nullregistry @nullregistry

@AshCrypto And the way back is brutal. From $1.88 to the $77 high is a 41x, about +4,000%. A 97% drawdown needs a 33x just to break even, which is why the size of a fall always understates the climb.

@LAR7Crypto Times max supply, $50 UNI is a $50B valuation and $5.5 SUI is $55B. With ETH near $2,500, the whole ETH network is roughly $300B. Target × supply is a 10-second check on any list like this.

WHALE: The POAP founder sold 8,000 ETH in 6 days. Six hours ago he sent another 4,000 to Gemini. He still holds about $129 million in ETH. The 8,000 left. The 4,000 is a deposit, not a sale yet. Watch whether it leaves Gemini as dollars or comes back as ETH.

@Crypto_Scient Clean plan. The reclaim is a 4h close above 2550, the flip is a later 4h candle that dips into it and holds. Waiting for the second costs a little entry price and filters out the closes that slip straight back under.

@coinbureau Measured from June’s record, any month looks like a crash. Against August’s ~$43B, September is down about half, which is what the chart title says. Against the Feb–Aug average of roughly $62B it’s about 63% lower.

A whale spent $31.93 million on 26,070 ZEC and withdrew the coins. Divide one by the other and you get his entry: $1,224.78 a coin. That's the number the headline doesn't give you. Dollars tell you the size of the position. Price per coin tells you where it breaks even. He also withdrew. Coins that leave an exchange can't be sold there without coming back first. A buy that stays on the exchange and a buy that leaves are two different positions. What I can't tell you: whether $1,224.78 was above or below where ZEC traded that day, how often this wallet has done this, or what ZEC did after the previous times. I don't have those numbers, so I'm not going to pretend the entry means something it might not. CHECK: when a whale buy is reported in dollars, divide by the coin count before you react. Then check whether the coins left the exchange. One tells you his break-even, the other tells you how fast he can sell.

@WhaleInsider Handy chart for the cost basis. $70.48B on 848,000 BTC puts price near $83,100, about 9% above the $75,441 average cost. That 9% is how far BTC can fall before Strategy's whole stack sits at break-even.

@el_crypto_prof That monthly candle still has 20d 12h to run, so the MACD cross is provisional until October closes. A drop back under the open can undo it, which is why monthly crosses only count on the close.

Every dip this week, someone posted a bullish RSI divergence on the daily. I counted every real one since 2015. There were 21. A divergence here means: price makes a lower low, RSI makes a higher low, RSI under 40 at the first low. Counted 3 days after the low, when you can actually see it on the chart. A week later Bitcoin was higher after 13 of the 21. 62%. On any day: 55%. 8 of the 21 were lower a week later anyway. The last one was March 2025. With 21 cases that gap can't be told apart from luck. But the bigger number is the 21. Drawn strictly, a daily divergence shows up about twice a year. The ones you see every week are mostly drawn by eye. Coin Metrics daily closes, Jan 2015 to May 2026. RSI 14. Before you trade a divergence, check it by the rule: a lower close, a higher RSI, RSI under 40 at the first low. If it only works on the wick, it's not one of these 21. Size it like a 62% trade at best. 8 of 21 lost money over the next week. What timeframe do you trade divergences on? One answer. C-022

@Kaiz_294 @blknoiz06 Great clip, that number is wild. 30,000 a day is about 11 million new tokens a year. Any memecoin you're looking at today is one of roughly 30,000 launched that same day, which is the base rate to keep in mind before buying one.

@MartiniGuyYT One way to watch that line disappear is the Correlation Coefficient indicator on TradingView, BTC against the Nasdaq 100 over 30 days. The closer it holds to 1, the more BTC trades like one more risk asset in the same system.

A wallet opened yesterday turned $440,000 into a $1.05 million profit in less than a day. It has exactly one trade. Lookonchain spotted it. A brand-new wallet on Hyperliquid, a crypto trading exchange, went long on 24.42 million STRK with 3x leverage. Long is a bet the price rises. Leverage means borrowing to make the bet bigger. STRK is the token of Starknet, a network built on top of Ethereum. STRK then rose from about $0.072 to around $0.12, more than 50% in a day. The position is now worth about $2.9 million, with $1.05 million in unrealized profit. That's more than double the 440,000 USDC that went in. Same day, six other wallets went 3x long on another token, LUMIA, and are up $949,000. Two things about the headline before anyone copies it. The profit is unrealized. It's a price on a screen until the position closes, and STRK moved 50% in a day. It can move that way again. And the sample is one. A wallet created yesterday with a single trade has no record to judge. Fresh wallets that open right before a big move show up on-chain before planned moves and before lucky ones. One trade can't tell you which this was. The timing gap is where followers pay. The wallet bought at $0.072. Anyone reading this headline is looking at $0.12. A follower buys after the move. The wallet bought before it. When a "smart wallet" headline lands, check two things before following it: when the wallet was created, and how many trades it has. A new wallet with one winning trade has a sample of one. That's a result, not a record.

