Rob @robxporter

Marc Andreessen reveals why housing, health care, and education keep getting more expensive while everything else gets cheaper "There's basically three components to the American dream. A house near great job opportunities, great health care for you and your family, and sending your kids to good schools" "If you disaggregate the economy over the last 25 years, everything that technology touches basically collapses in price. Television sets, computer games, anything with electronics in it. But if you chart housing, education, and health care, the prices of those things are skyrocketing" "The government restricts supply, zoning laws and university certifications. And then the government responds to the political pressure caused by the rising prices by subsidizing demand. And of course, if you subsidize demand and a fixed supply, you get skyrocketing prices"

Texas receives over 1,000,000 TWh of energy from the Sun every year. Over the past 12 months, solar PV captured ~0.006% and provided 16% of all electricity.

Dusting off this tweet from April because this gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is *widening*. It's now less "two groups of people speaking past each other" and more a sharp funnel. - Napkin math somewhere around 6B people (~75% of the population) have barely come in contact with LLMs at all. - Around 1-2B (~20%) are casual and infrequent users of free-tier ChatGPT-like products. This group sees derpy chatbots and treats them a bit like a better Google search, a writing aid, or etc. Maybe an agent tries to book you a flight. I have non-tech friends who (reasonably, imo) say they have not much use for it at all. Even many professionals outside of math&code are in this tier. For example, execs and many other functions spend a lot of their time talking to other people, so while they understand what is happening intellectually, it is still second-hand and a bit abstract. - Now we get to professional use of frontier-grade LLMs in math&code. Somewhere around 20M people (0.2%) see first-hand that large, complex projects that used to take them weeks/months can now be completed by agents with a prompt. Building apps, copying apps, translating apps, decompiling apps from binaries... This has all happened very quickly and recently - less than 1 year ago, I was writing code manually by hand, typing memorized computer code commands into a code editor character by character, occasionally pressing Tab to autocomplete a little chunk of code. - And finally we get to the ~5,000 people (~0.00006%) with access to frontier-grade systems internally. The external world has seen the preview. It looks like swarms of thousands of agents collaborating over weeks on software mega projects: minting zero days, running cyber attacks and defenses at machine speeds, discovering new science, advancing the frontier of mathematics. Things that would have taken top professionals in the industry years of work. Meanwhile, human review and comprehension are starting to fall behind. For example, people are still involved in the "archeology" of the OpenAI-HF incident from many months ago. Mathematicians may be poring over the 722 manuscripts on frontier mathematics for a while. The funnel is driven by a combination of factors: 1. The impact scales with ambition, problem size, and horizon. A question with a paragraph answer barely stresses the system. You need a reservoir of big, difficult problems that you really care about. This aspect drives the consumer / professional dimension of the funnel. 2. The jaggedness of the system (which I have written about a lot separately). Capability peaks in domains that are digital, verifiable and economically valuable. This is because LLM capability emerges from reinforcement learning on verifiable rewards on a curated environment mixture driven by revenue potential. This aspect primarily drives the area (e.g. math&code) dimension of the funnel. 3. Access. Free-tier, paid-tier, internal. So this is the weirdness of the moment. The general public has mostly not interacted with these systems. When they have, it looks like a derpy chatbot. The majority of professionals still see only a modest uplift. And a small sliver of professionals are experiencing the vertigo of the curve going vertical. And it is all happening at the same time.

Andrej Karpathy @karpathy

7 months ago

Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability. The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is

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SpaceX’s Starship is the BIGGEST rocket humanity has ever built Standing 124 meters tall, it is even taller than the legendary Saturn V that took humanity to the Moon, and 54 meters taller than Falcon 9 And what makes Starship even more extraordinary is that SpaceX is building it to be fully and rapidly reusable The sheer scale of what SpaceX is building is absolutely insane

SpaceX has launched every rocket in their lineup, 3 different vehicles, from 4 different pads, in 3 different states this week. They also lifted basically every “category” of payload. Starlink, Crew, Commercial, and Military. WHAT. A. WEEK.

