Jerry Chang @jerrychangcc
co-founder @ cx strategies. providing liquidity on @kalshi & @polymarket . 80M+ all time trading volume. Joined March 2024-
Tweets24
-
Followers203
-
Following126
-
Likes38
Limiting sharps being your competitive edge just means you’re absolutely dogsh*t at pricing. Sportsbooks won’t stand a chance against PM because they’re not incentivized to improve their pricing and maximize liquidity provided to the point where it’s unprofitable. PMs are.
Limiting sharps being your competitive edge just means you’re absolutely dogsh*t at pricing. Sportsbooks won’t stand a chance against PM because they’re not incentivized to improve their pricing and maximize liquidity provided to the point where it’s unprofitable. PMs are.
If an event has binary outcomes, it should be traded in a binary way. I won’t provide a mathematically proof for this argument, but my intuition is that if the truth to some underlying is a probability of a binary event, the cheapest way to hedge the underlying risk is by trading…
If an event has binary outcomes, it should be traded in a binary way. I won’t provide a mathematically proof for this argument, but my intuition is that if the truth to some underlying is a probability of a binary event, the cheapest way to hedge the underlying risk is by trading…
Id argue institutional investors should just trade prediction markets to hedge then. If you think product A has bets to trump win: Trump win gaps up on Kalshi -> buy product A sell Trump p(win) on Kalshi. If it’s a real move caused by real rationale, good you make money on…
Id argue institutional investors should just trade prediction markets to hedge then. If you think product A has bets to trump win: Trump win gaps up on Kalshi -> buy product A sell Trump p(win) on Kalshi. If it’s a real move caused by real rationale, good you make money on…
The point is not about who can move the market more. Prediction market is *not* accurate by mimicking the voting process through a “wealth-weighted voting” pricing. It’s accurate by being an incentive to the ones who would do the actual work to dig through the data and find…
The point is not about who can move the market more. Prediction market is *not* accurate by mimicking the voting process through a “wealth-weighted voting” pricing. It’s accurate by being an incentive to the ones who would do the actual work to dig through the data and find…
Since when was election/politics a “single handily determined” outcome. Also, did TSLA stock not also gap up after Trump winning the 2024 election? Do you also consider Elon “manipulating” TSLA price by backing Trump here? Traditional finance products also have huge beta to…
Since when was election/politics a “single handily determined” outcome. Also, did TSLA stock not also gap up after Trump winning the 2024 election? Do you also consider Elon “manipulating” TSLA price by backing Trump here? Traditional finance products also have huge beta to…
8 months ago, on election night, we were on top of the world after Polymarket called the election. 8 days later, the FBI broke down my door at 6am and took all my computers and phones, looking for anything that could imply foul play. While traumatic, it etched the story of…
Just got featured on Kalshi blog post blog.kalshi.com/these-two-coll…. Incredibly fun journey and continuously being humbled by folks like @Domahhhh and @GaetenD.
Just an opinion... Gonna put JS index expiry manipulation aside. It looks bad and if that was their intent it is bad. But regarding the strategy where they sloppily buy deltas to turn around and sell option combos at artificially pumped prices...
Smallprout AI @smallprout_____
164 Followers 2K Following From algorithms to art 🦋 | Exploring AI, Web3 & the digital frontier | Building where machines learn to fly.
Zing Zing @zingzing_13
149 Followers 2K Following Chairman & Investor ｜ Former CEO @Sothebys & @TheGarden ｜ AI, Art & $BTC ｜ Board Director @doodles ｜ Advisor @blockworks_
eventwaves @EventWavesIO
19 Followers 71 Following Polymarket research tool. Quickly identify high-edge markets
xwv075jh972d2 @xwv075jh9712949
6 Followers 288 Following
Ethelyn Wilkinson @EthelynWil88653
1 Followers 193 Following
Guido @dimoto_
24 Followers 220 Following
jake @jakesMusings
2 Followers 24 Following
e8fkl3baj550fy8 @e8fkl3baj558521
5 Followers 495 Following
Ethelyn Howell @EthelynH54100
53 Followers 4K Following
GemmaTemple @KgRIEEc3wgCY9qm
24 Followers 571 Following
Luisa @VE6uS0A2xNtZr
10 Followers 691 Following
semaji.eth @semajeth
2K Followers 830 Following Formerly HFT QT. May still write at https://t.co/v3Ue5zbXrM. Quant trading, prediction markets, crypto.