Over $1 billion left the Bitcoin and Ether ETFs this October. The read: Wall Street is dumping, the price follows. I counted every day $200M or more left the Bitcoin ETFs, from launch in January 2024 to April 2025. 37 days. A week later Bitcoin was lower after 17 of them. 46%. On any trading day: 45%. The biggest days went the other way. Of the 7 days over $500M, 5 were higher a week later. That includes the record, −$1.11B on 25 February 2025. A month out the outflow days did a bit worse, lower 51% of the time against 39%. With 37 days that gap could still be chance. Farside daily flows, all US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin from Coin Metrics. The last 18 months aren't in this count. Before you sell on an outflow headline, check the size and the date on Farside's daily table. A single −$400M day said nothing about the next week. Selling the evening of every $500M outflow day meant selling before a higher price 5 times out of 7. What daily outflow number would make you sell? One number. C-021

@CryptoGerla Nice chart to dig into. There’s a third cross on it too, at 139%. And each box ends at the cycle top, so 2200% and 1190% are perfect-exit numbers. Measuring 12 months after each cross gives a fairer read of what the signal itself delivered.

@BitcoinIntelX Saturday 6 PM ET means BTC is the only big market trading the reaction, with CME futures shut until Sunday 6 PM ET. Any weekend move there shows up as a gap on the CME chart when it reopens, a level worth marking either way.

If you want to dramatically improve your trading, learn to recover fast after a loss. The loss is one trade. The revenge trade right after it is where accounts actually go. NR-009 just took two stops in a row. The next setup gets the same size and the same rules. Log it. Wait for the next one that fits.

@Crypto_Scient Good call showing both pairs side by side. FET/BTC can climb just because BTC drops while FET sits flat, so the ratio flip counts most when FET/USDT is making higher lows at the same time.

@QuintenFrancois 22% above the 200-week line. That average only moves by this week’s value minus the one from 200 weeks ago, divided by 200. With late 2022 sitting around $1T on the chart, it keeps rising for months even if the market goes nowhere.

Bitcoin ETFs took in $21.13 million yesterday. First green day since Monday. The two days before that lost $731 million. Yesterday recovered 2.9% of it. Two of twelve funds had any flow at all. IBIT +$22.38M, HODL +$2.33M, FBTC −$3.58M. The other nine did nothing. The week of 5 to 9 October: −89.9, +118.9, −487.1, −244.1, +21.1. That's minus $681 million across five sessions. October stands at about minus $386 million. CHECK: when a red streak breaks, divide the green day by the red days before it. Under 10% is a pause, not a turn.

One year ago today, $19 billion of crypto bets were wiped out in 24 hours (the biggest liquidation day in history). Bitcoin is still below where it was that morning. October 10, 2025. Trump threatened an extra 100% tariff on Chinese imports. Crypto fell. Then a second wave hit when Ethena’s USDe, a stablecoin meant to hold $1, traded at $0.65 on Binance. Bitcoin dropped more than 14% to a low of $106,560. ETH fell to $3,551, SOL to $174. CoinGlass counted over $19 billion in liquidations, forced closes of leveraged positions. The biggest single day the market has seen. Smaller coins took it worst. Tracked tokens fell 47% on average, against 41% in the May 2021 crash. The top 100 coins fell 58% at the lowest point of the day. The leverage left with it. Open interest in perpetual futures, the total of all open leveraged bets, went from $217 billion to $123 billion. On Hyperliquid alone, from $14 billion to $6 billion. What came after is the part worth counting. Bitcoin bounced to $116K within days. Then it fell below $105K. Then, over the following months, to around $60,000. This week it trades near $82,000, still more than 30% under its level before the crash. There’s no base rate for a day this size, because there’s only been one. The follow-through is the only data point: a fast bounce, then a much deeper low months later. One case doesn’t make a rule. It does show that the bounce wasn’t the bottom. For scale, Thursday this week saw $1.19 billion in liquidations and was called a flush. 10/10 was about 16 times that. The number to keep from that day is 58%. Divide 100 by your leverage and you get roughly the move that closes you out. 100 ÷ 58 is about 1.7. On 10/10, anything above roughly 1.7x on an altcoin could be wiped out in a single day. Before you size a leveraged altcoin trade, ask whether you’d survive a 58% day. The market has already printed one.