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@kuzzopicks Bro is not a rebounder. 3.3 last season and new team doesn’t add 2 more rebounds. I’ll eat my words if it hits but Rui has never been a great rebounder
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Darius Garland has a LOT on his plate tonight
With Kawhi Leonard gone and Ingram/Beal/Strus sidelined, there’s a clear opening for him to take control of this offense. His ability to create pull up shots and get into the lane should make him one of LAC’s first options when a possession breaks down
Notably, in his two games LY without Kawhi: 21 FGA (32 min), 17 FGA (26 min) | 19.00 AVG FGA
The baseline is encouraging once you account for minutes. Garland averaged 15.5 FGA in 29.1 min with LAC LY, carrying a 29.5% usage rate
That pace translates to roughly 17-18 attempts over 30+ min, before adjusting for this season’s roster
Sacramento finished 28th in defensive rating LY, but… the MORE relevant number for this prop is 88.95 opponent FGA per game (AKA 16th most)
Their defense allowed efficient scoring without necessarily producing unusually high shot totals for opponents
If you have been following me since last NBA season, this Wallace 3pt attempts prop needs no introduction
& NOW with Dort/Joe/Wiggins gone, Caso has a clear path to consistent PT + more responsibility as a floor spacer alongside both SGA & Jdubs
He was also labeled as a starter for today’s game
Notably, Daigneault has made his confidence in Caso clear: “He’s somebody that I trust as much as anybody.” And Kenrich Williams also pointed to Caso’s progress in camp when naming him his top breakout candidate
Now, I expect Castle to handle much of the SGA assignment, with Wallace spacing the floor off the ball
Wallace can benefit when > his man commits to helping inside, creating room for him to relocate into a passing lane and get a 3 up off the kickout
We’ve also already seen encouraging volume in preseason: 4 3PA in 18 minutes against MIL and 5 in 20 against IND. 9 of his 15 shots came from three, exactly the shot profile I’m looking for as his role grows
I really like how this Pacers roster fits with Hali finally back running the offense
If IND stays healthy, I would NOT be surprised to see them make another DEEP playoff run… just like they did two seasons ago
Much of the core that won 50 games & reached the Finals two seasons ago remains, which gives R. Carlisle an established group to build around
And replacing Turner with Zubac adds a lot more physicality inside… AND I like how his screening, finishing and rebounding fit alongside this squad
This roster has enough talent and familiarity to reach 45 wins without needing to replicate its 2025 Finals run
Health is the biggest variable, but I trust Carlisle to put them back among the East’s better teams
The biggest thing that caught my attention here is Ty Lue challenging Rui to average 7–8 rebs this season
Garland brought up that expectation, and Rui himself said rebounding was one of the first things the coaching staff discussed with him when he arrived
And overall that gives me reason to expect more involvement on the glass entering this season
We’ve already seen some encouraging signs in preseason… with Rui grabbing > 5 boards in 15 minutes vs GSW, 3 in 19 vs TOR, 5 in 24 vs DEN
Notably, what stands out most to me is the DEN game, where he had 11 reb chances, including 10 defensively. He finished with 5 without needing to convert an unusually high percentage of his opportunities
With Ingram and Strus sidelined, I expect Rui to get substantial minutes on the wing and at PF
Sabonis presents a challenge on the offensive glass, but if Jackson occupies him inside, Rui has opportunities to collect misses from the weak side
Yeah, I’d expect the bigger shift in his playmaking workload. If Bron handles more of the organizing, Maxey could see fewer asts opportunities + potentially fewer turnovers while still getting plenty of shots off the C&S and attacking tilted defenses. Less time on the ball doesn’t necessarily mean less scoring
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