dontoverfit @dontoverfit

machine learning engineer & market maker Joined April 2021

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dontoverfit @dontoverfit

2 weeks ago

honestly it's kinda sad that the meta of prediction markets is just volume farming at the moment. Kalshi and Polymarket are both thinking "how can we add 1b in volume with the least amount of effort", each of them with a different strategy (sportsbooks without limits vs crypto…

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Taelin @VictorTaelin

2 years ago

I *WAS* WRONG - $10K CLAIMED! ## The Claim Two days ago, I confidently claimed that "GPTs will NEVER solve the A::B problem". I believed that: 1. GPTs can't truly learn new problems, outside of their training set, 2. GPTs can't perform long-term reasoning, no matter how simple…

Taelin @VictorTaelin

2 years ago

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Uncentive @Uncentive1

3 years ago

Several years of personal experience distilled into one shitpost.

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dontoverfit @dontoverfit

4 years ago

me: ftx can we have liquidity? ftx: no we already have liquidity at home liquidity at home:

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dontoverfit @dontoverfit

4 years ago

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

4 years ago

https://t.co/8ALALIsQww

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dontoverfit @dontoverfit

4 years ago

Flat month for CSGO trading (+0.3%) because of the Steam Summer sale. Hopefully I'll be able to make up for the losses next month

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dontoverfit @dontoverfit

4 years ago

CSGO trading update: +5% this month! I messed up the parameters for a couple days but now it's working again. I also started to log the price information of every item bought with the intention to identify patterns between losses and profits.