Vincent Dowling @stogachess
Data Scientist living in ATX Austin, TX Joined February 2009-
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@robinsonmeyer @nytopinion she is the most impressive politician in America. i'm awe of how good she is at her craft. you can tell that many *Republican* voters in Alaska genuinely like her and think she represents the state well.
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@SeanTrende There aren't multiple close polls. There is one close poll + a bunch of right-wing polls. Right-wing polls (or left-wing polls) should not be used for race ratings.
@DrewSav cook political report thinks it is as likely that NH-SEN flips as NJ-07. In what world could this ever make sense?
@Chris_Said @RichardSocher the thing is: the attackers only have to be right once. the defenders need to be right 100% of the time. and because we are talking about agents and not humans doing the attacking, there is virtually no cost to them trying anything they want.
@neeratanden And yet people like @ettingermentum actually believe that Bernie Sanders would have won in 2016 by doing better than Hillary with precisely this group
@_fat_ugly_rat_ Democrats are gonna win every single one of TX-15/TX-23/TX-35. Your statewide #s seem reasonable, although I expect the Paxton/Abbott gap to be larger.
@RichardHanania she is gonna lose to a terrific female veteran named @LeelaJGray. Will be richly deserved.
@ettingermentum why would they like it? Gen Z'ers are low IQ, they don't understand anything about budgets and interest rates and taxes.
@RichardHanania Man these young Republicans seem like they are the craziest ones x.com/bofrench/statu…
@RichardHanania Trump executive order: we want to arrest every single Democrat, throw them in a concentration camp, and then execute them Supreme Court: 7-2, with Alito/Thomas dissenting
@BanUnsweetTea or are you thinking of redistricting for the future?
@BanUnsweetTea i don't think there is a single competitive congressional seat in GA this year
@JoeGarcia @ERodforCongress @edelstudio @HugoCancio @AllianceForCuba @CiberCuba @MillieHerrera @Nelidafara @23yflagler @RepMariaSalazar @RepCarlos @MarioDB @brhodes @TheFHRC did they poll Governor race? how is Jolly doing?
@aravosis the left hates Liz Cheney because she cared significantly more about beating Trump than they did and that made them feel guilty. and so when Harris lost she was a convenient scapegoat. but the motivation was their own guilt about their prioritization of gaza over Trump.
@PerseusAccipz @ettingermentum but they had enormous political strengths. Newsom/Harris don't
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