David Lee GP @davidgaopeng
Commodity Trader (Power & Emissions) Singapore Joined May 2011-
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#EUETS The industrial recovery story behind the recent rally is clearly not able to stand it foot.
DE-FR power price premium for May and Jun are now at an all-time high, likely due to lower Net Transfer Capacity from early March. Do you think such high premium can sustain or will get narrow/normalise nearing to delivery months? #PowerTrading #EUETS #EDF @Emericdevigan
Low demand, rock-bottom prices, yet reservoir hydro generation remains robust. Is it time to clear space in reservoirs for the upcoming snowmelt in a high renewable/low demand era?
2025 est encore un peu haut, à 72 €, mais avec 2026 autour de 64 €/on va peut etre pouvoir s'offrir un peu d'électrification et voir la conso rebondir. Et malheureusement voir resurgir les problème de rentabilité des actifs et de signal d'investissement. Equation insoluble ?
Chez @Kpler, on prend du temps pour ajuster la consommation à la météo, et ainsi estimer la destruction structurelle de demande. Mais les hivers de plus en plus 'cléments', ne sont-ils pas devenus la norme? Peut-être est-il temps de revoir nos fameuses 'normales de saison'?
Power prices are dropping, yes. But watch out! It's the clean spark spreads that reveal the real story. The demand destruction trap is tightening its grip on electricity producers.
📉📉📉 Per Lekander, who profited handsomely from calling the 2018 rally in carbon prices, told the Financial Times that he was now betting on the market falling sharply in the coming months as the price of natural gas and coal fall. ft.com/content/6d7fe0…
GB: UK to tighten emissions trading scheme from 2024...will be reformed next year to tighten limits on carbon dioxide pollution and expanded in 2026 to include new sectors, the relevant authority said on Monday.... reuters.com/sustainability…
1⃣/ In the first 5 months of '23, 5.62 million tonnes of #CO2 were emitted from #electricityproduction; reduced by 21.3% compared to the same period of '22 & 40.5% compared to the 5-year avg. 🔍✏️ thegreentank.gr/en/2023/07/03/… monthly analysis based on data from #EUETS #ADMIE #DEDDIE
quite misleading @CarbonPulse article about the new #eua auction calendar. Suggests the market is tight...but it isn't: - power emissions 680m - industrie 540m = total demand 1'220m - auction 523m - free alloc & other 860m = total supply 1'383 #euets

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