JP @fantasy_dyn
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all the top ADP climbers / off-season hype guys from the 2024 season RB -JK Dobbins -Jordan Mason -Braelon Allen -Chase Brown WR -Rashee Rice -Greg Dortch -Jalen Tolbert -Michael Wilson -Andrei Iosivas TE -Colby Parkinson -Juwan Johnson -Noah Fant
This remains 100% true post-draft: QB class is nice. Love the top-2. Maye got the draft capital, JJ/Nix got the landing spots Only 2 sexy RBs (although 1 who prob won't lead the backfield Year 1) Big 3 WRs nice af, a little overrated after that Meh on all non-Bowers TEs
As it stands heading into the Combine (from a purely analytics perspective still early into my process) + QB class is nice + RB class is rough. Probably only 2 RBs I feel really good about being Day 2 picks + WR class is pretty overrated after the top ~3. Lots of guys the film
As it stands heading into the Combine (from a purely analytics perspective still early into my process) + QB class is nice + RB class is rough. Probably only 2 RBs I feel really good about being Day 2 picks + WR class is pretty overrated after the top ~3. Lots of guys the film heads like that my model is going to hate + TE class is rough after Brock
It's a slightly shorter fantasy football data dump thread this week because of so many teams on bye, but this week's thread starts here.
#NFL Week 6 Injury Round Up - 10/12/23 #Lions Sam LaPorta - New calf strain. From either Wednesday or W5. DNP Thurs. If DNP Friday then OUT W6. If LP Fri, then risky but may play. Calves are notorious for reinjury/slow healing (see Joe Burrow). #Cowboys Tony Pollard - New shoulder injury. Likely mild contusion or AC sprain. Likely to play W6 with minimal issues. #Bears Roschon Johnson - DNP Wed + Thurs. Unlikely to clear concussion protocol. OUT W6. Foreman time. #Chargers Austin Ekeler - Return in W6. Likely 85% healthy, should still be elite, not 100% until offseason. Reinjury risk is moderate. Start him #Giants Saquon Barkley - Smartly sat W5. Still probably 70%, so big reinjury risk. O-line is awful. DJones banged up. Don’t trust him yet, needed lots of tape for practice. SELL HIM. W6 return is possible but risky. #Bucs Mike Evans - HUGE history of hamstring injuries, but played last 4 times he had them. LP Thurs promising. Likely to play. WR2/flex. #Jahymr Gibbs - Hamstring injury late in week 5, needs 2-3 more weeks. OUT W6 IMO. Could return W7 but risky. Don’t trust him until after W9 bye. #Browns Deshaun Watson - Cleared before W4, chose to sit through bye. Rotator cuff contusion, needs 1-2 more weeks. OUT W6. Walker now QB2. #Broncos Javonte Williams - Hip flexor, ties in with his complicated ACL injury. Not 100% for 3-4 more weeks. Could return W6, McLaughlin > Javonte. #Chiefs Travis Kelce - Ankle injury, low, likely classic lateral. Could be more moderate than mild. Will play W6 (TNF), mildly limited. SELL HIGH. #Colts Anthony Richardson - Type III AC sprain. Hx of these since HS made ligaments weaker. Placed on IR, W12 is easiest, could be season-ending if surgery needed. Ok to drop if shallow league. Minshew targets Downs a lot. #Vikings Justin Jefferson - New hamstring strain. Likely grade 1.5, more than mild but could be grade 2. Due to record & how much $ they owe him (new contract), may not return after 4 weeks. Be careful with trading for him. #Dolphins De’Von Achane - Initial video looked like ankle, but ended up being moderate knee injury. Likely MCL, possible meniscus. Not season ending. Placed on IR. Eligible to return W11. Mostert, JWJ, Brooks. Benefits Waddle the most. #Giants Daniel Jones - New neck injury + old injury = concerning. O-line swiss cheese. Super high risk reinjury. Unlikely W6 but could play W6, 1 hit away from reinjury. #Packers Aaron Jones - Suffered a reinjury W4 to hammy that we didn’t hear about until 10/9. Thus OUT W5. GB on bye, played it smart. Hopefully healthier W7 but not given. Think K Allen 2022. Be careful trading for him. #Lions Amon-Ra St. Brown - New comments support abdominal muscle strain over sports hernia. GREAT news. Back W6 . Mild reinjury risk. #Cardinals James Conner - Likely left knee injury, no details. Placed