Janis Kluge @jakluge
Russia & Economics. Deputy Head of Eastern Europe & Eurasia Division. German Institute for International and Security Affairs @SWPBerlin Picture: Tamek Kowalski swp-berlin.org/en/scientist-d… Berlin, Deutschland Joined June 2009-
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Man kann es nur immer wieder wiederholen: Hätte die Bundesregierung 2022 auf die Kaliberexperten gehört, würden wir die Ukraine jetzt bei der Munitionsversorgung nicht im Stich lassen.
Man kann es nur immer wieder wiederholen: Hätte die Bundesregierung 2022 auf die Kaliberexperten gehört, würden wir die Ukraine jetzt bei der Munitionsversorgung nicht im Stich lassen.
"The reason for his popularity among Westerners is not his purported influence on Putin, but the fact that he has a rich beard, reminding people of Rasputin."
"The reason for his popularity among Westerners is not his purported influence on Putin, but the fact that he has a rich beard, reminding people of Rasputin."
If Putin's historical hallucinations were not enough to completely bore you, Tucker Carlson has another interview for you. Dugin is also hallucinating, but in contrast to Putin he is completely irrelevant. Waste of time.
If Putin's historical hallucinations were not enough to completely bore you, Tucker Carlson has another interview for you. Dugin is also hallucinating, but in contrast to Putin he is completely irrelevant. Waste of time.
One reason why the West will have to invest more in further developing its weapons: Russia is currently gaining a lot of experience in countering them, and captured vehicles will certainly lead to more learning and adaptation in the long run.
One reason why the West will have to invest more in further developing its weapons: Russia is currently gaining a lot of experience in countering them, and captured vehicles will certainly lead to more learning and adaptation in the long run.
"Die wenigsten Kriege enden mit Friedensverhandlungen" Ein sehr interessantes Interview darüber, was uns die Geschichte über Friedensverhandlungen lehrt und warum die Hoffnung auf einen Verhandlungsfrieden zwischen Russland und der Ukraine weltfremd ist. n-tv.de/politik/Interv…
Feels like it will be the last time the US invests big in European security. Europe better get ready to take over.
I disagree with the assumption that the Istanbul Communiqué reflects Putin's intentions. This is the article's Achilles heel. If the communiqué contradicts what Putin is saying and doing elsewhere, chances are that's not a revelation about Putin, but about the Communiqué.
I disagree with the assumption that the Istanbul Communiqué reflects Putin's intentions. This is the article's Achilles heel. If the communiqué contradicts what Putin is saying and doing elsewhere, chances are that's not a revelation about Putin, but about the Communiqué.
Schachmatt. Der Russlandforscher hat Israel nicht kritisiert. Wir sind komplett gleichgeschaltet.
Schachmatt. Der Russlandforscher hat Israel nicht kritisiert. Wir sind komplett gleichgeschaltet.
Ja, das ist wenig durchdacht im Kundnani-Text. Wenn die SWP so abhängig ist vom Kanzleramt, weil die Finanzierung über das Kanzleramt läuft, warum kritisieren die Thinktankler dann so scharf die Parteikollegen des Kanzlers? Ist der Kanzler nun Teil des "Groupthinks" oder nicht?
Ja, das ist wenig durchdacht im Kundnani-Text. Wenn die SWP so abhängig ist vom Kanzleramt, weil die Finanzierung über das Kanzleramt läuft, warum kritisieren die Thinktankler dann so scharf die Parteikollegen des Kanzlers? Ist der Kanzler nun Teil des "Groupthinks" oder nicht?
Step 3 --> Order up to 8 new Patriot systems + 500 missiles... bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Step 3 --> Order up to 8 new Patriot systems + 500 missiles... bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
While there are always reasons to criticize Berlin, I think the German government got it right this time: Step 1 --> Unilaterally announce additional Patriot system for Ukraine.✅ Step 2 --> Ask partners to follow suit.✅
Unfortunately, it was entirely predictable that the recent piece by Charap and Radchenko would become the go-to "proof" that trolls post under my tweets.
Unfortunately, it was entirely predictable that the recent piece by Charap and Radchenko would become the go-to "proof" that trolls post under my tweets.
Read this! An excellent, clear-eyed analysis of why negotiations are unlikely to end the war in Ukraine anytime soon. By Branislav @slantchev and Hein Goemans. foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/obstac…
Claudia Major @ClaudMajor
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19K Followers 3K Following Journalist in Ukraine. Recently with @FT @washingtonpost and @theeconomist ‘s @1843mag. Former Ukraine correspondent for @guardian.Die Nachdenkseiten, die ABM-Anlaufstelle für Putins deutsche Propagandasöldner. Der Autor dieses Textes, der mir in meine TL gespült wurde, mimte früher den Wahlbeobachter in Donezk, reiste mit Ken Jebsen auf die Krim und schrieb für Sputnik.
