Nikhil R @rnikhilcom
AI @accel Prev: Product - LLM eval startup| Built & scaled poker @paytm | ex-Founder - Poker GTO tools | ex @Flipkart rnikhil.com Joined April 2021-
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Interesting new way to seed liquidity in pred markets
this is equivalent to an eth researcher saying that pumpfun shouldnt exist consumer apps win by solving for our deadly sins. its unavoidable being far removed from the slop reality of what humans actually WANT is a privilege. infra folks shld never adopt the moral high ground
this is equivalent to an eth researcher saying that pumpfun shouldnt exist consumer apps win by solving for our deadly sins. its unavoidable being far removed from the slop reality of what humans actually WANT is a privilege. infra folks shld never adopt the moral high ground
🚀🚀🚀🚀
hypergamblification has started
This was well researched : valisresearch.xyz/work/unanswere… via @valisresearch
Lmao
criminally under followed account. Well written!
Tinkering with some ideas which is exactly this and also trying to solve for the liquidity problem. If you remove crypto and sports, volumes are actually peanuts.
Tinkering with some ideas which is exactly this and also trying to solve for the liquidity problem. If you remove crypto and sports, volumes are actually peanuts.
Ive said this before. There is about like 10-20k users in all of CT who matter
Ive said this before. There is about like 10-20k users in all of CT who matter
getting slowly convinced that any builder NOT thinking of short term rugpulls and incentives automatically shoots to the 90th percentile here 🤣🤣
getting slowly convinced that any builder NOT thinking of short term rugpulls and incentives automatically shoots to the 90th percentile here 🤣🤣
The Prediction Market Paradox Exchange-ification usually improves markets. Take any OTC market and move it to a central limit order book… spreads tighten, price discovery improves, and counterparty risk evaporates. US rates trading moved from voice brokers to the CME long ago;…
This is a pretty interesting idea!. Maybe instead of paying scouts, you can bet against them. $25k for example is such a small amount that its a rounding error for the big funds and well worth the deal flow.
This is a pretty interesting idea!. Maybe instead of paying scouts, you can bet against them. $25k for example is such a small amount that its a rounding error for the big funds and well worth the deal flow.
THIS 100% there is a fundamental demand side problem and liquidity on long dated events is peanuts today and volume if you remove crypto and sports is negligent. you can make new interfaces, you can add leverage, but you still have to first solve for the fundamentals first
THIS 100% there is a fundamental demand side problem and liquidity on long dated events is peanuts today and volume if you remove crypto and sports is negligent. you can make new interfaces, you can add leverage, but you still have to first solve for the fundamentals first
you can spin up near infinite questions and even price them semi accurately too!
you can spin up near infinite questions and even price them semi accurately too!
I wonder if you can use @FUTURESEARCHAI to spin up a deep research agent to trade on all mispriced prediction markets Here is an output of their tool making a prediction about NYT vs openai case. The market traded quite close to the predicted probability for a good period
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