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But it couldn’t be social contagion, folks. It’s just that young people, especially autistic, gay and mentally ill ones, are finally free to be their authentic selves. The sudden explosion of young women who want to cut off their healthy breasts and take testosterone? Well, it’s absolutely not the newest form of self-harm, to which troubled adolescent girls are provably prone, ok? It’s not a consequence of the commonplace fear of becoming an adult woman, with all that that entails. No, there’s nothing to worry about there. The possibility of regret? Naturally, we don’t let minors get tattoos or own guns or vote, because that would be ridiculous, but if they want irreversible surgeries and drug treatments, they must be given them, and everyone around them must immediately agree they are now the opposite sex. That’s called being kind. And the mounting numbers of detransitioners? They were never trans, obviously, and should be mercilessly attacked, especially if they now say they were vulnerable and in a friendship group, online or off, dominated by trans identities, where transitioning was presented as a way to resolve all their social and emotional difficulties. (I have the emails). No, there’s nothing whatsoever to see here. Keep justifying it, keep cheering it on, keep insisting that the doctors and drug companies making serious money out of it all are acting with the purest of motives. Answer every reasonable question with an accusation of hatred and bigotry. Dispel every qualm of conscience with an activist-approved talking point. Reassure yourself that everyone on your dinner party circuit agrees with you. And when, in years to come, we’re all looking back on graphs like this, be proud that you did your bit to monster whistleblowers, parrot unevidenced claims and create the climate of fear that allowed the worst medical scandal in a century to take place.

Paul St @chester_fence

3 weeks ago

This data never ceases to "amaze" me. In 2005, very few people received any transition related genital surgery (120 over the whole of 🇩🇪), in 2025 it was 4,184. And the shift in the age distribution is staggering: Surgeries on 18-25 year olds were almost non-existent in the

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The statue of Prometheus is finally finished. It was cast in Paris, crossed the Atlantic, and was assembled at Starbase. It took us 100 days to go from nothing to this. People of the West, we have lived through an era devoid of dreams, devoid of destiny. But the time has come to reclaim our dream of antiquity. In a few months, we will start building a new city. It will be the most magnificent city in all of history. After all, the great dream of the West has always been to rebuild Rome. Come walk beside us in this endeavor. The world is waiting.

>let unproductive people get student loans for useless degrees >they start complaining about all the debt they've racked up while wasting their time >promise them student loan forgiveness in exchange for votes

Crémieux @cremieuxrecueil

4 weeks ago

Remember: the Biden admin made a list of the most idiotic, wasteful degrees, and then directed subsidies to them. Can you imagine having to undo that completely insane policy?

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In a technoutopian future, autonomous systems can find, coordinate, and suppress fires with precision - auto-adjusting for shifting winds - and can knock or slow them down before they grow. It will be safer for firefighters when they arrive and it will keep communities protected and insured. This week, we demonstrated this capability in Sonoma, California. Multiple autonomous suppression craft coordinated, targeted, and suppressed an early fire in mid-windy conditions across multiple staged initial attack strikes. In advance of the @RedSkySummit, we were joined by leaders from @SBCOUNTYFIRE, @AspenFireDept, @CALFIRE_PIO, @NovatoFireDist, @PGE4Me, @GlendaleFireCA, @UCBerkeley, @tahoefund, and our home agency @GoldridgeFire.

Thanks, Peter! This is the beginning of the end for destructive wildfires. In a country that loses ~$500B every year to wildfires, even tiny gains make for huge savings, to say nothing of the incalculable value of lives and homes.

Peter H. Diamandis, MD @PeterDiamandis

a month ago

Congrats to @PalmerLuckey and Anduril for winning the Wildfire XPRIZE - for detecting and suppressing a wildfire within 10 minutes of ignition!

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400 years of human evolution in 1 photo

Data centers: “We use 17.4 billion gallons of water a year.” Agriculture: “That’s adorable.”