Ukraine-Konferenz in der Schweiz: Ohne Russland, ohne China, ohne Friedensabsicht nachdenkseiten.de/?p=114577
A good piece on the state of the Russian economy, by Carnegie's @amenka: carnegieendowment.org/politika/92326. The big picture is that the Russian economy is not growing: the increase in war spending is via redistribution from peoples' consumption (via drop in import and social spending).
Seriously though, Dugin is far more popular among Western 'Russia watchers' than he is among actual Russians. And the reason for his popularity among Westerners is not his purported influence on Putin, but the fact that he has a rich beard, reminding people of Rasputin.
1/ @konrad_muzyka has published an excellent if rather gloomy thread on the current situation in Ukraine. In the interests of helping it to reach a wider audience, I thought an English translation would be useful. x.com/konrad_muzyka/…
Zapraszam na krótką nitkę o obecnej sytuacji na froncie. W skrócie, sytuacja wygląda bardzo źle i nie należy oczekiwać jej poprawy w najbliższych tygodniach.
Kaliberexpert:innen verstehen, warum das eine beunruhigende Nachricht ist.
We're suspending our flights to Tartu from 29 April until May 31. The approach methods currently used at Tartu Airport are based on a GPS signal and GPS interference in the area affects the usability of this method. Read more: company.finnair.com/en/media-centr…
Mit solchen Bildern frage ich hier in Moskau rum: Ist das "Kampf gegen den Westen" oder gegen "ukrainische Faschisten"? Antworten: 1. keine, 2. Fehler passieren, 3. militärische Einheiten im Gebäude. Mitgefühl: ja, auch, weil "alle Opfer des Westens". Selbst ich verzweifele.
@jakluge In this reading, the “blob” are the shrill hawks who pushed public opinion and, therefore, the Ampel’s politicians, to drive the Zeitenwende beyond helmets🪖, warm fuzzy thoughts💭, and some ecumenical prayers🙏 ? Maybe. But I’m still confused. 1/3
@jakluge What about government officials - the so called “deep state”? If them, how could conventional wisdom change so fast? And what about politicians? If the latter, how come there is that much variation, even among social democrats? The “blob”, I fear, is a convenient illusion🤓. 3/3
@jakluge Are non-governmental key opinion leaders the main “blobbers”? If so, how come the media gives them so much attention? How come they have such policy access? How come they have such impact in peace loving Germany? Could maybe the core causal pathway run the other way around? 2/3
Issuance of Russia-related General License The Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) is issuing #Russia-related General License 8I "Authorizing Transactions Related to Energy." #oott ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions…
Just a reminder: the Japanese government has bought $1.2 trillion of dollars and euros since 2000 and is currently sitting on one of the biggest trading profits from fx in modern financial history
& well, the Government of Japan is long dollars in a big way: its solvency improves as the yen weakens. That is in a sense why there hasn't been urgency to use monetary policy to support the yen. But there also is nothing wrong with taking a few profits to help households 3/3
🔴EXKLUSIV von @scharap and @DrRadchenko bereits am 16. April in Foreign Affairs.
🔴 EXKLUSIV von @gregorschwung: Kurz nach Russlands Überfall auf die Ukraine hatten Unterhändler auf beiden Seiten einen Friedensvertrag entworfen. Das 17-seitige Papier liegt WELT AM SONNTAG vor. Selbst heute erscheint der Deal immer noch vorteilhaft. welt.de/politik/auslan…
I just had a perfectly pleasant ride on the U8 and was able to pay for a vending machine item with a debit card. #berlinwende
When you are not good with #selfies but keep trying (with a help of 👨🍳) 🤭 #bahnzeit richtung Prag/Praha @OndrejHouska @PavlinaJanebova
And for a financial outlook, see the latest from my @CEIP_Politika colleague @amenka
Following the release of the US aid package to Ukraine, the best-case scenario for Kyiv in '24 seems to be that 🇷🇺's gains are limited to incremental progress at the height of its defense spending. But what if 🇷🇺's military spending has not yet peaked? 🧵 carnegieendowment.org/politika/92326
The U.S. supplemental has passed and aid is on the way to Ukrainian frontlines. But months of delay for ammo and manpower have come at a cost. Problems cannot easily be undone, especially in Donetsk. A brief thread on what Russian decisions say about their summer plans. 🧵
„Mit dem Tankrabatt versprach Christian Lindner sinkende Preise an der Zapfsäule. Sein Ministerium sollte sicherstellen, dass die milliardenschwere Steuerentlastung bei der Bevölkerung ankommt. Am Ende profitierten die Ölkonzerne“ D. Ministerium wusste es: fragdenstaat.de/blog/2024/04/1…
Following the release of the US aid package to Ukraine, the best-case scenario for Kyiv in '24 seems to be that 🇷🇺's gains are limited to incremental progress at the height of its defense spending. But what if 🇷🇺's military spending has not yet peaked? 🧵 carnegieendowment.org/politika/92326
"The Russian economy resembles a marathon runner battling the flu yet bolstered by steroids, propelling them forward [...] The runner faces slim odds of winning but persists, sustained by the performance-enhancing effects of the steroids," writes @amenka carnegieendowment.org/politika/92326