The xG Probability @xGProbability

City cling onto fifth place position. City (2) vs (2) Brighton - probability by xG City win - 29% Brighton win - 47% Draw - 24% #MCIBHA #PremierLeague

Gunners jammed by devils. United (1) vs (1) Arsenal - probability by xG United win - 45% Arsenal win - 29% Draw - 26% #MUNARS #PremierLeague

Crucial win for Villa's race to Europe. Brentford (0) vs (1) Villa - probability by xG Brentford win - 18% Villa win - 52% Draw - 30% #BREAVL #PremierLeague

16 points clear. Opportunity opens up for Arsenal. Liverpool (3) vs (1) Southampton - probability by xG Liverpool win - 98.5% Southampton win - 0.2% Draw - 1.3% #LIVSOU #PremierLeague

Forest strengthen third place position. Forest (1) vs (0) City - probability by xG Forest win - 24% City win - 39% Draw - 37% #NFOMCI #PremierLeague

League leaders go 13 points clear. Liverpool (2) vs (0) Newcastle - probability by xG Liverpool win - 75% Newcastle win - 4% Draw - 21% #LIVNEW #PremierLeague

Arsenal fall further behind in title race. Nottm Forest (0) vs (0) Arsenal - probability by xG Forest win - 13% Arsenal win - 52% Draw - 35% #NFOARS #PremierLeague

11 points clear for Liverpool. Man City (0) vs (2) Liverpool - probability by xG City win - 28% Liverpool Ham win - 33% Draw - 39% #MCILIV #PremierLeague

0 wins in 6 away matches for Chelsea. Aston Villa (2) vs (1) Chelsea - probability by xG Aston Villa win - 48.7% Chelsea win - 25.5% Draw - 25.8% #AVLCHE #PremierLeague

Arsenal fail to comeback with DOGSO. Arsenal (0) vs (1) West Ham - probability by xG Arsenal win - 32% West Ham win - 36% Draw - 32% #ARSWHU #PremierLeague

6 #PL games undefeated for Toffees. Everton (2) vs (2) Man United - probability by xG Everton win - 80.3% United win - 4.2% Draw - 15.5% #EVEMUN #PremierLeague

Marmoush bags Hattrick against Magpies. City (4) vs (0) Newcastle - probability by xG City win - 79.6% Newcastle win - 3.9% Draw - 16.5% #MCINEW #PremierLeague

Gunners leave it late to narrow title race. Leicester (0) vs (2) Arsenal - probability by xG Leicester win - 3.8% Arsenal win - 76.0% Draw - 20.2% #LEIARS #PremierLeague

Forest destroy Brighton 7-0. Forest (7) vs (0) Brighton - probability by xG Forest win - 91.1% Brighton win - 2.2% Draw - 6.7% #NFOBHA #PremierLeague

Leicester escape relegation zone. Tottenham (1) vs (2) Leicester - probability by xG Tottenham win - 18% Leicester win - 49% Draw - 33% #TOTLEI #PremierLeague

Six PL games unbeaten for City. Man City (3) vs (1) Chelsea - probability by xG City win - 63% Chelsea win - 16% Draw - 21% #MCICHE #PremierLeague

Ten men for both teams. Wolves (0) vs (1) Arsenal - probability by xG Wolves win - 20% Arsenal win - 45% Draw - 35% #WOLARS #PremierLeague

Arsenal fall back in title race again. Arsenal (2) vs (2) Villa - probability by xG Arsenal win - 42% Villa win - 28% Draw - 30% #ARSAVL #PremierLeague