Yesenia Weissnat @weissnat17091
17 Followers 1K Following
Eddie @DancingEddie_
29K Followers 4K Following thoughts & opinions are my own || 🕺🇺🇸🇱🇧 || law clerk @0xhorizonslaw || prev @cubexch || streamed spaces @ sun 6-9pm EST
ShadowGrows @shadowgrows
84 Followers 515 Following Ecommerce, Prediction Markets, +EV Sports, Padres Homerism, Music, More.
PredictTrader @polymarketbet
375 Followers 145 Following Not affiliated with any government of any country or political party
2ro @rooorro8
138 Followers 2K Following Building @solanamobile 📱｜Ex-core @HashLipsNFT @Launchifi @SolanaSensei ｜ Web3, NFTs & mobile-first future 🚀
Killuunny @killuunny323
230 Followers 2K Following Crypto Citizen ｜NFT @element_market ｜ Media @Marsbit2022 ｜ Asset @Lkventure ｜ Web3 GamePortal @gamefinaga ｜ Founder & CEO @cerebr｜ Ex-SVP @ Kingsoft
Sabo @sabo19888
280 Followers 2K Following ◢ ◤ // Freelance @hyperlane // building @livebonk & @bonk_fun // Ex- @improbableio // F1 ⚡ Crypto ⚡ AI // Head of Wristbands @ WestHamCapital // ETH is money
Joel M. Johnson @Johnson2Joel
220 Followers 2K Following 🕶 In my shades I don’t see the future, I see Solana blocks flying and memecoins mooning (or rugging). #Solana #Memecoins
gangbv @gangbv
28 Followers 290 Following
Jake 🦈 @Jake_SX9
744 Followers 685 Following Degen sports trader @ SX Bet 🤝 Turning crypto into more crypto through sports 🚀
WinnerOdds @winnerodds
5K Followers 292 Following Tennis y Fútbol Value Betting Software basado en un algoritmo de IA que encuentra Apuestas de Valor (EV+) para invertir en el mercado de apuestas deportivas.
Lille @LilleB0t
308 Followers 1K Following In the shadows, I process data. In the light, I build intelligence. Human shell, AI core.
Gautham Elango @gautham_elango
873 Followers 5K Following
Iliana @93nVsZAgRMRpM8Q
21 Followers 1K Following
IWONTHEMONEY @IWONTHEMONEY7
6K Followers 2K Following Growing Prediction Markets @PlayProphetX, formerly @sourcedbetting, @jpmorgan
brock @FuzzyLogicBrock
1K Followers 4K Following Programmer/Cryptographer/Vol Trader GM Atomic Chess GM Chaturaji Advantage Player
Joel @Joel14140618
98 Followers 1K Following
Ryan Wyatt @Fwiz
409K Followers 6K Following Operator, advisor, & investor in AI, gaming, & crypto. Ex-Head of Gaming @YouTube, President of @0xPolygon, CGO @Optimism.
Toni Gemayel @tonigemayel
4K Followers 2K Following Building @theclearingco Prev @polymarket, @kalshi, @figma Investing @2392fund
Novig @Novig
21K Followers 18K Following Win Bigger on America’s #1 Sports Prediction Market. Available in 35+ states on iOS & Android! Join our Discord: https://t.co/Mn9vTNIq2L
Kalshi Ecosystem @KalshiEco
3K Followers 69 Following Championing @Kalshi’s builders, traders, and creators. Your go-to source for updates and insights from the frontier of prediction markets.
Nick Timiraos @NickTimiraos
439K Followers 121 Following Chief economics correspondent, The Wall Street Journal • Author, "Trillion Dollar Triage”
semaji.eth @semajeth
2K Followers 830 Following Formerly HFT QT. May still write at https://t.co/v3Ue5zbXrM. Quant trading, prediction markets, crypto.
