14 y/o. market commentary. economist. value investor. swing & position trader. trading a blend of macro, fundamentals, and technicals.medium.com/@hansenvaluein…Joined February 2024
$ASML - IT'S ''IP'' IS A BIG PART OF THE MOAT
Something that's not talked about enough is $ASML IP (intellectual property). Decades of R&D and thousands of patents protect its EUV and DUV technology, making it nearly impossible to copy.
ASML IP strategy is as follows:
✅Build…
This is essentially also my answer to why I don’t think $GOOGL Translate’s language learning feature will hurt $DUOL.
Yes, big companies have more resources, but whether or not they actually want to build a new niche out with all those resources is another story.
This is essentially also my answer to why I don’t think $GOOGL Translate’s language learning feature will hurt $DUOL.
Yes, big companies have more resources, but whether or not they actually want to build a new niche out with all those resources is another story.
This is a good thread to understand where and how $DUOL earns its money.
Advertising and subscription revenue, two of which I view as the company’s most important, are growing fast. This represents a strong core business if it keeps up.
$DUOL is a long term hold for me.
📈
This is a good thread to understand where and how $DUOL earns its money.
Advertising and subscription revenue, two of which I view as the company’s most important, are growing fast. This represents a strong core business if it keeps up.
$DUOL is a long term hold for me.
📈
🚨 $OSCR HAS SIGNS OF A SHORT SQUEEZE:
1- Dark pool investors are buying aggressively.
2- The stock is up +40% from its bottom.
3- Both Warren Buffett bet on $UNH and $OSCR partnership with Hy-Vee have strengthened the stock and working as catalysts.
4 The gloomy probability…
Everyone’s screaming their lungs out for $GOOGL today but no one’s talking about how $GOOGL was still widely considered a “dead” company by Fintwit just a couple months ago.
Crazy how everything turned out.
Trust the fundamentals, play with conviction, and be patient.
$GOOGL
this really was a classic story of sticking with your convictions on a fundamental thesis
im not as heavy into Google as others that I know, but if you were heavy, you had to withstand the $140-$160 range for almost 2 years
you had to believe in the fundamentals and…
Made my entry in $GOOGL earlier this summer ~$160 while it traded low under concerns over AI involvement.
Classic conviction story indeed.
Bullish on $GOOGL 🎯📈
Made my entry in $GOOGL earlier this summer ~$160 while it traded low under concerns over AI involvement.
Classic conviction story indeed.
Bullish on $GOOGL 🎯📈
$DUOL is the most undervalued SaaS company in the entire stock market.
This is EV/Free Cash Flow vs their Free Cash Flow Rule of 40 score for most of the biggest names in SaaS.
You can see that most names fall in the middle region where they are fairly valued. Top left (orange…
Relatively small transaction, but the $NVO purchase on MTG’s latest filing really catches my eye here. 👀
$NVO at one of its lowest multiples, price essentially traded down to pre GLP-1 levels, all while the company has been consistently growing its business.
Worth a thought.
The main factor driving gold and bond yields higher is the prospect of the Supreme Court destroying Fed independence. The Court may rule that FOMC members must serve at the pleasure of an elected President, who has the power to fire them at will, as long as he identifies a cause.
$SPOT and $NFLX are two companies in different areas that I believe have super similar and powerful business models.
Platform-based, subscription model, somewhat capital light.
Given that, this comparison made by @InvestingVisual is actually super interesting to look at.
Dev Kantesaria - Valley Forge Capital
He has beat the market since 2008 with less than 10 stocks
His fund, Valley Forge Capital has compounded by +15% annually
Let me tell you about it🧵
Raymond James summing up my $FICO thesis:
1. Tri-merge requirement is bullish for FICO.
2. FICO is industry standard with network effects + little incentive for lenders to switch to VantageScore.
3. FHFA can’t regulate FICO pricing & can’t force GSEs to stop using FICO scores.
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