How far do #ES_F and #NQ_F typically extend beyond their RTH Initial Balance?
More than 2500-days study of $ES & $NQ shows that price breaks its IB boundaries in >96% of sessions, extends the range by ≥50% in ~69% (ES) | ~61% (NQ)
by ≥100% in ~38% / ~29%
Posts bi-directional…
Where does $NQ typically close relative to its RTH Range?
A 2,673-day analysis of #NQ_F RTH closes shows that only ~15% land in the 40–60% “heart” of the day’s range, ~25% in the extreme tails (≤10% or ≥90%), and that Mondays skew most bullish (median ≈66% of range) while…
The heatmap shows the probability of a Neutral Day formation within specified intervals following the Initial Balance (IB) for $ES_F, covering data from 2015-2025
Just recently updated the statistics for the Weekly Open in the $NQ_F RTH session. Today was a revealing day. But never forget — any probability is still not a guarantee.
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