magician @magicccian

@IceLight112 @TEENWOL26605483 Nice

@m9keout @Polymarket The problem here is not with the "Market context", but that they do not follow the rules. If suddenly the market drops to "Yes", then you should file a class action lawsuit against the company.

Hey @shayne_coplan You’ve built - and continue to build - an excellent product. But right now, there’s real chaos happening on a number of markets in @Polymarket In the event polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira…, UMA token stakers are currently voting on the outcome. It’s ridiculous that the fate of a market with $120 million in trading volume is being decided by holders of a token with a market cap of only $42 million. If you subtract the exchanges and the team holdings, the actual stakers probably control no more than $20 million worth of tokens. And these holders who influence Polymarket resolutions are very likely participating in the bets themselves. That means the most interested parties are the ones deciding the outcome. How can they possibly make a fair and honest decision when their own profits are on the line? Is this really the kind of decentralization we were aiming for, Shayne? It would be much better if you appointed 7 anonymous experts who would vote on disputed markets in a balanced and objective way - instead of letting random UMA token holders decide the fate of a billion-dollar platform! By the way, I remember @Tyler_Did_It ran into a similar problem about a year ago. Below, I’ll explain why this market should resolve as NO: What actually happened on the evening of April 7, 2026: •Around 6:30–7:00 PM ET, President Trump posted on Truth Social. He offered to suspend U.S. bombing and attacks on Iran for two weeks, but only if Iran agreed to the complete, immediate, and safe opening of the Strait of Hormuz.
He called it a “double-sided ceasefire” and described Iran’s 10-point plan as a “workable basis for negotiations.” Trump added that most issues were nearly resolved and the two weeks would be used to finalize a full agreement. •Iran’s Supreme National Security Council released its statement on April 8 (after midnight ET). They accepted the two-week ceasefire but framed it as a “great victory,” claiming the U.S. had fully accepted their 10-point plan. Why this is NOT a full official agreement: •It was a conditional, unilateral announcement by Trump — the pause in strikes depends on Iran immediately reopening the Strait. •No signed joint document or official bilateral statement exists. •The White House later clarified that Iran’s original 10-point plan was “fundamentally unserious,” “unacceptable,” and “thrown in the garbage.” What Trump called “workable” was a revised version negotiated via Pakistan. •Both sides interpret the deal very differently (especially on sanctions, uranium enrichment, Lebanon, and U.S. troop withdrawal).

@AtriA33AirtA @shayne_coplan @Polymarket I would like to clarify that by voting "Yes" they would have violated their rules that a temporary truce is not taken into account when voting.