3) Man Utd - Man City -> Man City - Under 15.5 Shots @ 1.90
This is a Manchester derby, and we expect both teams to be extra careful as none of them want to lose this.
Enzo Maresca prefers to use 4-2-3-1 and loves his team to control possesion.
Also, J. Doku, who is one of the most direct Man City players, is out for this match.
2) Sunderland - Arsenal -> Arsenal - Under 1.5 Offsides @ 2.25
For the entire 2025/26 season, Arsenal has averaged 1.24 offsides in away games (21 in 17 matches).
In this match we expect Arsenal to control possession and attack through positional play, rather than constantly looking to play balls in behind the defense.
This limits offside situations and gives us value in the 2.25 odds.
1) Aston Villa - Nottm Forest -> Draw no bet - Aston Villa @ 1.65
Villa have failed to score in their last three league games, but their underlying numbers remain strong, including 1.74 xG, 13 shots and three big chances against Hull.
Forest have taken just two points from their last three and are still adapting to Glasner, making Villa the clear choice at home
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3) AEK Athens - LASK Linz -> LASK Linz +1.0 Asian Handicap @ 1.725
LASK Linz come into this clash in excellent form, winning eight of their first nine games across all competitions.
The Austrian champions showed tremendous character in qualifying, eliminating Celtic after a remarkable comeback and 5-1 second-leg victory.
AEK are also in strong form, but LASK have attacking quality and confidence from their impressive European campaign.
We expect LASK to remain competitive.
2) Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal -> Borussia Dortmund to win @ 1.82
Although we believe that Villarreal will perform well and have a very good season under their brilliant manager, they are still lacking in many areas.
Gérard is getting on in years and isn’t scoring enough goals, key players such as Pepe are not yet in top form, and the defence remains weak.
We expect one of the leading German teams to beat them at home.
1) Real Madrid - Inter Milan -> Inter Milan +1.0 Asian Handicap @ 1.95
Real Madrid have serious squad issues and are coming off a defeat to Betis, while their strong start came against weaker or heavily rotated opponents.
Inter have retained their core, started Serie A convincingly, and look much closer to Madrid than the market suggests.
Inter +1.0 at 1.93 offers value, with Real winning by 2+ goals only three times in last season’s Champions League.
I Don’t Know If You Know This But…
Over $300 Million will be placed on the next World Cup round…
And here’s how you can take advantage.
2 bets you should place for it:
1) France - Spain -> France to qualify @ 1.66
We believe previous meetings don't tell the full story, as France look like a different team while Spain arrive with Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams short of full fitness, making their attack weaker.
France have impressed us with a red-hot attack led by Michael Olise, while Spain needed late winners against Portugal and Belgium after showing vulnerabilities.
For us, France to qualify is the best pick, as they have looked stronger throughout the tournament.
2) England - Argentina -> L. Messi - Over 1.5 Shots on Target @ 1.83
Messi is the focal point of Argentina's attack, with almost every dangerous move going through him.
He has enjoyed an outstanding World Cup, scoring 8 goals in 8 matches while leading the tournament in shots and shots on target.
Messi has registered 18 shots on target, averaging 2.25 per game—well above the 1.5 Shots on Target line.
Bet365 and most major bookmakers include extra time in Shots on Target bets. If this semifinal goes 120 minutes, Messi has even more time to record two shots on target.
3) Argentina - Switzerland -> Under 22.5 Shots + Argentina or Draw (In a Bet Builder) @ 1.72
Argentina's matches have produced few total shots, staying under in all but one World Cup game, while Switzerland have also remained below it in four matches.
Both teams tend to play patient, controlled football rather than forcing high shot volumes, making another low-attempt contest the most likely outcome.
With their unbeaten run and superior quality, we expect Argentina at the very least not to lose.
2) Norway - England -> H. Kane - Over 1.5 Shots on Target @ 2.10
Norway have allowed at least 11 shots in every World Cup match, including 18 against France and 14 against Brazil.
Harry Kane has recorded 2+ shots on target in two of England's last three matches, he is their key man and should again be heavily involved.
With Norway's defensive approach allowing chances, we expect Kane to register at least 2 shots on target.
1) Spain - Belgium -> Spain to win @ 1.65
Spain have been the tournament’s standout defensive side, keeping a clean sheet in every match.
Belgium will be without key midfielder Amadou Onana, weakening both their defensive stability and physical presence in midfield.
With Spain controlling possession, we expect La Roja to do enough to secure the win.
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