Time and location are critical determinants of success. Despite the widespread presence of contract manufacturers in the US, such as SCI in the 1990s, very few remained by the end of the decade because of developments taking place far away in China. Cheap labor and land, combined…
2 paths to sustained outsized returns:
1. Value chain Domination/Power bought at a reasonable price.
2. Micro or Macro change led future ROE expansion bought at a reasonable Price.
Platforms like Zepto, Blinkit, Swiggy, and Urban Company, which rely heavily on personnel, have become a boon for the Indian government. By absorbing a large number of unskilled young workers into gig roles, they provide crucial livelihood opportunities. Without such outlets,…
Mediocre companies focus on growing their earnings. The great ones focus on compounding capabilities that in turn yield great earnings.
The latter creates an enduring anti-fragile organisation.
Focussing straightaway on the PnL or balance sheet numbers of a company takes away from an unbiased analysis of the business model.
Don’t let the numbers prime you. Sometimes they hide more than they reveal.
Great businesspeople focus on building assets that reward them over the long term. Even an EPC company, though it may not appear to build tangible assets for itself, can be a true asset builder. If it excels in its projects and retains a skilled team, it cultivates valuable…
For the stock to do well, the company behind it has to win the battles it finds itself in. Choose companies that aren't involved in fierce battles, Invest behind easy pickings.
Question:
"Is this company a proprietor of a thoughtfully and painfully built asset in the form of a robust and enduring business model that functions under any circumstances ? ,
Or
Is it just a passive fortuitous participant in a gold rush that will end sometime in the not so…
You want to invest in a company that delivers "Material" benefit to its customers. Materiality partly also helps ascertain the robustness of its business model. If the benefit is not material, the company becomes dispensable to be replaced easily by another without impacting the…
Learnt today that the much celebrated exports of pharmaceuticals from India to USA in value terms are lower than pharma exports from Singapore to USA.
Incredible!
That slick communication of the promoter will not come to your rescue during bad times. What will?
The superiority of his business model vs competition and the margin of safety you insisted on before buying in.
Businesses that don't have internal cash generation, depend on the kindness of strangers to bail them out in tough times.
The true test of a durable business is its ability to fund itself through storms.
A great read KAPUT, throws light on how the sun is setting on a much celebrated Germany because of its diabolical policies over the last few decades. A country that created almost single source dependencies on foreign powers.
Energy: Russia.
Markets: China
Defence: US.
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