Mike McGlone @mikemcglone11
Senior Commodity Strategist - Bloomberg Intelligence Miami, FL Joined August 2013-
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Gold May be Signaling a Bit of Normalization - It may take a minor catalyst to trigger some upward reversion in the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index (BCOM) vs. the S&P 500 (SPX), notably if the #stockmarket backs up a bit. My graphic shows the BCOM/SPX ratio potentially bottoming…
All may be fine as long as beta is rising, but the high-price cure that has afflicted most commodities since 2022 may be trickling down.
May Energy Outlook: What Stops Crude From Following Gas? High-to-Low Price Evolution - To avoid following #naturalgas toward a low-price cure, #crudeoil prices appear increasingly dependent on supply disruptions, which aren't happening despite global conflicts. At the epicenter…
Has Crude Made the Turn? Hedge Funds Have Started Liquidating - Some combination of a supply disruption and advancing beta may be necessary to keep #crudeoil rising, if managed money #futures positions (#hedgefunds) are a guide. My graphic shows #petroleum net-longs dropping to…
Deflating Grains May Be Canary in the Coal Mine - The Bloomberg #Grains Spot Subindex one-year decline of about 20% to April 24 shows #agriculture-price #deflation and might be a precursor of what to expect in most #commodities. It's the ability to bring on supply in one year…
Gold's Outperformance May Be Gaining Fuel - The rules of reversion -- and very low volatility, high rates and propensity for #gold to beat most #commodities over time -- may prevail in 2024. At about 200 on April 25, the graphic shows the ratio of gold vs. the Bloomberg Commodity…
Announcing @mikemcglone11 commodity strategist from @BBGIntelligence as a panelist at #BitcoinDay #Miami to talk about #Bitcoin as a commodity.
All about beta and today’s earnings show still going up youtube.com/live/M9yUH0GgZ…
WTI #crudeoil may have peaked in 2024 at $87 per barrel, on the back of $95 in 2023, $130 in 2022 and $147 in 2008. Seems a trend. What if beta has peaked? Very low #stockmarket volatility and high rates may guide. Crude Could Be On Track to 60 Barrels vs. Gold - the full…
Crude Oil's $56 Reversion Tilt With Beta - A key force that could spur #crudeoil to follow #naturalgas lower is beta. If the S&P 500 Index is embarking on a drawdown worthy of revision in the 52-week average of the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) minus a fed funds rate at the…
#Commodities Face Resistance With 5% Two-Year - Having bounced with the US #stockmarket and Treasury yields in 2024, the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index (BCOM) may be rolling over from good resistance with #deflationary implications. It was 2011 when the BCOM first reached 500 and…
Faceoff vs. 5% US Treasury Two-Year Yield: Commodities, Crude - The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index has bounced to inflection-point resistance alongside US #Treasury two-year note yields with #reflation or #deflation consequences. My bias leans toward the latter on the back of…
#Commodities 2024 may be about #gold vs. everything else. youtube.com/watch?v=nQq-fN…
Lyn Alden @LynAldenContact
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Real Estate Finance Summit 2024 Thank you for joining us again this year alongside @EPRA_realestate for insightful talks on everything #realestate We hope to see you again next year!
𝟲𝟬-𝗦𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝗦𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗲: “It’s Clear We Are Now in a New Era of the Iran-Israel Dynamic!” - @Jamie__Ingram, Senior Editor, @MeesEnergy #Israel #Iran #economy #markets
𝟲𝟬-𝗦𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝗦𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗲: “Iranian Oil Exports Indicate No Imminent Danger of Strait of Hormuz Closure!” - Jay Maroo, Head of Market Intelligence & Analytics MENA, @Vortexa #oilandgas #OOTT #markets
Oil Rises on Middle East Tensions, Yet Lower Prices Likely Ahead - Mike McGlone youtube.com/watch?v=BHt753…