content here in the days ahead.
@ewarren My first post today also has an exclusive look at some polling from @davidshor and the team at Blue Rose Research on what the public wants from policymakers on AI and jobs. Here are some of the key findings and their main takeaways. 6/
Extreme views are heavily over-represented on social media Social platforms’ tendency to reward hostile content creates incentives that systematically reward simplistic messages and extreme positions ft.com/content/925150… via @jburnmurdoch
The share of U.S. women age 40-44 who had ever given birth declined between 1979 and 2024 from 90% to 81%. This increase in childlessness was driven entirely by women without a college degree. The % has stayed the same for women with a college degree.
Kautokeino is the Norwegian town with the highest Sami/Laplander %; a 2000 survey said 96% spoke Sami. Their favorite parties in today's election: -Red Party (Marxist) 19% -Patient Focus (single-issue "build a hospital near us" party) 19% -Progress Party (right-wing populist) 15%
Here's a fun graph I made of the US population by region since 1900. You can really see the decline of the Northeast and Midwest, and rise of the West and the South.
Pretty wild that quadrupling GDP per capita over your term only gets you a three seat pick-up
Pretty wild that quadrupling GDP per capita over your term only gets you a three seat pick-up https://t.co/eQooaqSYEm
@rSanti97 I’ve always found moral foundations to be a weird framework for the current moment, when tons of people are changing their votes. Like, why did Joe Biden do 12% worse in West Virginia than a black liberal named Barrack Hussein Obama? Why have Democrats lost 40% of the vote in…
Joe Biden got 79% of the two-way vote in California's state-organized mock election of middle and high school students in 2020. In 2024 Kamala Harris got 58%.
Joe Biden got 79% of the two-way vote in California's state-organized mock election of middle and high school students in 2020. In 2024 Kamala Harris got 58%.
Imagine asking people two questions -- whether each of these is a good or bad way to run a govt: 1) having a democratic political system 2) having a strong leader who does not have to bother with parliament and elections What percent says *both* are good? 44%!
The results of the Norwegian school election have just been published. This is a mock election held at Norwegian secondary schools, with voters being age ~16-19. I have mapped out the results, which show the right-wing parties doing much better than among the general electorate.
The share of voters who support a woman's right to get an abortion "for any reason if she wants one" continued to increase in 2024 to 58%. 12 years ago it was 42%!
The share of voters who support a woman's right to get an abortion "for any reason if she wants one" continued to increase in 2024 to 58%. 12 years ago it was 42%! https://t.co/PJWggiYOro
It sort of weird that Donald Trump won one-in-eight Black voters and nearly split Hispanics evenly, while wealthy suburbs increasingly lean D, yet we consistently say that there are no swing voters left.
8/9 We also look at education. Using an LLM to tier schools (1=elite … 5=lowest), we find a U-shape: the steepest declines is coming from juniors from tier 2–3 schools; tiers 1 and 4 are smaller; tier 5 is near zero.
Cool study that uses LinkedIn data and a triple-difference design to find that companies that posted “AI integrator” roles saw large declines in new hires for junior employees relative to senior employees, with effect sizes from AI surging after ChatGPT’s release in early 2023
Cool study that uses LinkedIn data and a triple-difference design to find that companies that posted “AI integrator” roles saw large declines in new hires for junior employees relative to senior employees, with effect sizes from AI surging after ChatGPT’s release in early 2023
@JHWeissmann Politics aside, this nugget from my favorite paper on narcissism makes a good case for avoiding people who constantly feel disrespected like the plague. researchgate.net/publication/46…

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
549K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnist
Josh Barro @jbarro
277K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/LBkFjqraQV) & I co-host https://t.co/TUDmgwgw3z w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot com
New Liberals 🌐🇺... @CNLiberalism
89K Followers 891 Following
Joey Politano 🏳️... @JosephPolitano
88K Followers 2K Following Writing a data-driven newsletter about economics @ https://t.co/IanQ9oPoPi | Nuance? In this economy? | Full Employment Stan, Brazilian Coffee Tariff Victim
Matthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin
70K Followers 3K Following correspondent @heatmap_news matthew at heatmap dot news
Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
88K Followers 3K Following head of political data @TheArgumentMag, co-founder @SplitTicket_, a machine learning engineer in SF, and @cal alum. ✉️ [email protected]. i hate sports
Conor Sen @conorsen
102K Followers 298 Following Columnist for @opinion. Here and on Bl*esky also at @conorsen. The future is a policy choice.
