Dave Brain @dsnowsquall
Joined April 2013-
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Should see Heavy draws on Natural Gas and Oil by Products into the end of January and some indications of MJO shifting into Warmer phases 4&5 with more of a Pacific Zonal flow.
Could be Significant Amounts of Snow Squalls especially Bruce Grey Huron Perth and Simcoe and Extreme Southern Muskoka, before another Warmup.
WPC showing Significant Plumes of Moisture coming off all the Lakes from Wednesday on with the Gem showing 30-60cms in the 7 days. Could be a prolonged Lake Effect event on a West to Northwesterly Flow.
No special Weather Statements in affect at this time however chances of a good soaking Rain throughout the Weekend. It won’t be a total washout as we will have periods of precipitation free, Marginal risk of Severe Sat/Sun. Wind Hail risk.
Orillia Ontario sets April Rainfall held since 1951 which was 155.2mms, Providing no rain falls by 7am we are currently sitting at 195.0mms which normal is 55.4mms. Record base goes back to 1871.
Rain mixing with Faulty Equipment in Orillia fb.watch/qPjKWv3ucd/
Likely a Record for the Earliest the Ice has left Lake Simcoe and before the date the Fish Huts have to be off the Lake which is March 15. Usually mid to end of April is the date for Ice to leave Lake, Pic 3 days apart.
Just insane, Demand on NG and Oil byproducts very low, combination of Heating NG Oil and Winter Activities Snowmobiling gas for Snowblowers it’s been an all out Worst case Scenario for O&G Investors this Winter Across most of Canada with the Exception of The Maritimes!
Crazy Temperature Swings after Thursdays +7c and Saturday mornings -16.5c we do it again next the next 10-14 days. Risk of Thunderstorms Tuesday Wednesday risk of Marginal Severe in SW Ontario High temps near mid Teens lows 7c around 15c above normal and falling by Thursday -12c.
Love these Bowling balls of Cold Air plunging into Southeast Canada, interesting to see two Major Winter Storms lining up for the Lower Great Lakes exact Track too early to pinpoint. GFS hinting at more Pacific air after this Week 2. We will see!
Is the Polar Vortex Finally going to Bring Winter and Fuel Demand to Canada and the US? After New Years it seems like a big pattern shift.
Could the PV finally be developing and bringing Real Winter Temps after New Years! @ericnuttall
Will Winter ever Arrive this Year, there has been Strong Stratospheric Warming occuring in the High Arctic Russia which the GFS is indicating getting itself together for the First Week of January, also indications of an Eastern North American Winter Storm to help get it here!
1st Major Snow Squall event to affect Central Northern Simcoe County and Southern Muskoka and Bruce Grey County. Georgian Bay Squall appears to be a Multi Lake episode. Buffalo looks like it could get hammered with Heavy Lake Snows and 10-15k with ThunderSnow.

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