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Consensus bulls 39 last week. In the past 10 yrs, the only similar times were near $SPX lows in 2018, 2020 and 2022
Consensus bulls 39 last week. In the past 10 yrs, the only similar times were near $SPX lows in 2018, 2020 and 2022
Less 10% of $SPX stocks were >50-d in Sept. Like the above: usually 'near' not 'at' the low. The good news here is that $SPX went lower in Oct but more stocks >50-d
A 3 month pullback in $SPX in which economically sensitive banks and high beta tech/comm outperform and safety sectors (health, utes and staples) collectively underperform
44% of $SPX companies have reported 3Q earnings. Sales up +5% yoy, making a new ATH. TTM sales 30% higher than pre-Covid
Both October and November have been down only twice since 1992 (in 2000 and 2008). Chart shows November seasonality $SPX
If you’re looking at small caps, remember $SPX is 80% of total US market cap and $RUT is about 8%. It’s the tail, not the dog. Also, this
$SPXADP (10-ma) is at a low level where $SPX risk/reward is usually (not always) favorable over the next 1-3 wks
The original: youtube.com/watch?v=V6CLum… And a little Friday treat: youtube.com/watch?v=MAs38Z…
Just back for the road. Excellent trip. Please note that I only have one X handle: @bbands All the rest are frauds.
I went to conferences in Jakarta and Sydney Australia. Wonderful to get out and meet and greet again. So, all good here. There?
I will be mostly out of pocket for the next three weeks. I'll be traveling to the IFTA and ATAA conferences. These are lovely opportunities to meet and greet the best in the business. I hope to see you at one. @IFTAWorldwide @ATAA_au Peace.
$100 to fill up my truck! Cali going to hell! Taxes and regulations killing us. More businesses leaving everyday. Soon gonna be more high-net-worth Californians in Texas then in Cali! Dump @GavinNewsom
The two bar reversal for $BTCUSD at the lower Bollinger Band on Sep. 11/12 is still the controlling technical factor. tradingview.com/x/OzVTsMY0/ This is a good setup for a walk up the upper band, just need a bit more strength to confirm.
My wife was away for a week, so I made her a nice welcome-home dinner, shrimp and lobster risotto.
The @IFTAWorldwide conference is coming up. This is a rare opportunity to meet and greet the best minds in the business. Don't miss it! ifta.org/ifta-conferenc…
Last night I was watching my DVR'd last episode of the summer-long Jeopardy Masters Tournament. The category was "Common Bonds," and the answer was this image. Bollinger Bands made it to Jeopardy! @bbands
And today we have the second, confirming, tag of the upper Bollinger Band.
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Love this (from BAML). Nov-April (winter) seasonality is the best but not stat significant from Mar-Aug (spring/summer). Also, sell in May and you'll buy back higher in Nov with better winning odds than Sept-Feb or Jan-June. Good luck
1. There’s no PPT 2. The Fed has been hated for 105 years 3. High probabilities do not imply certainty 4. It can always be different this time 5. Things go up over time 6. We’re not all going to agree
China just pulled a last minute delay of liquidation to fuk over citadel well played bailout Nov 3rd is solely for memes hahaha well played china
US debt will become unsustainable and trigger default in about 20 years, if it stays on current path, per BI.
U.S. Bank losses on held-to-maturity assets have soared to an ALL-TIME HIGH of $400 Billion. Probably fine
Beware: Probability of a recession in 2024 is very elevated Comparable to levels seen only THRICE since 1960
Bollinger Bands define high and low on a relative basis. By definition prices are high at the upper band and low at the lower band.
Great setup on $NVDA Fails to hold above vwap, break LOD, retest, then bear flag Enter on flag break with stop above pivot high Small risk, big reward
These are my favorite key levels: - premarket high/low - prior day high/low - prior day close - high of day - low of day Break and retest, consolidation, or flag patterns at these levels can be great risk/reward setups
If #bitcoin does NOT reach $75,000 by the end of this month I’ll give someone who retweets this and is following my *only* instagram Instagram.com/tylerstrejilev… $1,000 in #BTC (This is my only twitter, that is my only instagram)
1/ To survive the bear market: If your favourite influencers back story sounds like "I went from working in a grocery store or driving a taxi etc etc to driving a Bugatti less than 3 years later" chances are they are still the same grocery store worker and taxi driver
US govt interest payments per day have doubled from $1bn per day before the pandemic to almost $2bn per day in 2023, Apollo's Slok has calculated.
🔸AL JAZEERA: IRANIAN FM SAYS IF THE SCOPE OF GAZA WAR WIDENS, HEAVY LOSSES WILL BE INFLICTED ON THE U.S.
Inflation really has gutted the middle class
BREAKING NEWS 🚨 HONDA & FERRARI NOW ACCEPTS #BITCOIN AS PAYMENT
Will #Bitcoin history repeat in 2024?
Just bought this with #Bitcoin
Credit to @simon_ree. Read it twice...
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