Adam Ozimek @ModeledBehavior
90K Followers 890 Following Chief economist at @InnovateEconomy. Host of the EconTwitter Water Cooler, live on twitter spaces and downloadable here: https://t.co/toyjfDruRu
Joe @JoePostingg
18K Followers 657 Following Infosec, politics, and fast food. Subscribe to my newsletter https://t.co/OUpl9s9C0i
G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
118K Followers 497 Following independent data-driven journalist. part-time pollster. author of the book & Substack STRENGTH IN NUMBERS. formerly 538, @theeconomist. community gardener
Drew Savicki @DrewSav
49K Followers 6K Following Politics, elections, stuff. Bad speller. KISS fan, all around pop culture guy. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙♂️🗺️ He/Him
Jonathan Chait @jonathanchait
194K Followers 806 Following Writer for the Atlantic. Tweets with links are intended as prompts to read the linked story, not self-contained arguments substituting for the linked story
Special Puppy 🧦�... @SpecialPuppy1
8K Followers 624 Following I’m not afraid of RUFFhousing.Bernie Sanders-Bill Clinton Democrat. Intriguing, Infuriating, and Completely Baffling. CEO,influencer, anti-masturbation activist
Alice @AliceFromQueens
47K Followers 3K Following Home-school valedictorian. (Blue-check note: didn't choose it but I've grown to like it.)
Everything Price Suff... @agraybee
45K Followers 519 Following Anarcho-Karenist. Alt-Centrism or barbarism. No pods, no casters
Benjamin Weinstein-Ra... @benwr
16 Followers 59 Following Nothing here is intended to reflect the views of any organizations larger than myself. This is not a place of honor. The danger is still present in your time.
Gretel, Vega. @Uxugu48681
25 Followers 939 Following
Joe Kaplan @JoeKaplan1
196 Followers 2K Following
Andrew Gauthier @agauthie
29 Followers 5K Following
emily @emnode
4K Followers 2K Following I like clarity and reason. I'm math-curious. I love the music on @THCWaves. Co-owner of the Green Bay Packers #GoPackGo
Newsom Hater @NewsomHater1
1K Followers 3K Following “Without Freedom of Thought, there can be no such thing as Wisdom; and no such thing as public liberty, without Freedom of Speech.” - Benjamin Franklin
random upser @sandysprings27
10 Followers 350 Following
EnidHood @42tJT8K43I4UFed
16 Followers 574 Following
Muccigrosso Macie🍑 @macie29353
14 Followers 317 Following
Lachelle Turansky🖤... @LTuransky59252
13 Followers 229 Following
Jack Sennott @sennott_jack
0 Followers 1 Following
Matt Harman @harmanmat
61 Followers 460 Following 3rd year Economics PhD student at Colorado State University. Contractor at the National Wildlife Research Center (NWRC).
Rosse Julissa @rosse84370
12 Followers 127 Following
Jake Green @JakeGreenBruh
2K Followers 805 Following Worked in Congress, Now Studying Congress @Kennedy_School | He/Him | #BLM
Dan Griffith @dangriffithsr
1K Followers 744 Following From messy pipeline to measurable growth. I help B2B SaaS install capital-efficient GTM and win US deals (esp. EU/UK teams). Host: Seriously Don’t Do That™.
Busick @BillBusick1108
14 Followers 357 Following
prge @shguke
2K Followers 3K Following
andrew @andrew_psch
64 Followers 632 Following not the best at thing A, not the best at thing B, probably the best person in the intersection
tré @trelarosa
327 Followers 4K Following all views expressed here are mine & do not represent my employer.
Libby Ashton @libashton
113 Followers 219 Following
Competitive Enterpris... @ceidotorg
15K Followers 5K Following CEI is a non-profit public policy organization dedicated to advancing the principles of limited government, free enterprise, and individual liberty.
