Adam Ozimek @ModeledBehavior
Chief economist at @InnovateEconomy. Host of the EconTwitter Water Cooler, live on twitter spaces and downloadable here: https://t.co/toyjfDruRu Lancaster, PA Joined June 2010-
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How do you think the median AI compares to the median voter when it comes to judgment?
This is an issue for congress. Fortunately, bipartisan legislation is ready to go: eig.org/reintroduction…
This is an issue for congress. Fortunately, bipartisan legislation is ready to go: eig.org/reintroduction…
Both the tea party and wokeness seemed at one point to be immovable forces. Things do change sometimes
Some types of workers are going to be relatively scarce. That’s not necessarily a policy problem
At the sheetz by my house in Lancaster at 5:30am, assume most of these folks are headed to Abundance too
"Why do Left-Behind Regions have growth controls" is a perennial question. The rationalist & "fiscal zoning" accounts of NIMBYism genuinely struggle with anti-development activism in Cincinnati, Buffalo, Detroit, etc
"Why do Left-Behind Regions have growth controls" is a perennial question. The rationalist & "fiscal zoning" accounts of NIMBYism genuinely struggle with anti-development activism in Cincinnati, Buffalo, Detroit, etc
Khan re abundance: “I’m leery of silver bullet solutions” Also Khan: “But corporate power really is behind most every problem” 🤔
Khan re abundance: “I’m leery of silver bullet solutions” Also Khan: “But corporate power really is behind most every problem” 🤔
As a 2012 neoliberal, I think Abundance should be a lot like 2012 neoliberalism, but with a few extra pieces -Get the macroeconomy right with full employment -A greater focus on state capacity -More HSI specifically rather than simply more immigration -Smart place based policy
Reason for doing this: pro-tariff talking points are repetitive wastes of time. "But these other countries are charging higher tariffs on us!" No. They objectively are not. The US ranks worse than the EU, UK, Canada, Australia etc. on almost every single measure and index of…
NEW: Results are in from the 2025 American Worker Survey by @InnovateEconomy and @EchelonInsights , with new insights on tariffs, AI, immigration, and much more. But what do workers want most from their leaders? The resounding answer: Make America Affordable Again.🧵
Very useful overview of the tariffs so far from @The_Budget_Lab. Manufacturing employment continues to trend down. But we should note that industrial production in tariff sensitive industries is up. I really doubt tariffs will be good for manufacturing, but we should be clear…
Previewing tomorrow's jobs report: what we can and can't learn about immigration. Focus on: (1) native- and foreign-born unemployment rates (2) job growth in immigrant-reliant industries. Ignore pretty much everything else.
People should really avoid extrapolating too much about the future of work from a single paper. The evidence is not at all conclusive: eig.org/ai-and-jobs-th…
People should really avoid extrapolating too much about the future of work from a single paper. The evidence is not at all conclusive: eig.org/ai-and-jobs-th…
In the next few days, the Trump administration is going to propose a new regulation changing the H-1B lottery. The big question I'm watching: will DHS prioritize the highest earners or so-called DOL "Wage Levels"? Here's why it matters: 🧵
Demographics -> dynamism -> TFP is one of the most under appreciated economics facts
The Workforce Mobility Act, which imposes a nationwide ban on noncompetes, is backed by @InnovateEconomy @EmergencyDocs @AmerCompass @startupsUSAorg @EngineOrg @veevasystems @SmlBizMajority @NiskanenCenter @RSI @aafp and many other organizations. murphy.senate.gov/newsroom/press…
This and related work will revolutionize several different fields of economics:
Let me put it differently. If you exercise normally while on a low-calorie diet for five years, and you eat a ton of ultra-processed greek yogurt, ultra-processed almond milk, and ultra-processed whole-grain breads, your nutritionist is probably gonna be cool with it. So I'm…

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