Bella @dfihtr
Living with sunshine and positivity, becoming a better version of myself Joined February 2019-
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Standing by the river watching the dazzling lights on the opposite shore, amidst the bustling crowd, my heart feels remarkably at peace.
【 $BTC 四年周期总刻系列 68】 2015熊底右侧：红转绿后 2.1个月 到牛市复苏期顶点 2019熊底右侧：红转绿后 2.9个月 到牛市复苏期顶点 2023熊底右侧：红转绿后 3.0个月 到牛市复苏期次顶 2026熊底右侧：红转绿已 0.9个月 ┌── 🐼 链上数据详情 ──┐ 图中下方指标为“比特币短筹转交易所盈亏比”，即链上短期投资者把币转入交易所时，实现的盈利 ÷ 实现的亏损（30日均线） >1 (绿)：以获利了结为主 <1 (红)：以割肉/投降为主
【 $BTC 四年周期总刻系列67】 2012.07：紫绿金叉后 34天 到复苏期顶点 2015.11：紫绿金叉后 16天 到复苏期顶点 2019.05：紫绿金叉后 53天 到复苏期顶点 2023.02：紫绿金叉后 47天 到复苏期次顶 ┌─ 指标详情 ─┐ 紫线：链上持仓1-3个月的BTC的平均买入价 绿线：链上持仓3-6个月的BTC的平均买入价
Crypto taught me that opportunities always come with risks. Real growth is not about earning the fastest, but staying steady through cycles.
Eth的成交量一直都很高，这是我用来判断市场投机情绪的一个指标。高于BTC说明市场投机要求高，有过热风险。 同时ETH合约持仓/市值比例让人很难长期看好ETH，它更像一个投机套利工具而不是投资品。
#btc 比特币标准的看涨牛旗结构！ 同时，看跌鲨鱼模式886-113反转区 耐心等待牛旗向上突破， 并且注意剧烈波动清算。
#BTC 不用猜。 结构已经很清楚了，就差一根线确认。 往哪边破，就往哪边跟。
正常情况下， 所谓的链上币股轧空，逻辑大概是（不讨论实际可行性）： 1、Robinhood或其他合规发行方在链上发行代币化股票，价格与真实股票锚定； 2、某个Meme币与该代币化股票配对； 3、本来不持有该代币化股票的散户购买Meme币，带动作为底池的代币化股票价格上涨； 4、因为存在套利空间，做市商购买正股，并将正股转换，铸造出链上的代币化股票，使价格回锚； 5、在这个过程中，由于做市商购买正股的行为，可能带动正股价格上涨，从而产生轧空的可能性。 而今晚JINQIAN/FAMI的情况是： 1、不知名项目方在链上发行了FAMI代币，存在铸造权限，但完全无法确定是否合规，甚至池子都没锁。如果不是合规的RWA发行方，本质上只是一个同名的三无链上代币。 2、发行JINQIAN这个Meme币，与FAMI配对，池子较大。 3、由于FAMI公司本身市值极低，引发了链上的情绪，散户疯狂买入JINQIAN，带动作为底池的FAMI上涨。 4、部分散户思维更进一步，直接去买入FAMI正股，导致股价上涨。 典型的过程全错，结果全对。 有些类似的是当时Base早期的Meme币Bald，同样是没有锁池子，但是疯狂拉盘，最后撤池子收场，其实全程不存在什么确定性逻辑。 对于这种情况，只能自己判断是上涨空间*不作恶的概率更大，还是归零*作恶的概率更大。其实所有交易场景几乎都是这样的，只要有超额收益，就不存在百分百的确定性，这类项目对于大部分人而言就是确定性极低，但相应的也可能有几十倍的潜在收益。
Bull markets create excitement, bear markets create growth. Real investors focus on cycles, risks, and long term value