Sackman Aasiyah @SAasiyah11278
17 Followers 427 Following
Osornio Elia @OsornioE47776
13 Followers 388 Following
Jefferson Simon @jefferson1simon
619 Followers 5K Following software engineer, little bit of a nerd, love films ,series, games(xbox & switch). I paint 🎨 sometimes.views are personal. RT and Follows are not endorsements.
Bedolla Michaela🥰�... @BedollaMic95341
29 Followers 518 Following
sP5NTameka Vanvalkenb... @ckplijq6k46051
6 Followers 240 Following
Brian Morton @bmortonwrites
7 Followers 99 Following
wgtIMickie Georgales�... @0xmzfvwsr25991
16 Followers 441 Following
Kaylee Goetsch @GoetschKay45407
31 Followers 437 Following
Matye Haven🔥💜 @haven11597
16 Followers 397 Following
@jsaif.bsky.social @jsaif99
444 Followers 2K Following Indie rock, #CambMA and national politics, occasional humor, law. Pro-housing, pro-transit. He/him. Co-chair of @ABetterCambMA
Darn it @merkelstits
31 Followers 128 Following
Patria Lecocq @LecocqPatr95595
17 Followers 381 Following
BloomAura @ecbac1zuyt7411
8 Followers 243 Following Hi! I enjoy chatting, exploring new things, and relaxing during camping trips. ⛺✨
Aman A. Planacanal Pa... @amanaplanacana
4 Followers 198 Following
Lemanski Lanelle💖�... @LanelleLem35605
7 Followers 212 Following
Amaya Stotts @AmayaStott58046
13 Followers 241 Following
jxqYvone Kedra😏❤... @ium3gzv248449
19 Followers 359 Following
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
549K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnist
Josh Barro @jbarro
277K Followers 2K Following I write a newsletter (at https://t.co/LBkFjqraQV) & I co-host https://t.co/TUDmgwgw3z w/ @popehat Email josh at joshbarro dot com
New Liberals 🌐🇺... @CNLiberalism
89K Followers 891 Following
Joey Politano 🏳️... @JosephPolitano
88K Followers 2K Following Writing a data-driven newsletter about economics @ https://t.co/IanQ9oPoPi | Nuance? In this economy? | Full Employment Stan, Brazilian Coffee Tariff Victim
Matthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin
70K Followers 3K Following correspondent @heatmap_news matthew at heatmap dot news
Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17
88K Followers 3K Following head of political data @TheArgumentMag, co-founder @SplitTicket_, a machine learning engineer in SF, and @cal alum. ✉️ [email protected]. i hate sports
dylan matthews 🔸 @dylanmatt
72K Followers 1 Following I write for Vox 🔸 I donate 10 percent of my income to effective charities and so can you https://t.co/3L39qEBEue
Conor Sen @conorsen
102K Followers 298 Following Columnist for @opinion. Here and on Bl*esky also at @conorsen. The future is a policy choice.
Adam Ozimek @ModeledBehavior
90K Followers 890 Following Chief economist at @InnovateEconomy. Host of the EconTwitter Water Cooler, live on twitter spaces and downloadable here: https://t.co/toyjfDruRu
Joe @JoePostingg
18K Followers 657 Following Infosec, politics, and fast food. Subscribe to my newsletter https://t.co/OUpl9s9C0i
G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris
118K Followers 497 Following independent data-driven journalist. part-time pollster. author of the book & Substack STRENGTH IN NUMBERS. formerly 538, @theeconomist. community gardener
Drew Savicki @DrewSav
49K Followers 6K Following Politics, elections, stuff. Bad speller. KISS fan, all around pop culture guy. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙♂️🗺️ He/Him
Jonathan Chait @jonathanchait
194K Followers 806 Following Writer for the Atlantic. Tweets with links are intended as prompts to read the linked story, not self-contained arguments substituting for the linked story
Special Puppy 🧦�... @SpecialPuppy1
8K Followers 624 Following I’m not afraid of RUFFhousing.Bernie Sanders-Bill Clinton Democrat. Intriguing, Infuriating, and Completely Baffling. CEO,influencer, anti-masturbation activist
Alice @AliceFromQueens
47K Followers 3K Following Home-school valedictorian. (Blue-check note: didn't choose it but I've grown to like it.)
