David 🇺🇸 @david_eng_mba
Managing Partner, Energy Company. Engineer, MBA; USC, CSU, & Stanford California, USA Joined October 2013-
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Foundations of Bitcoin Price Forecasting — Real Options, Heavy-Tailed Risk, and Economic Floors Finance/Econometrics: Heavy-tailed GARCH ensures forecasts reflect real BTC volatility, not Gaussian smoothness. Fan charts express probabilistic ranges, not single targets.…
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AI Brings Clarity to Bitcoin’s Price AI makes Bitcoin’s value transparent. It dissolves complexity, letting anyone confirm power-law growth and network effects without math. It lowers ownership barriers through smart wallets, detects undervaluation instantly, and embeds Bitcoin…
Bitcoin is still 95% unowned: A mere 1% increase across wealth tiers would drive $1–2T into BTC. With ~15M liquid coins, that means $70K–$130K more per coin or roughly doubling today’s price. Total Value of Bitcoin ≈ k × (Active Users)². Bottom Line: Bitcoin is still 95%…
Apple Opens the Door: Why Bitcoin Wins Apple’s decision to ease restrictions on in-app Bitcoin payments marks a turning point. By removing the 30% “Apple tax” and allowing crypto apps to integrate BTC transfers directly, Apple eliminates a major barrier to mainstream use. For…
Bitcoin’s 5 Year Annual Gains Model; Price(t) = 10^(–1.847796462) × (t/365.25)^(5.616314045) R² ≈ 0.945 5-Year Path (Trend): •2026: ~$146K (+$40.6K) •2027: ~$198K (+$52.7K) •2028: ~$266K (+$67.4K) •2029: ~$351K (+$85.1K) •2030: ~$457K (+$106.4K) Takeaway: Bitcoin dollar…
Bitcoin as the Ultimate Marshmallow Test The marshmallow test offered kids one marshmallow now or two if they waited, measuring self-control. Bitcoin is the same at a global scale: sell now for small gains, or hold through volatility for outsized rewards. Fiat pushes instant…
Bitcoin’s Strategic Advantage over Fiat: Speed, Cost, Security, and Finality at the Limit of Physics Bitcoin’s Strategic Advantage and Why Banks Feel Threatened Direct competition: Bitcoin lets anyone send $1M across the world in minutes for <$5. Banks charge $5,000–30,000 and…
The Unified Value of Bitcoin Every currency before Bitcoin was a man made; Bitcoin is a mathematical law. Its value emerges not from promises but from equations. Bitcoin is the first money whose worth is not negotiated it is computed by the geometry of networks and the passage…
David 🇺🇸 retweeted
Lake Como, Italy
Electrons Forge Scarce Bitcoin, Humans Inflate Endless Fiat When money is rooted in physics, not politics, the economy becomes an honest reflection of energy and information. 1.Electrons are the carriers of energy. Their flow powers circuits, flips bits, and creates…
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