Texas produces nearly twice as much electricity as any other state in the US. And the gap is growing...

Thomas Hochman @ThomasHochman

a month ago

Breaking my Twitter hiatus this week to, among other things, share this very nifty new data explorer from @Arnold_Ventures & @IFP. They’ve pulled the very-good-but-hard-to-use @EIAgov data and created a clean, straightforward new website. Recommend y’all take it for a spin!

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Just extraordinary. This woman, her party, and nearly the entire political and media establishment of Germany, did everything they could for years to avoid having a "fact-based debate" — indeed everything they could to control the narrative around the statistical data clearly showing the damage that immigration from the Muslim world was doing — and sought to marginalize and shut down or even ban persons, political groups and parties begging for such a debate.

Visegrád 24 @visegrad24

a month ago

Angela Merkel has commented on the AfD’s big win in Saxony-Anhalt. She says that her “heart is bleeding” and that the AfD is growing because there aren’t any “fact-based debates” in modern politics and that feelings now dominate instead. She warned that the election in

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This is complete intellectual dishonesty and the Congressman knows it and he should be ashamed for what he is proposing. Their ideas are not just bad. They are immoral. What of the $40 trillion already borrowed? Does he plan to pay it off? Of course not. This year's deficit alone runs $2.1 trillion, and interest on the debt hit $857 billion through nine months, up 13% in a year. What of Medicare, sold in 1965 at $9 billion for hospital coverage by 1990, now over $1 trillion a year and still climbing 8%? What of Social Security, launched at 1% with a promise it would never exceed 3%, now $1.6 trillion a year and paying out more than it collects since 2021? What of the ACA and its $2,500 premium cut? What of the public schools, per-pupil spending tripled since 1970, reading scores flat? Every promise came with a number. Every number failed. And you paid for the gap twice, once in taxes and again at the grocery store, because borrowed money is printed money. The $4 trillion is not a budget. It is an installment. If your wealth exists to answer his need, only the schedule is left to argue about.

Ro Khanna @RoKhanna

2 months ago

A 5% billionaire tax raises $4 trillion. That can pay for: ✅ Free public college + higher teacher wages ✅ Free childcare & paying stay-at-home parents ✅ A fund to build schools & factories across the country

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🚨NEW: Census Bureau Survey Shows Foreign-Born Population Down 2.9 Million Over Last 18 Months: "The total foreign-born population declined 2.9 million from January 2025 to July 2026... The huge recent decline in the foreign-born population indicates that net migration to the United States was negative in the last year and a half for the first time since the 1930s." If the Trump Administration’s immigration crackdown continues at its current pace, the United States will see a reduction of approximately 15.3 million in its foreign-born population by the end of President Trump’s second term in January 2029 -- the lowest national foreign-born population since 2010. Follow: @MorseReport

we're at the point our state is now attempting to suspend our right to property in order to patch the medi-cal budget hole. we need to 10x prison sentencing for fraud.

Christopher Rufo @christopherrufo

2 months ago

EXCLUSIVE: A respiratory therapist named Curtis Kurkova billed California Medicaid $40 million, then spent millions on sports cars, private jets, luxury resorts, and an enormous mansion next to the Kardashian house. The experts told us it had all the red flags for fraud.

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people don’t realize this, but 2026 appears to be the first year in human history where humanity as a whole is below replacement fertility. this has never happened before. not during wars. not during pandemics. for the first time in human history, we are not producing enough children to replace ourselves. this is the only real existential crisis.

Crémieux @cremieuxrecueil

2 months ago

It's shocking, but several countries have already reached peak population and they're now in decline:

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A giant leap to Mars! 🚀 NASA recently completed testing of a lithium-fed electromagnetic thruster, reaching 5x more power than today's electric propulsion systems. Paired with a nuclear power source, this tech could slash travel time to Mars! MORE: go.nasa.gov/4goVg4g…

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