如果你是一个只看“基本面”的投资人，你大概率不太适合在crypto行业做投资，因为这个行业的基本面都是由“流动性”定义的，而流动性又是极具周期性且能很快变化的。 回到2022年，coinbase和robinhood这两个上轮表现最好的币股标的，都不会是你会选择抄底的机会。 那一年coinbase收入比前一年跌了60%，媒体天天都在说crypto行业要死了，而那年你大概率也会认为未来coinbase无法竞争过传统金融巨头们的btc etf，山寨币的业务也会被像uni这样的dex吃掉大半。 hood的收入也比前一年跌了25%，用户0手续费只跟做市商收卖订单流信息的商业模式听起来就是个垃圾模式，而新进入的crypto市场也被coinbase打废了，未来增长靠什么？毕竟美股市场已经是个很成熟的市场。 但事后证明2022年就是最适合抄底coinbase和robinhood的时候。 其实今天的crcl已经比4年前的coinbase和robinhood好下手多了，至少收入没有缩水，稳定币发行量也基本持平，竞争还没真正来。 但当市场都在质疑利息收入不是个好的商业模式、高管套现、担忧stripe联盟稳定币的竞争、morgan stanley给出了三十多的目标价时，很容易被这些短期的噪音让你忽略那些真正关键的信息。 什么是真正关键的信息？ - 传统金融资产的tokenization的市场需求已经被验证，且在以每个月两位数%飞速的增长 - 美国在全力推动稳定币的普及，这会是美国未来向全球兜售美元、美债、美股的最大通路 - crypto原生的场景在快速普及到web2，比如perp dex、预测市场，而这些场景全部都需要用到稳定币 - usdc就是美国最大且被使用最多的合规稳定币 在我看来，circle这轮周期去1000亿以上是必然发生的事情。
熊市抄底就是很反人性，价格底部的时候看再好的标的的基本面都觉得差点意思，风险也很多，因为这个行业决定基本面的只有流动性，流动性没来的时候基本面看起来都很差。
Solana narrowly passed its double disinflation vote in a dramatic finish. Such fierce governance debate highlights how the community is actively trading staking yields to forge long-term token scarcity. coindesk.com/tech/2026/08/2…
JUST IN: Bitcoin falls under $77,000 $200,000,000 longs liquidated from the crypto market in the past 60 minutes.
If $BTC fails to hold above $83k, we’re still in a bear trend If that’s the case, I’m expecting a dump toward $50k by November But if it does manage to reclaim and hold above $83k, then I’ll start buying around $69k I called the $BTC top at $126k to the exact day. I won’t miss the bottom either.
Canadian geese stroll in the park. So peaceful. Plus, a picnic in the distance. Perfect vibes.
시장은 매일 변하지만 원칙은 변하지 않습니다.위험을 존중하고 규율을 지키며 가치가 돌아오기를 기다립니다
Coldcard thefts topping $150M prove hardware wallets aren't foolproof. Never rely on one device; multi sig is key
오늘 에스프레소 추출 완전 완벽, 크레마 대박! 집에서 홈카페 차려 먹는 재미에 제대로 빠짐
Shopping therapy at its finest! Love finding a dress with a fun little surprise in the back. Plus, fitting room lighting is doing its thing today
Real Nadiya @RmTusar
6K Followers 6K Following Founder of https://t.co/hHn2WnvefU Crypto Content Creator | Web3 Educator DeFi • RWA • AI Agents Official Ambassador @ColourLeague & @tryquantio
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𖹭— M !3 @malvadita
1 Followers 69 Following 💕🐠 diaries of wimpy kid 🌱🧁👔🐹 O___o = !x33 ini akun khusus bucinin my mine (martin) hohO :x simp n rant 😆💖💧pembaiK dan amat penyayamg 🧏🏻♀️🧃
