Wayne Sussman @waynesussman
Every Ward Matters Johannesburg, Gauteng Joined March 2007-
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Of the 5 people expelled by MK last night, 3 were in electable positions. Jabulani Khumalo (2), Lebo Moepeng (4), Rochelle Davidson (8). Ray Khumalo was too low on the KZN list to be elected. Bheki Manzini's name was not on any of the lists.
In 2019 only 4 parties got more than 5000 votes in the North West province on the provincial ballot. In Limpopo, only 4 parties got more than 5300 votes on the provincial ballot.
All 11 by-elections analyzed. dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-0…
New Polokwane council composition: ANC 57 (56) EFF 20 (21) DA 7 FF+ 2 COPE, MSM, ACDP, ABC all one seat. Total 90
PA made history by winning their first ever seat in Swartland. DA 13 (14) ANC 5 FF+ 2 PA 1 (0) GOOD 1 EFF 1-Total 23
New Oudtshoorn council composition: DA 7 ANC 7 (8) FF+ 3 PA 2 (1) ICOSA 2 EFF, GOOD,Advies Kantoor and Suid Kaap Staan (SKS) all one seat. Total 25. Current coalition DA+ FF+ ICOSA + Suid Kaap Staan
Cederberg Eerste are now the largest party in Cederberg. CE 4 (3) ANC 3 (4) DA 2 FF+ 1 PA 1-Total 11. The governing coalition of CE, DA and FF+ have more buffer now in the Cederberg.
The DA win in Blue Crane Route means that this council is now hung. ANC 5 (6) DA 5 (4) EFF 1-Total 11. The EFF are kingmakers in KwaNojoli (formerly Somerset East). The ANC will be calling the Red Berets today to ensure the ANC remains in government in the Blue Crane Route.
Turnout was higher in 7/11 wards compared to the 2021 local government elections. Voters were enthusiastic yesterday. 5/11 wards changed hands yesterday. It is a great pity we did not have the 3 KZN by-elections to see what would have happened there.
DA win ward off ANC in the Eastern Cape. Ward 4 (Pearston) Blue Crane Route in Sarah Baartman: DA 52% (44%) ANC 47% (54%) EFF 1% (2%). Poll: 65% (59%). DA had big gains in Pearston and Nelsig VDs and were able to overcome the big ANC buffer in Khanyiso to beat the ANC by 98 votes
DA holds W2 (Pretoria North), Tshwane DA 95% (62%) ANC 4% (7%) EFF 1% (3%) OHM <1% (<1%) RCT <1% (<1%): Poll 24% (49%). FF+ (20%) not on ballot. DA dominant in Tshwane. They will be happy with this landslide win. They will also be happy that no votes were lost to small parties.
DA holds Ward 6 (Randfontein Greenhills), Rand West City, West Rand: DA 83% (70%) ANC 14% (11%) EFF 3% (3%). Poll: 21% (41%). FF+ (14%) not on ballot. DA will be satisfied with this hold. ANC will also be content with the slight gains.
In 2021, the ANC beat the DA by 2 votes and the EFF by 3 votes in the Cradle Food Market. In the by-election, the DA and the ANC tied with the EFF finishing 56 votes behind this time.
DA holds W39 (Pinehaven Sterkfontein Caves) Mogale City, West Rand: DA 54% (50%) ANC 38% (25%) EFF 8% (11%) OHM <1% (<1%). Poll: 33% (54%). FF+ (12%) not on ballot. ANC will be happy with their turnout differential advantage. ANC & DA tie in the Cradle Food Market battleground
ANC win ward off EFF in Polokwane. Ward 10 (Makgofe Blood River) in Polokwane, Capricorn: ANC 53% (42%) EFF 43% (47%) Action SA 2% (10%) EKF 1% MK 1% Operation Dudula <1%. Poll: 49% (44%). EFF had won this ward on 3 consecutive occasions. ANC will be delighted with this win
ANC made incremental gains in 2/3 Blood River VDs and in both Makgofe VDs in Polokwane. They also built on their Dairing buffer. In 2023, the EFF won 4/6 voting districts, in the by-election, the ANC won 4/6 VDs. ANC beat EFF by 337 votes in the by-election.
Ward 18 (Pella) Moses Kotane, Bojanala: ANC 67% (71%) ELF 24% EFF 7%(10%) Bana Ba Thiri 2% (11%). Poll (47% (40%). ANC rock solid again in Bojanala. EFF breakaway ELF surprise by finishing 2nd. Lets watch them in the NW on 29 May. ANC will be very satisfied.
ANC holds Ward 3 (Nonzwakazi De Aar) Emthanjeni in Pixley Ka Seme in the Northern Cape: ANC 79% (92%) EFF 21% (6%). Poll: 64% (52%). The ANC ward cllr defected to the EFF, and ran for the EFF. ANC wins ward by a landslide. ANC will be very happy with this big win.
Western Cape results Swartland PA 40% (3%) DA 39% (45%) ANC 5% (20% Oudtshoorn PA 65% (1%) DNC ANC 32% (46%) Cederberg PA 36% (7%) DNC ANC 23% (40%) CE 39%(35%) Massive growth for the PA in all 3 wards. Concerning for the ANC, and disappointment for the DA
Cederberg Eerste win ward off ANC. Ward 3 (Clanwilliam) in Cederberg, West Coast: Cederberg Eerste 39% (35%) PA 36% (7%) ANC 23% (40%) EFF 2% (3%). Poll 53% (56%). PA won the most populous VD in the ward& almost won here. Former ANC cllr defected to and ran for Cederberg Eerste.
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Must Read: Patriotic Alliance shocks ANC, DA in Western Cape wards, local party bags historic win dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-0…
@waynesussman Wayne! You add so much value with your laser-focused eye on by-elections! Keep it up bro!
@waynesussman After that enca guy gave you 2 mins this morning. This is helping.
Last show on @5FM tomorrow. Ten years ago this month I started radio at the university station. It’s been a beautiful decade, all my adult life really, from 20 to 30 ♥️
Great meeting you Champ ... big surprises coming ahead🥊❤️🤷🏻♂️🔥
A lot of what is happening on college campuses, to me, is a direct culmination of a generation worth's effort to conflate antisemitism and criticism of Israel, an extension of the Zionist effort a generation before that to equate Judaism and Israeli nationalism. /1
@waynesussman By Elections are good indications of what is 2 come The work put in now will yield results now for the By Election and #SAelections24 ✊ 🗳️ ☑️ 📥
[COMING UP] Catch the Townhall Debate at 5:30pm with @MasegoRahlaga #RoadToElections #TheTurningPoint
Same way you dish be able to take it.. I will be back InshaAllah
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Haney and Garcia. The two fights - one in the ring and one outside the ring. Garcia won both. Coming soon from @IndySport An unforgettable night.
FUCK DON TRELLA and TOM SCHRECK YOU ABSOLUTE SCUMBAGS!!!!
FUCK BOXING JUST ROBBED A BOY OF HIS LIFE CHANGING OPPORTUNITY FUCKING BOLLOCKS!!!
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@waynesussman @mark_boikanyo The ward is largely within the borders of the old Bophuthatswana bantustan (8 of 10 VDs), and under its present boundaries was entirely non-urban in 2011 (largely tribal/traditional, the rest farms) and overwhelmingly black (98%).
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At the core of struggle and toil are people. People with hope and dreams. This is humanity
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