Danielle Morrill @DanielleMorrill
80K Followers 29K Following code and prose and snacks 🧁 🥦 🍅 ☀️ @groupthinkai @ineffablevc @coloradoSIPA
Friday Night Funk 'n ... @sreddi_515
1K Followers 5K Following ems→polisci/sociology. left. fmr trivia contest champ. pdf hoarder 🏳️🌈 priv/nsfw/vent account: @515idders. cashapp for now $SReddi515
Catherine Arnett @linguist_cat
1K Followers 581 Following NLP Researcher @AiEleuther. PhD @UCSanDiego Linguistics. Previously @pleiasfr @EdinburghUni. Interested in multilingual NLP, tokenizers, open science. She/her.
Dillan DiNardo @DillanDiNardo
5K Followers 926 Following Turning psychedelics into the programmable substrate for mental states | CEO @MindstateDesign | AI x Neurotech x Psychotropics | ex-biotech VC
Sherwood 💬 @realshcallaway
1K Followers 2K Following Agents + Dev Tools + Observability | Prev @11x_official @ycombinator @brexHQ @crunchbase
BradWMorris @bradwmorris
1K Followers 745 Following building things with ai + researching & writing at the gnarly intersection of technology, intelligence, consciousness https://t.co/lzSyjavQfP
Julia Hornstein @julia_hornstein
3K Followers 937 Following venture capital, defense tech @businessinsider. was @theinformation, @yale investments. signal juliah.22.
Natalie Silver @natsilvervt
2K Followers 738 Following Good trouble maker. Now: @mikepieciak for VT, @equalitypac Before: @beccabalintvt @welchforvt @vtattorneygen @tjforvermont @vtdems @Petershumlin. VT forever.
Olivia H. Scharfman @OliviaHelenS
4K Followers 3K Following Currently interested in biodefense and ncRNA. Formerly: Principal @ SALT Fund, Biophysics & Longevity @Yale, Chairman @SEDSusa, @XPRIZE, DEKA. Χάρις.
Crystal @crystalsssup
12K Followers 652 Following Staff @Kimi_Moonshot prev. co-maker of ModelizeAI & gemsouls "Personality goes a long way" @UCSanDiego
Yuke Zhu @yukez
19K Followers 467 Following Associate Professor @UTCompSci | Director @NVIDIAAI Co-Leading GEAR | CS PhD @Stanford | Building generalist robot autonomy in the wild | Opinions are my own
Sean Eldridge @SeanEldridge
18K Followers 3K Following Dad. Husband. Founder/President @StandUpAmerica. Resisting corruption & voter suppression; demanding representative democracy. Was @FreedomtoMarry 🏳️🌈 He/Him
Jack Clark @jackclarkSF
89K Followers 5K Following @AnthropicAI, ONEAI OECD, co-chair @indexingai, writer @ https://t.co/3vmtHYkIJ2 Past: @openai, @business @theregister. Neural nets, distributed systems, weird futures
Mike Inacay @MikeInacay
6K Followers 2K Following Deputy Chief of Staff & Comms Director for @brianschatz/@SenBrianSchatz. Views are my own. ᜁᜈᜃᜌ᜔
Anne Morse @Anne_red_head
3K Followers 337 Following Fertility nerd. I share fun facts while my data is running | PhD in Demography and Sociology from Penn State | Also a UC Berkeley alum. All views are my own.
systematic longshort @systematicls
14K Followers 69 Following Vocation in institutional systematic LS. Avocation in all avenues for risk-taking.
