2 failure modes of product management in complex orgs:
1/ Focus on metrics before vision & strategy
2/ Reliance on one metric as litmus test for PMF & demand
Instead:
start with vision
then articulate strategy
then lay out stretch goals
then work backwards to get there
“It’s a game of inches” is one of the most pernicious myths in tech companies
It invites incrementalism that stifles the ingenuity needed for 10x gains
Highly recommend @crmiller1’s Chip War
Striking how much it rhymes w/ the LLM era — the gold rush, obsessive competition, 3P interdependencies, and most of all, the once-uncertain market sizes that a few bet on
Plenty of clickbait about vibe coding
But to actually get apps to production, you must be able to understand..
-Your codebase
-High-level architecture
-How the agent intends to implement
And be able to course correct it often
If you’re a consultant or mba looking to break into startups, the best thing you can do today is build something.
Build a piece of software that solves a real problem for 1 person
That’s more possible for anyone today than ever before
Tech jobs have trended toward specialization over past decade
That is falling away rapidly as people have PhD experts in their pocket
High agency generalists who can also code may be the highest leverage role
If you're vibe coding large features, best results come from 80% planning, 20% execution.
Allocating way more tokens to the planning phase is the biggest bang for your buck.
o1-preview is a great step forward for independent reasoning, but is RLHF’ed to be a bit too verbose and detailed
I hope @OpenAI tweaks in their next iteration
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