Visiontrader @_visiontrader

GM winners💚 Never a day without rewards!

向一位幸运粉丝送出 1 枚 BTC！ 正如之前承诺的那样，我将向一位幸运的关注者送出 1 枚 BTC（价值约 83,512 美元）。 点赞、转发，并在评论区留言“BTC”即可参与。 * 未关注者将失去参与资格。 24 小时后公布中奖者！ 24 小时后评论区将关闭， 届时将公布中奖者名单。 祝大家好运！

What happens if you take $SPY 0DTE calls with the same $500 every single trade for 300 trades? Starting account: $2,000 Win rate: 80%. That's my actual win rate. 1/3 off at +25%, 1/3 at +50%, 1/3 at +75% Hard stop at -50%. No exceptions. And NO 100%+ trades. The max win in this sim is 75%. Anyone who's been in Altori knows I hit 100-200% bangers all the time... none of those are in here. This is the boring version. A full winner pays +$250. A loser costs -$250. Same size on both sides... so where's the edge? Win rate. 4 out of 5 trades pay you, and the 5th one is capped. That's +$150 a trade on average. Over 300 trades the account went from $2,000 to $47,000. Look at the red bars at the bottom. The losses are there the whole time. Back to back. Sometimes a few in a row. The account still goes up because no loss was ever allowed to get past -50%. This only works with discipline and following the rules... Same 80% win rate. Change two things: You panic and sell every winner at +25%. You let losers ride to -80% because "it'll come back." Your edge drops from $150 a trade to $20. Over 300 trades that's $6,000 instead of $45,000. Same entries, same win rate. The setup didn't make the money. Following the rules every single time did. Most people don't have a strategy problem. They have a follow-through problem. These are of course simulated results, based on my own statistics, not real trades.

$SPY Same 300 trades as my other studies. Same 80% win rate. The stop is back at -50%... but this time I sell the whole position the second it hits +20%. Starting account: $2,000 $500 every trade Win rate: 80%. My actual win rate. Take profit: all out at +20% Stop loss: -50% 300 trades Result: $2,000 turned into $11,000. Sounds fine, right? Now compare it to the exact same trades with the ladder (1/3 off at +25, +50, +75): Ladder: $47,000 All out at +20%: $11,000 Same entries. Same losers. Same stop. That's $36,000 left on the table just from getting scared on the winners. Here's why... When you sell everything at +20%, a winner pays $100 and a loser costs $250. You need to win 72% of the time just to break even. At 80% you're barely ahead, making $30 a trade. With the ladder, a winner pays $250 and a loser costs $250. You only need to win half the time to break even. Same 80% win rate, $150 a trade. Your stop protects your account. Your exits decide how much you actually make. Most traders think the problem is their entries. It's usually what they do after they're in.

$TSLA 372.5 CALL 0DTE @ 0.60 ULTRA LOTTO. You will lose. Don't play unless you can afford 100% loss

BANGERRR 🚀🔥🚀 $TSLA 372.5c +200% (1.75) Runners left

Clint Awana @clintoptions

5 days ago

$TSLA 372.5 CALL 0DTE @ 0.60 ULTRA LOTTO. You will lose. Don't play unless you can afford 100% loss

12 4 60 29K 4

You can add $TSLA to the ones we want to buy also.

We have been waiting for rates to reverse and we got that reversal yesterday. With oil down another 4% today and $Tnx down, the coast is clear in the short run. We are adding full positions today in $UPRO and $TQQQ. We are also incrementally adding to what we bought yesterday. We are using yesterday's low (One bar stop) if we are wrong.

Diary of a Growth Portfolio Manager 100% Cash We came into Monday Oct. 12 100% long primarily concentrated in indexes and Etf's. We got stopped out of $Mrvl. 90% long. Tue Oct 13 We got stopped out of $Dell. 85% long. Wed Oct 14 We had what we call a character change expectation breaker day and sold the majority our longs in $TQQQ, $UPRO, $MAGS, $Nvda and $Hood to go to 10% long and 90% cash. Thur Oct. 14 we sold the last part of our $UPRO position and our 3% position in $IBIT and our 1% in $ETHA to go to a 100% Cash position where we remain today. We refuse to have a bullish or bearish thesis here as both stances can be compelling. In our view, the trend is down based on our assessment of prices and corroborated by technical indicators. When these conditions change, we will change our view and add exposure. These conditions can change in a day if institutions pile in and a stampede occurs. In the meantime, we will wait and let the market dictate our exposure. Oct. 2025 - Oct. 2026 has been the most difficult period to trade in my career of 39 years even surpassing the internet bubble in 2000-2003 and the great financial crisis of 2007-2009. The good news is after these choppy environments you can make life changing money. This will be no different! Stay engaged.

Crowded trades. In our view the recent weakness in the AI trade has been compounded by a relatively short list of 50-75 stocks that all momentum hedge funds and managers have owned. In the recent distribution phase, losses have escalated from hedge funds using excessive margin and leverage. In fact, Situational Awareness blew up in the 3rd quarter and was rescued by Citadel. There is talk that other established hedge funds such as Lone Pine Capital and Vara AI have incurred catastrophic losses recently and have led to mass liquidations in these concentrated positions. Time will tell as I have no first hand knowledge. Moreover, the question on most market participants is whether the AI trade is over. For a negative view you may consider comments from Michael Burry and Jim Chanos. Likewise a positive view is articulated by Tom Lee, Dan Ives, and Jordi Visser. The answer surely may be found between drops and pops from here over a time horizon. In other words, both can be right and wrong over the next few weeks or months. There will be both shorting opportunities and buying opportunities. This upcoming earnings periods along with the midterm election will lead to volatility. But this will be the dominate market obsession for years and you can't afford to ignore it.

HAGW!

Stock Market Analysis for Week Ending 10/9/26 $SPY $QQQ $IWM $SMH $XBI $MU $NVDA $XLF $TLT #Bitcoin $ALAB $NKE $MAGS