The Wave Analyst @mena_dory
Technical and Financial Analyst loving Elliottwaves. I Love what I do. Pure content | pure information. Not Financial Advice. Joined April 2020-
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🍊 today’s issue: today orange swan, YEET’s Trump / Dump Filter, caught a bullish @unusual_whales whale divergence from our baseline filter. Then he announced he was pushing Zelenskyy for talks in the Ukraine. More cool shit in today’s YEET
Prestige is weighted toward $SPY calls to 773 and 774 today
The AI data center group crashed yesterday, with $CRWV down 15%, and the trigger was the one I named in September: the financing. CoreWeave announced a $3 billion convertible and up to 35 million new shares, two days after Cipher priced $850 million of its own. $IREN $CIFR
$CRWV fell 15% yesterday, four days after I called the AI data center slide my clearest call. It lost another 6% after the close, and CoreWeave's 2032 bonds now trade below 78 cents on the dollar. $IREN and $CIFR already closed inside my zones.
$OSCR is in the zone where I expect wave (B) to end. UBS raised its target to $36 on Monday, the top of that zone. Oscar trades at a 52-week high and it looks like a breakout. On my count it's the last leg of the expanded flat.
$SMCI : wave (C) is underway. Wave (B) topped at the 0.786 at $45.27, exactly inside the resistance zone from my last post, and price is already back below $40.58. I'm waiting for (C) to finish wave (2) in my entry zone between $26.32 and $23.11.
$SOFI KBW cut its target to $15 on Monday, right where SoFi sits on my triangle floor. StoneX started coverage at Buy with a $25 target the same day. For me the weekly close decides it. Below $14.92 wave 5 starts, and my entry zone still begins at $10.78.
Until this dumb “war” ends and oil and yields come down, this is going to be an annoying market to trade. You either have to accept it or sit on the sidelines. An easier “free money” trading environment will eventually come again at some point but until then we have to embrace
The Nasdaq just broke out of a 5 month range and is consolidating above previous all time highs. Goodnight!
One of the most important things in this market is knowing where a stock is in its lifecycle. If a stock is already up 10x and reports blowout numbers or a big headline, the bar is way higher and great numbers or big news is expected or even “priced in.” But when a stock is
Repeat after me: Pullbacks or pauses in the midst of an uptrend are normal and often opportunity to get more exposure, not a reason to panic or sell everything.
The worst part of this move is that when we eventually do pull back, the same people who have been bearish for months will lecture everyone about how they were right, completely ignoring the monster move they missed.
Utilize higher timeframes. The purpose of the monthly and weekly chart is to give you a sense of where the overall trend is headed. We want to own stocks with great setups on higher timeframes because the odds of the trade working in the shorter timeframe are greater. Stocks
The argument against this market over the last five months as it’s chopped around despite hitting new all time highs has been poor breadth. If we start to see breadth improve and more stocks participate, things could get crazy to close out 2026. Q4 is typically the strongest
Big win Small win Breakeven Small loss Just don’t take a big loss. It can really be this simple.
Something you should have come to realize over the past 3+ years is that a market that has a big wall of worry to climb can be one of the most lucrative markets of all.
@JoeyMannarinoUS @realDonaldTrump The best fuck up I've ever seen broadcast...to see this jackass, spreading bs at the obscure landscaping store, between the porn shop and crematorium. Either fucked up the presser booking or no other respectable business would allow them to stand on their property and lie.
@Rue26991240 @JoeyMannarinoUS @realDonaldTrump when did saying "fuck (insert name)" become a statement that qualifies one as a genius? That statement comes out my mouth at least 20 times a day...ivy league here I come...
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Crude Oil trade @crudeoiltrades
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