4evaOldies @4Oldies
Inflate or die. Credit only expands or collapse. Ephemeral pieces of paper establishing ephemeral rights to ephemeral goods. I still like purple. California Joined September 2019-
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Rather weak move higher from oversold bounce. No broad participation. By mid week will run into alot of supply.
3 red weeks. Be bullish here. Everyone is looking for end of world. I smell bottom is near and an even stronger up leg ahead.
Looking for small caps and industrials to outperform. Money has already rotated. Price will follow.
Nvda earnings beat will be a pump and dump. Earnings miss will be go straight to dump. Needs lowers in order to go higher.
If I am a market maker, i would smash markets one more time under 4200 and have everyone capitulate. Sell as many puts as possible. Then ramp into years end to collect big bonuses.
If this was truly bear regime would see up into october or even december to allow true long term distribution. Down september for put selling and accumulation for seasonal strong end of year. Need vix higher to get more premium on puts. Very orchestrated selloff
Sept week 1. Volatilty up and down with stocks going no where would be sign of top. Possibly even brush to new local highs to chase off final bears. If continues higher or simply gaps down and keeps going is a no touch. Mm needs to sell puts/reload if goal is to go up
There will likely be a equities scare before the years end and the world is going to end. Buy it.
It reminds me of 2021 when the smallcaps crapped out while big tech kept chugging along until end of 2021. Banks are crapping out with the rest of the smalls. Suggest economy is more screwed up then numbers. But financial engineering shoving a few names up to make it pretty
There are no more bears left. we are at a lowr high in spx. Buyers are now all in. Who is left to buy at an even higher price?
The biggest declines appear when yield curves steepen. Wait for the euphoria.
Cautious optimism right now. Wait for higher. Then the drop to 3200.
I have also never seen more crash charts posted on Twitter.
I'm looking for the bounce to 4300 from here. Retest of the breakout while everyone expects new low typical of these patterns.
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Scamsell low tomorrow then 5-7% rally into mid may or else this is rigged 🤝
I hope that even my worst critics remain on Twitter, because that is what free speech means
The 50 Week BBands on $SPX are very tight, to a level we have only seen 4 other times in the past 13 years. These past instances have seen rallies of >40% over the following 2 years. This, mixed with near record low bull sentiment on AAII + late cycle is a recipe for big upside.
This AAII was the 9th lowest bull count ever (no prints like this during '00-'02 or '08). Also, this was the 6th time in the history of the survey that: Bulls < 20% Bears were 40-49.9% and > Neutrals -2/2/90 -11/21/90 -1/14/16 -2/11/16 -2/17/22 -4/13/22 Bob Farrell @ 0.44.
BAML Fund Manager Survey out for April, surprise surprise, they're extremely bearish on equities/bonds/growth:
@mike_haf @ObservationDesk I’ve rewired my brain to find comfort when everyone is panicking about the same stuff because they’ve identified what I shouldn’t be worried about right then and there.
@ObservationDesk Problem: you think you’re the only one to spot the inflation problem. Bigger Problem: you’re extrapolating thinking it’s going to continue at this pace and that you’re the only one thinking this is the start of a massive downtrend.
What's crazy to me is that the $COMPQ got a complete washout in both sentiment as well as breadth (<15% of the components >200DMA, plenty of breadth thrusts, which we saw after '02 and '09 bottoms, no false signals throughout 2000-2002 or 2008) and you got everyone
Model shows basing for higher into early May. I’m going on a 4 day outdoor adventure with my 6th grade class in May. I have two turn dates in early May. As we get closer I’ll determine my plan.
@drsclark Massive divergence over these two lows in the past year. $TLT is going to absolutely fly out of here. I think we can see 25%+ upside on $TLT, and $QQQ is one of the most positively correlated it’s ever been with $TLT.
Bold Predictions #StockMarket for Quarter 2: $BA outperforms every FAANG stock Let’s hear yours ⬇️
@4Oldies I see such cheap prices that I wish I would have brought from last year that I’m scared to now buy. I’ll buy while holding my breathe and looking away.
@4Oldies @SSAUTOCHROME Bottom will only be in once FED backtracks as you prior stated.
@4Oldies I am not putting and not planning to put more than 10% cash in this market. Otherwise, I might get heart attack or do something stupid.
@4Oldies man i wish folks listen to you! I dont see safety as well.
@4Oldies Once interest rate hikes are out of the way imo
@4Oldies Anyone promoting paid subs has fake trades as marketing. They would not need it if they were so good either.
@Empiretrader82 One day down after four days up and the bears are out in droves.
Naz 90% upside volume day. There have been NONE of those in the last 5 yrs.
Drop or not. Nasdaq making aths and bears can cry all the way on up to aths. Fuck the bears. Fuck everyone who thinks otherwise.
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