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AlasdeAngel @_9868135819801
2 Followers 54 Following vive la vida que amas, vive la vida que vives. A tu manera!
Mason @Mason_yoon94
144 Followers 72 Following 국장 미장 코인 프랍 차트가 어려워 보여도 오늘은 어디를 보면 되는지 메모하는 거에요 저는 프랍펌 트레이딩을 합니다
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SHINE GROUP【公式�... @bruunaeleen
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JD @KathyMouse2
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Caí na Tentação | ... @YogeSaran
0 Followers 42 Following 😌 Eeeu não vou cair na tentação sozinha, não... Vem comigo! 😁 🛍️ SÓ ACHADINHOS BONS (nível impossível resistir) 👇🏼
Front Alpha @angeldheverde
0 Followers 41 Following We have been in this market for a long time and know the game 🎯We front run most of the time🚀 Give us a shot and I think you won't be disappointed 😉
Sardonicboydem @marionj76380762
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Palestine Life RP @LordDextrine
5 Followers 169 Following Mabi 🇵🇸 | Creator of Palestine Life RP 🎮 Building immersive Roblox roleplay worlds 🌍 Fast-growing community 🚀 Stay tuned 👀 Name Roblox : dsklmnv ❤️
ハートピア攻略... @ana_claudia98
0 Followers 28 Following ハートピアスローライフ攻略・最新情報をお届けします！ハートピア攻略ガイドは非公式のファンアカウントです。ペット・園芸・釣り・料理・虫捕り・野鳥観察・建築など、序盤から役立つ攻略情報を発信中！効率的な進め方や見落としがちなポイントを分かりやすく解説しています。
ms.whitney girlgirl @missyouudeeplyy
0 Followers 143 Following Heyyy guyssss ♥ I'm whitneygirl ♥ 2011 yearrsss just about 15-TEEN oldss ♥ I'm an ordinaryyy girlsss ♥ I feel glorioussss wiF my own life ♥
HODLPatrol @AstridWild54850
1 Followers 256 Following 🚨 Guarding the Crypto Galaxy 🌌 | 🪙 Meme Coins, Moonshots & Market Madness 🚀 | 💎 HODL strong or stay wrong | Join the Patrol, stay ahead of the pump! 🔥
Aleksander Sandvig @SabrinaLanz
5 Followers 42 Following This is completely new to me. I was here when Twitter was born, I watched when Twitter became X, and i just joined. Probably something else that is hyped now.
Toshi @dilara_aysenur
4 Followers 55 Following 3歳児のパパ｜子育て奮闘記 × 暮らしの知恵🦖 目標は寝かしつけ後の自由時間を1分でも長く確保すること。 奮闘する毎日の中で見つけた小さなしあわせや子育てのヒントを綴ります。 特別なことは言えませんが等身大のパパとして皆さんと繋がれたら嬉しいです。
AAdigital IreneHatzis @ArbanShaqiri
1 Followers 54 Following Text me for (WeeklyIncome),(CryptoRecovery),(TradingTutorials) 🎓📉🐂
RickWang @Lanylove13
1 Followers 54 Following 灣源科技 @wanyuantech｜WEYAW @WeyawPod 致力打造 Truth-Seeking Utopia LLM，招募志願者共同開發https://t.co/CnwvnoG7yS
Mii@固定とプロ�... @envigueto
0 Followers 54 Following 訪問ありがとうございます。20代前半160/50/G （基本Sinjuku）ぼしゅー兼ご飯とか載せます。フォローしてくれてる方のみ返信します！ ⭐個別にて本当に何となくの📸は送れます。
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138 Followers 371 Following Use your favorite aesthetic to heal the hustle and bustle of daily life, and make each day traceable
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In The Green 🐂💩... @watch_the_chart
100 Followers 204 Following Buy $BULLSHIT and chill | road to $1b+ | be early and bid heavy | imagine getting rich off some bullshit 🤣 |🐂💩 📈
Martí Alturo Requena @martialturo
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科*！ @jayoeem
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Liam美股與加密 @Liam_1008
155 Followers 299 Following 美股/加密9年，主做期權。 發發文章/聊天 全球唯一模擬盤1000W炒成100元 BTC大餅長期多頭，耐心持有 不合約不槓桿
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Fartcoin Official Sup... @FartCoinOfSOZ
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