Gappy (Giuseppe Paleo... @__paleologo
47K Followers 459 Following Separate skill from luck. Maximize the former, minimize the latter, using empirical evidence and thinking from first principles. Sister acct: @yogappygappy.
Tess van Stekelenburg @velvetatom
5K Followers 1K Following 🚀ing up the future | partner @Lux_Capital. prev comp neuroscience research @oxford + bio @ucl.
Olivia Reingold @Olivia_Reingold
40K Followers 440 Following staff writer @thefp tbt: @politico, @report4america, @columbiajourn
prashant @prashantmital
2K Followers 2K Following solutions, startups & vibes @OpenAI. personal views only. 🇺🇸🇮🇳
kirsten lum @machsci
11K Followers 765 Following 🌲🌲 applied ai, data science, ops | wife of @wingyewlum, mom of 2 | cofounder and cto building https://t.co/TBEWa1IYzH | quote: oliver wendell holmes 🕊️
Chair Sara C. Bronin @ChairBronin
229 Followers 23 Following Retired account of the 12th chair of @usachp, appointed by President Joe Biden. Worked from 2023-24 to advance & modernize federal historic preservation policy.
Scott Farrar @farrarscott
1K Followers 959 Following MathEd/EdTech consulting @SFXmath Previously: @eureka_math, @khanacademy, @OUSDnews. Views are my own.
Sohrab Ahmari @SohrabAhmari
154K Followers 2K Following US editor, @UnHerd. Author of THE UNBROKEN THREAD and TYRANNY, INC., for @PenguinRandom Writing my next book, on THE TRIUMPH OF NORMAL, for @HarperCollins
Herbie Ziskend @HerbieZiskend
4K Followers 6K Following Fmr. White House Principal Deputy Communications Director
Kate Shaw @kateashaw1
52K Followers 5K Following Law Professor @pennlaw. SCOTUS contributor @ABC. Cohost @StrictScrutiny_ podcast. Former Obama WH lawyer. @kateshaw.bsky.social
Horace He @cHHillee
42K Followers 536 Following @thinkymachines Formerly @PyTorch "My learning style is Horace twitter threads" - @typedfemale
Connor Browne @connor_browne_
100 Followers 1K Following Currently at Blue Rose Research | Formerly @KamalaHarris | YNWA
Annie Rowland @anniemacgregor2
416 Followers 1K Following Team @bideninaugural @joebiden @kamalaharris & @naral | previously @corybooker & @chrismurphyCT | RSN | #GoNavy
Uriah @crimkadid
18K Followers 52 Following
Sherveen Mashayekhi @Sherveen
2K Followers 723 Following The squeeze is worth it, even if no juice. Founder @JoinFreeAgency. Build your AI fluency → https://t.co/YVaX12yRtt For nuance noticers → https://t.co/lg1tvzEdfX
Michael 🍂 @floopymichael
360 Followers 606 Following @UConn ‘26, New England's strongest soldier 🏳️🌈| he/him | roll skies! 🐾
Organizermemes @OrganizerMemes
53K Followers 9K Following Aggregator according to the NYT. Political hitman according to Marianne Williamson. same @ everywhere. Funded by Blue Amp → https://t.co/ZCNmOMhIBg
Raphaël Dabadie🇫�... @RaphaelDabadie
5K Followers 1K Following Student in a gap year to explore LLMs’ behavior and build agents around them - Co-author of the Werewolf Benchmark 🐺
jason liu @jxnlco
43K Followers 2K Following independent ai consultant, a16z scout, creator of instructor prev. @stitchfix @meta
OpenPipe @OpenPipeAI
4K Followers 4 Following OpenPipe: Fine-tuning for production apps. Train higher quality, faster models. (YC S23)
dave kasten @David_Kasten
2K Followers 3K Following AI security hawk. "Do what seems cool next." Formerly: McKinsey, VaccinateCA, Activision Blizzard.
Ryan James Girdusky @RyanGirdusky
213K Followers 2K Following Native New Yorker. Roman Catholic. 1776 Project PAC. National Populist Substack. Numbers Game Podcast https://t.co/FR6iStggqH