Mike McGlone @mikemcglone11
Senior Commodity Strategist - Bloomberg Intelligence Miami, FL Joined August 2013-
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October Commodities Outlook - Gold at $4,000, Crude Toward $40 May Be a Stock-Market Blip Away - Gold appears on track to reach its next milestone at $4,000 an ounce, while crude oil may be reverting toward $40 a barrel -- despite the resilient stock market. Global recessionary…
Commodities' 4Q Fate May Rest With Copper, Stocks - The roughly 30% gain in the Bloomberg All Metals Total Return Index this year to Sept. 29 highlights which sector is driving commodities in 2025, and copper may be the metal to watch in 4Q. Full report on the Bloomberg here:…
What Shifts Rising Gold vs. Falling Crude in 4Q? Record-setting gold prices and falling crude oil represent an unfavorable signal for the global economy. The final three months of 2025 could lend some legitimacy to the store of value's about 45% gain in 2025 vs. the roughly 10%…
Is Record-Setting Gold Telling Us Something? If the Bloomberg Precious Metals Spot Subindex maintains its gains to Sept. 29 into year-end, its almost 50% rise in 2025 will mark the best annual performance in the index history since 1991. Is it a risk-off signal or inflationary?…
Gold approaching $4,000 an ounce is getting scary for the global economy x.com/i/broadcasts/1…
October Energy Outlook - Brent at Risk of Shift to $40-$60 From $60-$80: Stocks Driving - The Bloomberg Energy Spot Index, Down about 3% in 2025 to Sept. 26, faces potential pressure in 4Q from a rebound in stock-market volatility. Geopolitics could buoy energy prices, but crude…
The Pond Hockey Index May Pressure Gas Toward $3 - The likelihood that the 2025-26 North American winter will be as favorable for pond hockey as 2024-25 is slim, given global warming trends. This could pressure natural gas prices. |Full report on the Bloomberg here:…
4Q May Guide Energy Prices -- Deflation Is the Tilt - Record-setting gold vs. falling energy prices in 2025 may signal a global recessionary trajectory. The juxtaposition of China deflation and inflated US risk-assets could find some resolution in 4Q. Full report on the Bloomberg…
Can Copper Keep Rising for the Wrong Reasons? Copper's trend is up, but it may be for the wrong reasons -- placing undue pressure on the economically sensitive metal to sustain gains in 4Q. The risk lies in falling alongside its usual companions: crude oil, iron ore and Chinese…
Corn’s $3–$5 Cage - Downside Risks With Crude - Corn and the grains appear in a similar bucket as crude oil at the end of 3Q -- seeking low-price cures. It's the biggest bumper ever in the Corn Belt for the most significant grain and my graphic shows December 2025 corn hovering…
Volatility Is Always Mean-Reverting - It Can Matter - Record-setting gold, falling US Treasury yields and underperforming Bitcoin appear to be signaling a rebound from the lowest 60-day S&P 500 volatility since the pandemic. blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories/t… {BI COMD} #Gold #stockmarket…
Elevated Gold/Silver Harkens to 1940-41, 1990-92 - The ancient store of value vs. the best conductor of electricity can be a good global economic indicator, and the gold/silver cross is waving caution flags. At 85 on Sept. 26, gold/silver has eased back from almost 105 in April,…
GOLD Loves Trump: Wildest Year of My Career, What’s Coming? | Mike McGlone @mikemcglone11 warns of record #stock valuations, central-bank #Gold buying, and a volatile Q4 ahead. Full conversation: youtu.be/Bp7yiifKsL8 #Gold #Markets #Investing
Floundering Cryptos vs. Precious Metals - The Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index's (BGCI) flat performance relative to precious metals since 2017 underscores fading momentum for risk assets. My graphic shows the long-standing link between US stock market capitalization-to-GDP and the…
Long Gold Specs Book Profits as Investors Dive In - Gold ETF holdings have jumped to 96.6 million ounces on Sept. 26 -- a three-year high -- with bullish implications. What's notable from our graphic showing hedge fund futures net-longs at about 16 million ounces is that…
Palladium May Put Plenty of Distance Above $1,000 - Palladium is breaking out from a strong foundation near $1,000 an ounce, marked by the narrowest 50-week Bollinger Bands since 2018. With gold and platinum serving as guides, upside potential appears significant. Full report on…
October Metals Outlook - Gold vs. Copper - Bad Signs vs. Wrong Reasons, and 4Q Volatility - Gold may be setting records due to unfavorable geopolitical dynamics and stock-market complacency, while copper's supply disruptions diminish the metal's relevance as an economic…
Gold Could Be Setting Records for Bad Reasons - Gold's best annual performance since 1979 may appear more justified at the end of 2025 if US stock-market volatility recovers from September's nadir. My base case is that the record-setting store of value is sniffing out the limits…
US Stocks May Guide Metals in 4Q - A magenta line denoting US recessions is what's missing from this year's surge in the gold/copper cross to a record, if past similar spikes are a guide. Full report on the Bloomberg terminal here: blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories/t… {BI COMD} #gold #metals…
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