Ben Recht @beenwrekt
optimization. machine learning. uc berkeley. I blog at https://t.co/fkJujOPsJb The world won't end. eecs.berkeley.edu/~brecht Berkeley, CA Joined August 2011-
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When you see a surprising result in a paper and it has these two paragraphs at the end, how do you update your priors?
Meehl’s Philosophical Psychology, Lecture 2 (pt 3/3): The epistemology of prediction and damned strange coincidences. argmin.net/p/risky-predic…
First clause of the morning's campus email: "UC Berkeley has long experience with nonviolent political protest..."
Meehl’s Philosophical Psychology, Lecture 2 (pt 2): Don’t let facts get in the way of a good theory. argmin.net/p/inconvenient…
Meehl’s Philosophical Psychology, Lecture 2 (pt 1): The romantic allure of Popperian falsification. argmin.net/p/popperian-fa…
Meehl’s Philosophical Psychology, Lecture 1: Metatheory, metalanguage, and metaphilosophy. argmin.net/p/everything-i…
I'm going to try blogging about someone else's class: Paul Meehl's final lectures on philosophical psychology. argmin.net/p/blogging-phi…
Who is submitting more than one first-author paper to a single conference?
Who is submitting more than one first-author paper to a single conference?
What happens when you push the scientific fact generation pipeline to absurdity? @TimDarcet's analysis of the AI paper mill warrants reflection.
The future of music is entangled with the future of spreadsheets. This isn't a bad thing. argmin.net/p/business-num…
Most people don't appreciate the breadth of music you can create with just a laptop. argmin.net/p/unreal-is-he…
In lieu of picking more fights on Twitter, I wrote a longer thing about AI music, cover songs, and the genius of Miley Cyrus. argmin.net/p/the-real-imi…
There are billions of different kinds of probability, but they all agree on the odds the Celtics will win the chip. argmin.net/p/heaven-or-la…
Kolmogorov’s Axioms homogenize the unknown. argmin.net/p/the-grand-un…
I wrote about measurement, how we don’t understand it, and how it is one of our primary sources of uncertainty and ignorance. argmin.net/p/back-action
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@beenwrekt seems related to the idea of the severity of a statistical test, no? Two-manifestations of the same idea (Meehl's maybe being a generalization)?
When AI was just an academic field it was actually quite cool, intellectual. When big business came in with huge amount of money and weird incentives it turned it into a rather dumb hype shit show. Now politics comes in, and it will turn it into a complete dumpster fire.
California Bill 1047 has been fasttracked: • Covers all models made w/ 10^26 flops • Covers all models with similar perf to above • Creates a Frontier Model Division to report to • Devs must assert such models are safe under penalty of perjury text: legiscan.com/CA/text/SB1047…
Intel's 8088 processor powered the IBM PC (1981), ensuring the continuing success of the x86 architecture. The PC team selected the 8088 largely because its system bus was similar to the Intel 8085 processor, which the team had used in the now-forgotten Datamaster computer. 1/8
This site is broken. These filters have saved me for years but now I’m seeing a bunch of nonsense on the timeline.
@AntifaEarth “It’s just a system of objects and signals? How much could it cost?” “Everything”
@vebaccount there's a market for something like this x.com/beenwrekt/stat…
@kevinbaker One of my more sincere beliefs: Someone needs to write the nonironic version of this, tying together Wittgenstein, Baudrillard, Turing, and Feynman.
Informative article on #philosophy of #science with striking examples from #physics
Meehl’s Philosophical Psychology, Lecture 2 (pt 2): Don’t let facts get in the way of a good theory. argmin.net/p/inconvenient…
@beenwrekt thanks for this public service! following with interest
@srush_nlp No benchmarks, only vibes are the way forward
@pfau You might not be surprised to hear that the effect is equally as damaging to industry as it is for academia.
If you are reading this and wondering "is this about me": don't worry, I'm thinking of someone else.
lots of talk about “ethical AI”, not so much about what it actually means to be an ethical agent... long story short, if what we care about is “bad stuff that happens due to AI,” I don’t think (ethical) agency is a particularly useful or even logically sound starting point!!!
paper here ~ feedback welcome arxiv.org/abs/2404.13861
@ryancbriggs @VincentAB @rmkubinec @carlislerainey @namalhotra openreview is kinda fine? openreview.net/forum?id=M6Ucc…
@ryancbriggs @VincentAB @rmkubinec @namalhotra You mean the system where we get to email each other a pdf every four months?
@ShengwuLi I’m sorry but this completely misses the point. I agree the slide was stupid but the critique of hetx econ isn’t about making assumptions per se, it’s about those particular assumptions. 1/
@beenwrekt it's a good way to convince yourself that you can explain things nobody understands. but maybe i'm wrong
day 4096 of not really understanding what explainable and interpretable means
@beenwrekt this was a great blog post and I owe thanks for the whole series because it helped me attempt to figure out what was going on argmin.net/p/cover-songs
- did a mediocre job of communicating this point from @beenwrekt about garbage prediction functions in conformal prediction and got a reassuring answer
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