Literal incumbent president only pulled an 88.7% share in Pennsylvania versus no-money Phillips while the not incumbent former president pulled just 5.5 points less against well-funded high-name id Haley. Also, Biden did worse than Trump '20 and Trump did better than B '24 1/2
Trump 2024 share is +3.5 higher than Biden 2020 (Sanders dropped out 2 months prior, Tulsi in March). Trump 2020 share was similarly +3.4 higher than Biden 2024. Now let's look at turnout:
@chriswithans Biden ended up with 93% of the vote in the final count.
@chriswithans The overall vote numbers weren’t great for the GOP. That being said Trump has 2-3 paths that don’t require PA.
@chriswithans Thank you for a reality based analysis.
@chriswithans So after all of the doom and glooming last night when the early vote dropped, Trump in the end only did a couple of points worse in his primary than the incumbent did in his. So many pundits destroyed their cred yet again
@chriswithans This is a cope. Haley dropped out ages ago and people are still voting for her as an act against Trump. They didn't have to vote but they did. That should be very alarming.