Craig Sewall @cjsewall9
Pittsburgh, PA Joined June 2016-
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There’s no doubt about the mental health crisis facing young people. Jonathan Haidt blames our devices – which oversimplifies the problem theguardian.com/books/2024/apr…
Not sure whether this will get a response from @JonHaidt or @ZachMRausch, but would love to hear their thoughts on where and how I'm wrong. Preferably, while doing so they could share their model of what the DGP looks like and how it's more parsimonious than the one I described
Not sure whether this will get a response from @JonHaidt or @ZachMRausch, but would love to hear their thoughts on where and how I'm wrong. Preferably, while doing so they could share their model of what the DGP looks like and how it's more parsimonious than the one I described
For those interested in my meta-analysis of experiments regarding whether reducing #socialmedia time improves #mentalhealth (TL/DR: No), an early proof version is now available at: christopherjferguson.com/Social%20Media…
Wait, are we banning SM or smartphones? Or both? I can’t keep it straight. If it’s smartphones, are kids allowed to have smartwatches? Tablets? If it’s SM, does that include YouTube? WhatsApp?
Wait, are we banning SM or smartphones? Or both? I can’t keep it straight. If it’s smartphones, are kids allowed to have smartwatches? Tablets? If it’s SM, does that include YouTube? WhatsApp?
This is a really thoughtful post, and considers an often-lost voice in this whole debate: teenagers themselves.
This is a really thoughtful post, and considers an often-lost voice in this whole debate: teenagers themselves.
@nickgillespie @reason @JonHaidt Aaron’s video essay about the “bad science” in Haidt’s book:
Appreciate all the engagement on this! For those of you saying "this should have been a blog post," I am an eager people-pleaser so I converted it into a blog post. Link is in my bio
Appreciate all the engagement on this! For those of you saying "this should have been a blog post," I am an eager people-pleaser so I converted it into a blog post. Link is in my bio
When your model of the DGP is misspecified
When your model of the DGP is misspecified
Interesting data, but not sure it's actually addressing arguments people have actually made. Twenge and Haidt typically reference teen girls, rates of suicide which remain around 5 per capita, much lower than any male group. This seems like goalpost switching. 1/x
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Lorenzo Lorenzo-Luace.. @lluaces
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Daniel P. Moriarity |.. @dp_moriarity
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reveal.js @revealjs
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667 Followers 817 Following Statistician, informal ecologist, gull lover at UBC. Officially, I’m an Assistant Professor of Measurement, Evaluation, and Research Methodology.
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250 Followers 695 Following Incoming Assistant Professor of Sociology @NotreDame (Fall '24). Currently @INCITE_Columbia, studying culture, inequality, and mental health care.
Wesley Wes @ILLBeDamnItsWes
948 Followers 842 Following Do I get the show? You know what,maybe. Love a good meme. Sometimes you'll find one here and elsewhere when the gatekeepers of our fandom aren't gatekeepin' it!
professional age fore.. @agoodmanbacon
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22K Followers 3K Following Associate Professor @EmoryEconomics | Econometrics | Causal Inference | Machine Learning and Data-adaptive Methods. Dad of 4
Elizabeth Olson @e_a_olson
815 Followers 918 Following 2023: Senior Principal Research Scientist, Crisis Text Line. Was: Director, Affective Neuroscience of Trauma and Resilience lab, Assistant Prof, HMS/McLean.
Peer Community In @PeerCommunityIn
5K Followers 146 Following PCI - 17 PCIs so far (@PCIEvolBiol @PCI_Ecology @PCI_paleo...) and @PeerComJournal! @[email protected] @peercommunityin.bsky.social
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5K Followers 766 Following
Noah Greifer @noah_greifer
4K Followers 225 Following Statistical consultant and programmer at @Harvard @IQSS | Maintainer of the #Rstats packages 'cobalt', 'MatchIt', and 'WeightIt' (and several others) | he/him
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Abdullah Almaatouq | .. @amaatouq
4K Followers 1K Following computational social science, collective intelligence, research methods, metascience.. assistant professor @MIT
Nick HK @nickchk
19K Followers 342 Following Econ prof @SeattleU. Book The Effect https://t.co/3F41M6EzEb out now! Check my pinned thread for all my projects. Substack https://t.co/YYrIUc8JPC
Kiera James @KieraMJames
24 Followers 42 Following postdoc @PittTweet @Fendlab | youth suicide and non-suicidal self-injury researcher | she/her
Marek Rogala 🤖📊.. @marekrog
594 Followers 802 Following Building world's most advanced Shiny dashboards. 🚀 Open source for Shiny in production. Using GPT4 in practice CTO @appsilon. Loves sailing and singing. ⛵️
Zach Rausch @ZachMRausch
696 Followers 143 Following Research scientist at NYU-Stern. Chief researcher for Jon Haidt and our forthcoming book: The Anxious Generation.