on IR. Mercado over Ingram or Jones Jr. for me. #Bears Khalil Herbert - High-ankle sprain. Likely out 2-4 weeks. + Foreman. Herbert won’t be same ROS. #Bengals Tee Higgins - Rib fracture. Risky W6 but could return if lidocaine block but WR3/flex . W7 bye. #Saints Chris Olave - Injured toe in warmups pre-W5. Will play through but will affect performance 20-25%. #Giants Darren Waller - Groin. Soft tissue injuries & 30+ = bad combo. Hard to trust him. Decreased performance. # Bengals Joe Burrow - Looked MUCH better W5. Calf getting better but not 100% yet. Bye in W7 should help. #Chargers Justin Herbert - L middle finger fracture, bone sticking out. Had bye week, likely surgery. Pin/plate. Brace, no impact since non-throwing hand. #Cardinals Kyler Murray - Could return in W7-8, but not sure team wants to rush him back. Contract clause impacts return IMO. #Seahawks Geno Smith - Mild knee sprain, some impact but will play W6. #Rams Cooper Kupp - Smashed W5. How does he feel week of W6? Still concerned about him finishing the season healthy. Top 5 as long as he’s healthy. #Jaguars Zay Jones - Mild reinjury to knee (MCL/PCL). Unlikely W6. #Patriots Rhamondre Stevenson - Quad injury effect him W5? 50/50 snaps with Zeke. Hard to trust. #Bills Dalton Kincaid & Dawson Knox - Kincaid in concussion protocol, Knox with wrist injury. Monitor practice for W6. Next update 10/14/23 If you found this helpful please follow @DrJesseMorse & @TheFantasyDRS for similar injury related content all season long. Videos on YouTube & TikTok for more info. Our website has full breakdown & injury histories.
TUA NO-LOOK SHOVEL PASS TD 📺: #DENvsMIA on CBS 📱: Stream on #NFLPlus bit.ly/3ENM5a2
Late Round Targets: - Gabe Davis - Michael Thomas - Brian Robinson - Khalil Herbert - Courtland Sutton - Dalton Kincaid - Jerick McKinnon - Skyy Moore - Jonathan Mingo - Romeo Doubs - Sam LaPorta
📈📉📊 𝗧𝗔𝗥𝗚𝗘𝗧𝗦 & 𝗔𝗩𝗢𝗜𝗗𝗦 IN FANTASY FOOTBALL (𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆 𝗿𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱) 👀👀👀 𝙩𝙬𝙚𝙚𝙩 𝙞𝙣𝙘𝙡𝙪𝙙𝙚𝙨: - must draft / avoid - players who make me nervous - favorite sleepers & breakouts in each round 𝗥𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗 𝟭 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: - Justin Jefferson - Ja’Marr Chase - Cooper Kupp - Tyreek Hill - Christian McCaffrey - Bijan Robinson - CeeDee Lamb 𝙨𝙡𝙚𝙚𝙥𝙚𝙧: Nick Chubb 𝙗𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙤𝙪𝙩: Bijan Robinson 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙨 𝙢𝙚 𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙨: N/A 𝐀𝐕𝐎𝐈𝐃: - Austin Ekeler ✳️ target one of the big 4 WRs or CMC / Bijan (would also be fine taking Chubb in RD1) 𝗥𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗 𝟮 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: - Nick Chubb - Amon-Ra St. Brown - Garrett Wilson - Jaylen Waddle - Tony Pollard 𝐀𝐕𝐎𝐈𝐃: - Patrick Mahomes - Davante Adams - Derrick Henry 𝙨𝙡𝙚𝙚𝙥𝙚𝙧: Jaylen Waddle 𝙗𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙤𝙪𝙩: Garrett Wilson 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙨 𝙢𝙚 𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙨: Jonathan Taylor ✳️ you could take an elite QB at the end of RD2 (Allen / Hurts) but I’d prefer to wait 𝗥𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗 𝟯 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: - Mark Andrews - Chris Olave - Rhamondre Stevenson - Najee Harris - Breece Hall - Jahmyr Gibbs 𝐀𝐕𝐎𝐈𝐃: - Tee Higgins - DeVonta Smith - DK Metcalf - Travis Etienne - Deebo Samuel 𝙨𝙡𝙚𝙚𝙥𝙚𝙧: Breece Hall 𝙗𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙤𝙪𝙩: Rhamondre Stevenson 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙨 𝙢𝙚 𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙨: N/A ✳️ RD3 is a RB goldmine / so many strong options with crazy upside 𝗥𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗 𝟰 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: - Justin Fields - Justin Herbert - Joe Mixon - Aaron Jones 𝐀𝐕𝐎𝐈𝐃: - Deebo Samuel - Kenneth Walker - T.J. Hockenson - George Kittle - DeAndre Hopkins 𝙨𝙡𝙚𝙚𝙥𝙚𝙧: Justin Herbert 