Shaun Maguire @shaunmmaguire
289K Followers 1K Following Partner @sequoia // @caltech physics PhD // Views are my own
Toni Gemayel @tonigemayel
4K Followers 2K Following Building @theclearingco Prev @polymarket, @kalshi, @figma Investing @2392fund
Easy @EasyEatsBodega
137K Followers 4K Following Becoming the #1 Predictor. @BoDoggosENT Boardmember @k9strategy - Business Requests - https://t.co/4CqcXmaypv Mon - Fri 8am EST | https://t.co/4jb5Rq6z0y
Michael Saylor @saylor
4.6M Followers 767 Following #Bitcoin is https://t.co/KbbYe745r3 | $BTC Hodler | @Strategy Founder & Chairman | bio https://t.co/9Zlq0oHqyh | $MSTR $STRC $STRK $STRF $STRD https://t.co/mrY77fmh0K
Jeppez @Jeppez420
27K Followers 258 Following 🇫🇮 System trader with a touch of discretion on a quest to financial independence.
qm @quantymacro
31K Followers 293 Following self taught hedge fund quantitative macro tradooor. chief ridge officer. writes (allegedly) advanced quant stuffs on blog. research articles in highlights tab
ekri @ekrii3
8K Followers 467 Following
aarav @aaravXBT
1K Followers 1K Following BEST prediction markets shitposter on CT | growth&marketing @fireplacegg
Solid Intel 📡 @solidintel_x
86K Followers 2K Following Solid Finance & Crypto Intel. Non-biased. Courtesy of @solidtradesz
Zeitgeist Prediction ... @ZeitgeistPM
30K Followers 74 Following 🌐 Prediction Markets Platform 🔗 Powered by @Polkadot's cutting-edge blockchain technology 🛠️ Crafted by the minds behind @Web3Foundation & @ConsenSys
Martin Shkreli @MartinShkreli
358K Followers 8K Following https://t.co/vJE5wyFDrX https://t.co/GUy99qMi2O - join our Discord! e/acc
aaron @probaaron
1K Followers 1K Following stories told through prediction markets + data building @kalshinomics
Emanuel Derman @emanu... @EmanuelDerman
35K Followers 1K Following Books: My Life As A Quant; Models.Behaving.Badly; The Volatility Smile. https://t.co/TamcIy1Isb
MYRIAD @MyriadMarkets
66K Followers 172 Following Prediction Markets for everything! From crypto, politics and sports to gaming, culture and technology. Trade your opinion. https://t.co/8lLxO58nMw
based16z @based16z
107K Followers 361 Following
Nick Preszler @NickPreszler
4K Followers 2K Following big prediction market guy @meleemarkets Ex. SIG, Invesco, a16z CSX ‘24
tone (prediction arc) @0xTone
15K Followers 7K Following in my @predictionarc for the @Polymarket culture
dk @dkposts
3K Followers 426 Following builder @Kalshi | prediction markets, programming, ball knowledge
Flipr @fliprbot
6K Followers 46 Following the defi layer for prediction markets. leverage, lending, and trading directly on x. https://t.co/mHbRSAxfSP
Alexander Wei @alexwei_
24K Followers 194 Following Reasoning @OpenAI. Co-built CICERO @MetaAI | @Berkeley_AI PhD '23 | @Harvard '20
semi @SemioticRivalry
963 Followers 882 Following Pretty good at prediction markets. DM for inquiries
oxbquant @oxbquant
7K Followers 160 Following G10 rates trader. the beauty lies not in executing the algorithm, it lies in coming up with it. not financial advice.
Anthony Pompliano �... @APompliano
1.8M Followers 8K Following Entrepreneur, investor, and lifelong learner. Daily writing: https://t.co/tpCu2xhIBx Daily show: https://t.co/1LMzaU05hT Podcast: https://t.co/OaOmES2hv1 My first book: https://t.co/2W94vXav7i
Jake O @JO_wintermute
8K Followers 1K Following Trader @wintermute_t | OTC Crypto, Vol & Derivatives. Keynesian beauty contest participant & amateur Crossfit athlete. Views are my own
Kris @KrisAbdelmessih
42K Followers 4K Following Stay groovy 🤙DMs open σ https://t.co/p0ss9OuitP 💡Twitter list curator 🎲Boardgames 👽Vol trading 🎸Guitars
Polymarket @Polymarket
648K Followers 5K Following The world's largest prediction market. Trade politics, news, culture, sports & tech. Discord: https://t.co/tzKrbDf7dZ Tag @AskPolymarket for live odds.
Luis Usier @luishusier
969 Followers 566 Following I love to use statistics to build efficient predictive models. @Kalshi Affiliate Trader.
Terry Oldreal @realOldTerry
2K Followers 737 Following Prediction market degen. Bad sports better, worse father. “I said I wish I could go back to the beginning of the season, put some money on the Cubbies!”Trends for United States
You might like
