David Shor @davidshor
Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹 blueroseresearch.org New York, NY Joined November 2007-
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Joe Biden got 79% of the two-way vote in California's state-organized mock election of middle and high school students in 2020. In 2024 Kamala Harris got 58%.
Joe Biden got 79% of the two-way vote in California's state-organized mock election of middle and high school students in 2020. In 2024 Kamala Harris got 58%.
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David Shor retweeted
Imagine asking people two questions -- whether each of these is a good or bad way to run a govt: 1) having a democratic political system 2) having a strong leader who does not have to bother with parliament and elections What percent says *both* are good? 44%!
David Shor retweeted
The results of the Norwegian school election have just been published. This is a mock election held at Norwegian secondary schools, with voters being age ~16-19. I have mapped out the results, which show the right-wing parties doing much better than among the general electorate.
The share of voters who support a woman's right to get an abortion "for any reason if she wants one" continued to increase in 2024 to 58%. 12 years ago it was 42%!
The share of voters who support a woman's right to get an abortion "for any reason if she wants one" continued to increase in 2024 to 58%. 12 years ago it was 42%! https://t.co/PJWggiYOro
David Shor retweeted
It sort of weird that Donald Trump won one-in-eight Black voters and nearly split Hispanics evenly, while wealthy suburbs increasingly lean D, yet we consistently say that there are no swing voters left.
David Shor retweeted
8/9 We also look at education. Using an LLM to tier schools (1=elite … 5=lowest), we find a U-shape: the steepest declines is coming from juniors from tier 2–3 schools; tiers 1 and 4 are smaller; tier 5 is near zero.
Cool study that uses LinkedIn data and a triple-difference design to find that companies that posted “AI integrator” roles saw large declines in new hires for junior employees relative to senior employees, with effect sizes from AI surging after ChatGPT’s release in early 2023
Cool study that uses LinkedIn data and a triple-difference design to find that companies that posted “AI integrator” roles saw large declines in new hires for junior employees relative to senior employees, with effect sizes from AI surging after ChatGPT’s release in early 2023
David Shor retweeted
@JHWeissmann Politics aside, this nugget from my favorite paper on narcissism makes a good case for avoiding people who constantly feel disrespected like the plague. researchgate.net/publication/46…
David Shor retweeted
Fewer districts = more room for shenanigans
Fewer districts = more room for shenanigans
David Shor retweeted
The biggest story of the 2024 election was large gains for Trump with Nonwhite voters. New registration data shows a total collapse for Democrats with Gen Z Nonwhite voters, especially men.
David Shor retweeted
@McKenzieAWilson of Blue Rose Research joins The Gist to dissect why Dems keep losing the branding war—alienating language, ignoring cost-of-living pain, and Gen Z drifting right. Plus: Trump’s “Alligator Alcatraz” detention plan, killed by orchids & panthers. And Israel,…
David Shor retweeted
Joined Mike's @PescaGist podcast to talk about why Democrats lost in November, how the affordability crisis is voters' #1 concern, and how Democrats need to rethink our comms ahead of next November. Take a listen: open.spotify.com/episode/6R8pIj…
Joined Mike's @PescaGist podcast to talk about why Democrats lost in November, how the affordability crisis is voters' #1 concern, and how Democrats need to rethink our comms ahead of next November. Take a listen: open.spotify.com/episode/6R8pIj…
David Shor retweeted
it is especially striking to see how non-religious the Democratic Party has become over the past two decades
David Shor retweeted
Tale of two different Houston-area cities, 2012-2024: South Houston (90% Hispanic): D+25 → D+43 → D+19 → R+2 W. University Place (72% white, 91% college-ed): R+30 → D+8 → D+15 → D+12
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