𝙗𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙤𝙪𝙩: N/A 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙨 𝙢𝙚 𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙨: Keenan Allen ✳️ I love taking either Fields or Herbert in this round / both could finish top 3 at their position 𝗥𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗 𝟱 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: - DJ Moore - Christian Watson - Drake London - Jerry Jeudy - Miles Sanders - Trevor Lawrence 𝐀𝐕𝐎𝐈𝐃: - J.K. Dobbins 𝙨𝙡𝙚𝙚𝙥𝙚𝙧: Alvin Kamara / D’Andre Swift 𝙗𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙤𝙪𝙩: Christian Watson 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙨 𝙢𝙚 𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙨: Dameon Pierce ✳️ targeting a WR in RD5 is a smart decision / really talented options who have league winner written all over them 𝗥𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗 𝟲 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: - Cam Akers - James Conner - Dallas Goedert 𝐀𝐕𝐎𝐈𝐃: - Marquise Brown - Tyler Lockett - Mike Williams 𝙨𝙡𝙚𝙚𝙥𝙚𝙧: James Conner 𝙗𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙤𝙪𝙩: Cam Akers 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙨 𝙢𝙚 𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙨: Darren Waller ✳️ Akers & Conner are two of the cheapest workhorse backs in all of fantasy football 𝗥𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗 𝟳 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: - Jaxon Smith-Njigba - George Pickens - Jordan Addison - Javonte Williams - Christian Kirk 𝐀𝐕𝐎𝐈𝐃: - Mike Evans - David Montgomery - Evan Engram 𝙨𝙡𝙚𝙚𝙥𝙚𝙧: Christian Kirk 𝙗𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙤𝙪𝙩: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙨 𝙢𝙚 𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙨: Rachaad White ✳️ I am reaching for talented players in good situations (JSN & Addison) 𝗥𝗢𝗨𝗡𝗗 𝟴 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: - James Cook - Jahan Dotson - Treylon Burks - Quentin Johnston 𝐀𝐕𝐎𝐈𝐃: - Kadarius Toney 𝙨𝙡𝙚𝙚𝙥𝙚𝙧: Jahan Dotson 𝙗𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙤𝙪𝙩: James Cook 𝙢𝙖𝙠𝙚𝙨 𝙢𝙚 𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙨: N/A ✳️ plenty of very nice values even in RD8 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓: RD9: Zay Flowers, Anthony Richardson & Zach Charbonnet RD10: Dalton Kincaid & De’Von Achane RD11: Chig Okonkwo Before you go… help me out: —> follow @rocfantasy_ if you love everything fantasy football —> RT to share with others —> turn on post notifications 🚨🚨 #FantasyFootball #NFL
Apply all of this to 2022 and we are left with just five possible RBs to be the RB1 overall Bijan Robinson Josh Jacobs Breece Hall Jonathan Taylor Rhamondre Stevenson Here is why each of them could do it:
Hey look, a bracket and some thoughts on it! And now I'm off to bed so I can try to leave this state tomorrow morning before a giant avalanche of snow and wind hit it. thechalk.substack.com/p/before-and-a…
That’s a horrible, game-sealing penalty call. Referees decided the Super Bowl.
On the left: not called in the 2nd quarter On the right: called late in the 4th quarter with the #SuperBowl on the line
Week 4 Fantasy Football Snap Counts... To Stay Ahead for Week 5.
“We think it’s a TD, it looks like a TD, we’ve even circled the ball showing it’s a TD…but it just isn’t clear and obvious enough to call it one” #CHIvsGB
The Packers were called for holding here and then they picked up the flag #CHIvsGB x.com/Bearlissimo1/s…
I make a data dump thread each week after the late-afternoon games and before Sunday Night Football that includes fantasy-relevant stats and information. Week 2's thread starts here.
We pulled a lot of video today, so we are going to see if there is anything we missed. Here are the calls and the rules interpretations for Week 2 refs.ws/2202
Breece Hall saw 37.5% of the Jets' running back rushes in Week 1, but that jumped to 50.0% in Week 2. Oddly, after finishing second in the NFL at RB with 10 targets last week, he saw just 1 this week. And he scored on it.
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