John Rickert @johnrickert
Rose Hulman mathematics professor, SABR member, RSI tutor, Wisconsin native Joined July 2009-
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MLB post designed so missing WS makes a team look like they are not built for the post. W-L in last 10 post G. Total 102-198 .340: 7-3 KC,Was 6-4 Tex 5-5 Ari,Bos,Hou,Mia,Phi,SD 4-6 Pit,SF 3-7 Atl,Cal,ChW,Cle,Det,Min,NYM,NYY,Oak,Sea 2-8 Bal,CHC,Cin,Col,LAD 1-9 Mil,StL,TB,Tor
October 30 Championship significant game ([Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Ari@Texi 62.7 #MLB #Postseason baseball-reference.com/boxes/ARI/ARI2…
October 28 Championship significant games ([Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Ari@Texi 52.6 #MLB #Postseason baseball-reference.com/boxes/TEX/TEX2…
October 27 Championship significant games ([Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Ari@Texi 52.2 #MLB #Postseason
The design of the post-season means that the fans of teams that didn't make the World Series can complain that the teams are not built for the post-season. Only the Phillies, Red Sox, and Astros are over .500 in the post-season since their last World Series appearance.
October 24 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Ari@Phi 83.3 baseball-reference.com/boxes/PHI/PHI2…
October 19 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Tex@Hou 83.4; Ari@Phi 39.0 #MLB #Postseason baseball-reference.com/boxes/HOU/HOU2…
October 22 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Tex@Hou 39.0 #MLB #Postseason baseball-reference.com/boxes/HOU/HOU2…
October 21 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Phi@Ari 41.4 #MLB #Postseason baseball-reference.com/boxes/ARI/ARI2…
October 20 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Hou@Tex 41.5; Phi@Ari 30.6 #MLB #Postseason baseball-reference.com/boxes/TEX/TEX2…
October 19 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Tex@Hou 32.0; Phi@Ari 20.8 #MLB #Postseason baseball-reference.com/boxes/TEX/TEX2…
October 18 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Tex@Hou 20.8 #MLB #Postseason
October 17 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Ari@Phi 26.4 #MLB #Postseason
October 16 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Ari@Phi 26.1 Tex@Hou 25.8 #MLB #Postseason
October 15 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Tex@Hou 26.2 #MLB #Postseason
October 12 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Atl@Phi 22.2 #MLB #Postseason
October 10 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Min@Hou 21.0; Tex@Bal 10.4; #MLB #Postseason
October 9 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Phi@Atl 15.3; Ari@LAD 15.3; #MLB #Postseason
October 8 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Min@Hour 15.9; Tex@Bal 15.3; #MLB #Postseason
October 7 Championship significant games (harmonic mean of [Championship Leverage Index]/[Leverage Index]) Min@Hour 15.7; Phi@Atl 15.6; Tex@Bal 15.6; Ari@LAD 15.6; #MLB #Postseason
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The Brewers had caught four runners stealing as a team all season coming into this game. They have three tonight alone.
Assuming exit velocites max out at 120 mph, the maximum distance of a fly ball is about 500 ft., absent wind and assuming standard atmospheric conditions (e.g. not Denver).
@mike_petriello I may have missed this, but did y'all happen to calculate the exit velo/launch angle it would take in modern Fenway to hit the seat?
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In other words, even though the red seat is nearly 500 ft from home plate, it is 31 ft above ground level and therefore not possible to hit w/o wind, assuming 120 mph limit.
NEW: Casas, Ortiz, & Mo all have cast doubt that Ted really hit the red seat 502 feet away. We used new tech to answer an old question, and the answer is .. it's not 502 feet. It's more like 530. And it's real -- but it probably can't be repeated. --> mlb.com/redsox/news/te…
Good stuff from Andrea So, Im always interested in seeing slider usage by young pitchers, and this is odd. The curve+changeup makes sense as those should be thrown to opp-sided batters Ill have to look at his slider usage, as that is (normally) thrown to same-sided only. Its...
Quick Breakdown of Pirates Jared Jones and his pitch mix:
Just two very different batters. Normally, when you see splits in outcomes (OBP, SLG, etc), we assume healthy amount of Random Variation (RV) But when you KNOW bat speed, that RV drops substantially (You'll be seeing this at some point in 2024... dont ask me for a date please)
fangraphs.com/players/elly-d… And he's doing this with one hand tied behind his back. Just imagine what he can do when he stops trying to hit as a RHH.
When I look at run values for Skenes by pitch type, only his 4-seam fastball stands out as exceptional (very very exceptional). Which is more impressive considering all these minor league hitters must be sitting fastball And somehow, they are around avg on all his other pitches
#Statcast Mollweide Projection and Spin Axis report: Paul Skenes Lots to see here. First, let's start with the spin axis. His slider, sweeper and (ostensibly) a curve (but actually a slurve) really don't have much separation in terms of how they spin, nor in their speed.
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All settled in and moved into my new place! Madison I’ll see you Monday, Rockford I still miss you😉🩷🫶🏽
Tobias Myers has settled in nicely with an assist to the defense. Just three hits and no runs since the leadoff homer. He's through four innings but it's still 1-0, Pirates.
Tobias Myers is looking quite #good. Five one-run innings with four strikeouts, including this painted fastball to Andrew McCutchen for a whiff to end the fifth.
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While on the topic of starters and injuries, Robert Gasser isn't a candidate to pitch for the Brewers this series, Pat Murphy said. The plan is for him to go 4 innings for Nashville in coming days. After that, could be an option it sounds like.
#Statcast Aging Curve for Squared Up cc: @sunshinevvn
#Statcast Aging Curve for Taking a Pitch cc: @michael_k_woods
#Statcast Aging Curve for Squared Up cc: @sunshinevvn