scott cunningham @causalinf
54K Followers 6K Following Economics professor paying it forward with 55 burgers, 55 fries, 55 tacos, 55 pies, 55 Cokes, 100 tater tots, 100 pizzas, 100 tenders, 100 meatballs
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1K Followers 1K Following Professor of Psychiatry & Psychology, @Pitt. Child Psychologist, Director Cognitive-Affective Neuroscience & Development Lab, & Mom of 4
Tom Metherell @tom_metherell
241 Followers 170 Following /ˈmɛðərəl/. He/him. PhD candidate in Mental Health Science @CLScohorts @UCLSocRes. 🦋 https://t.co/YRcYDKrQCo. Social media + mental health 📱🧠🏳️🌈
Bill Lawrence @VDOOZER
155K Followers 813 Following Shrinking and Ted Lasso out now. Old Stuff: Scrubs, Spin City, Clone High (returning soon) Cougar Town, Whiskey Cavalier, other Stuff
I almost just fell out of my chair. 💯
The Chicago Bears on Wednesday will for the first time discuss their proposal for a lakefront stadium with two top aides for Gov. J.B. Pritzker, who already has publicly and privately criticized the use of public subsidies for new sports stadiums. trib.al/q4YVnM4
@eldritch_goof @Kyle_Ireton Causal Inference: The Mixtape mixtape.scunning.com
@eldritch_goof @Kyle_Ireton The Effect theeffectbook.net
This is why I still hang out. Plus some of you are nice.
As annoyed as I often am with the owner of this social media platform, I learn something important almost every day I spend on it.
As annoyed as I often am with the owner of this social media platform, I learn something important almost every day I spend on it.
@MatthewBJane @SolomonKurz @PoliSciJack i bet that the new blending features in R graphics could make something even nicer nowadays but this is how i made that figure gist.github.com/tjmahr/07f7875…
On #smartphones, #socialmedia and #mentalhealth. Perhaps more people are being clued in that we've been sold a moral panic: theguardian.com/books/2024/apr…
Crows. They can use tools!
Are there any men out there who have a favorite bird that is not an eagle? Every single man I have ever asked said "eagle".
@jbakcoleman Anyway, thinking through this stuff is difficult. There's lots of room for reasonable people to disagree both on the effect of social (direct and indirect) and potential solutions to any perceived problems.
@jbakcoleman That could be. But given the staggered treatment over a period of years as smartphones and SM rapidly changed, I suspect the results are probably driven by something else. Some of the results seem too big to me (maybe they make sense in the Norwegian context)
great example of causal thinking's power!
I believe that @JonHaidt’s central claim that social media (SM) is the primary cause of an international youth mental health crisis, especially among girls, is based on a flawed understanding of the underlying data generating process (DGP). In this thread, I’ll show you how.
@cjsewall9 Get this: They COST more money than they MAKE. I mean, whut. ;p
@jbakcoleman Given the study design (it's a standard event study) and stuff we know about SM and smartphone use, I think the results are too uncertain to say much of anything. x.com/stephenjwild/s…
I find a few of the effects to be surprisingly large given smartphknes were only banned during school hours. And I'm not sure how I feel about all the control variables in the regression.
@cjsewall9 Sorry why should the effect be 0? It seems like that's only true for a particular parametric representation. Standard causal quantities like ATE are nonzero here no?
@cjsewall9 I'm not sure either way. I think there's growing political momentum to do something about SM, particularly for minors, and on the other hand, until BadStuff is a specific thing rather than a hypothetical construct, I have no idea how tractable it is to reduce BadStuff.
@cjsewall9 I don't know what "bad stuff" you have in mind but I doubt it is competitive with school smartphone bans. It's not like there's a competition between the Expanded Child Tax Credit and school smartphone bans. Doing one doesn't affect the other.
@cjsewall9 Next you'll want goalposts that don't move.
@cjsewall9 We're banning kids, actually. Also, peaches. Because peaches are gross.
@bennewmark One of the reasons that not everyone is convinced is that not all the hard data points the same way. For example data for suicide among young people doesn’t show the kind of upswing that might be expected if phones were having the effects being suggested. Even among…
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