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Kerberos007 @kerberos007

To transform massive raw data into meaningful trading information which in turn enables one to build investment knowledge. This is for educational purposes only no Discord & don't be scammed! Joined May 2008
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kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

starting next week, I will take a break from social media to recharge. don't go away. I will be back. nice planned dump at the close today. $SPX HOD = 4607 LOD = 4528 79 pts flush in the afternoon

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

starting next week, I will take a break from social media to recharge. don't go away. I will be back. nice planned dump at the close today. $SPX HOD = 4607 LOD = 4528 79 pts flush in the afternoon

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

To da Moon.🌛 daily "pump" routine. nothing to see here.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

To da Moon.🌛 daily "pump" routine. nothing to see here.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

$SPX futures #ES_U daily volume 7/24 & 7/25 #ES_U volume ~= 1.2 M contracts both melt-up days long-term avg > 1.8 M no demand. nobody is trading. just waiting for the rug-pull.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

$SPX futures #ES_U daily volume 7/24 & 7/25 #ES_U volume ~= 1.2 M contracts both melt-up days long-term avg > 1.8 M no demand. nobody is trading. just waiting for the rug-pull. https://t.co/EgSsb4tObL

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

food & energy are volatile series MoM but are very important in CPI calculation YoY. from below chart: $WTI crude futures started moving up in July which would fuel the energy inflation & everything dependent upon the energy with on-going Putin-war. if Powell pivots too soon?

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

food & energy are volatile series MoM but are very important in CPI calculation YoY. from below chart: $WTI crude futures started moving up in July which would fuel the energy inflation & everything dependent upon the energy with on-going Putin-war. if Powell pivots too soon? https://t.co/knJqj8k7y4

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

with the current massive debt-driven economy & stock markets 1) tulip/bubble valuation 2) complacency in equity mkts & $VIX 3) excessive risk-taking & over-leveraging 4) might work in ZIRP & QE 4) very few Zombie stocks could survive in a high rate regime > 5.75% for a few Qs

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

with the current massive debt-driven economy & stock markets 1) tulip/bubble valuation 2) complacency in equity mkts & $VIX 3) excessive risk-taking & over-leveraging 4) might work in ZIRP & QE 4) very few Zombie stocks could survive in a high rate regime > 5.75% for a few Qs

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

pivot or rate cut will never happen unless 1) economy is in a deep "deflationary" recession or 2) a black-swan or a credit-event suddenly emerges (like 2008 Lehman & Pandemic) or 3) markets tanked in anticipation of worsening economy & black-swan event otherwise, rates = up

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

pivot or rate cut will never happen unless 1) economy is in a deep "deflationary" recession or 2) a black-swan or a credit-event suddenly emerges (like 2008 Lehman & Pandemic) or 3) markets tanked in anticipation of worsening economy & black-swan event otherwise, rates = up

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Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

Kerberism😉 fake Ponzi pumps have consequences: the higher the Ponzi pump the bigger & fatter the turkeys the greedier & more over-levered the mooner & late-bulls the stickier the inflation the angrier the Fed & Powell the HIGHER the peak-rate the harder the dump & liquidation

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

Kerberism😉 fake Ponzi pumps have consequences: the higher the Ponzi pump the bigger & fatter the turkeys the greedier & more over-levered the mooner & late-bulls the stickier the inflation the angrier the Fed & Powell the HIGHER the peak-rate the harder the dump & liquidation

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

FOMC rate decision on Wednesday: current rate = 5 to 5.25% CME FedWatch: with 98.9% probability 25bps rate-hike to 5.25 to 5.5% with 1.1% probability 50 bps rate-hike = 5.5 to 5.75% still non-zero probability. Kerb predicted since 2022: terminal rate ~= 5.5 to 6% in 2023

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

FOMC rate decision on Wednesday: current rate = 5 to 5.25% CME FedWatch: with 98.9% probability 25bps rate-hike to 5.25 to 5.5% with 1.1% probability 50 bps rate-hike = 5.5 to 5.75% still non-zero probability. Kerb predicted since 2022: terminal rate ~= 5.5 to 6% in 2023

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

shocking? nothing matters, who cares? the PonziGPT just ramp the futures up breaking EU PMIs Plunge As German Manufacturing Collapses to contraction @ 48.9; Inflation Remains 'Sticky' contraction + inflation = stagflation the new normal the PonziGPT deems this as Bullish?😉

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

shocking? nothing matters, who cares? the PonziGPT just ramp the futures up breaking EU PMIs Plunge As German Manufacturing Collapses to contraction @ 48.9; Inflation Remains 'Sticky' contraction + inflation = stagflation the new normal the PonziGPT deems this as Bullish?😉

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

Cat-5 Hurricane? anyone saw below video? every store is CLOSED in Embarcadero San Francisco Zombie land. shocking. astonishing, youtube.com/watch?v=ILAYlT…

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

Cat-5 Hurricane? anyone saw below video? every store is CLOSED in Embarcadero San Francisco Zombie land. shocking. astonishing, youtube.com/watch?v=ILAYlT…

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

Bloomberg Billionaire Sternlicht Sees ‘Category 5 Hurricane’ Spurred by Fed Rate Hikes Barry Sternlicht, the billionaire investor who built a reputation as a bargain hunter in turbulent times, is readying his next bets -waiting for the "Cat-5" rug-pull? tinyurl.com/3xarhmdr

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

Bloomberg Billionaire Sternlicht Sees ‘Category 5 Hurricane’ Spurred by Fed Rate Hikes Barry Sternlicht, the billionaire investor who built a reputation as a bargain hunter in turbulent times, is readying his next bets -waiting for the "Cat-5" rug-pull? tinyurl.com/3xarhmdr

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

even on a down day (especially $NDX & #Nasdaq down 2+%) the $SPX futures volume was still very low. #ES_F 7/20 volume ~= 1.52M contracts today is OpEx for the month of July with massive Gamma on the line.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

even on a down day (especially $NDX & #Nasdaq down 2+%) the $SPX futures volume was still very low. #ES_F 7/20 volume ~= 1.52M contracts today is OpEx for the month of July with massive Gamma on the line.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

even with $TSLA $NFLX & $TSMC earnings out, overnight $SPX futures still super quiet and boring. someone is controlling the futures market so as not to allow more than 10-point drops overnight. this is getting predictable & mundane. why? waiting for the big rug-pull?

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

even with $TSLA $NFLX & $TSMC earnings out, overnight $SPX futures still super quiet and boring. someone is controlling the futures market so as not to allow more than 10-point drops overnight. this is getting predictable & mundane. why? waiting for the big rug-pull?

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

9 months ago

yesterday was another low volume melt-up day: #ES_U volume 7/18 volume = 1.3M contracts 7/17 volume = 1.06M 7/14 volume = 1.38M 9/13 volume = 1.16M significantly below the long term avg >1.8M contracts again yesterday after hour & overnight $SPX futures = a flat line, no pulse

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

yesterday was another low volume melt-up day: #ES_U volume 7/18 volume = 1.3M contracts 7/17 volume = 1.06M 7/14 volume = 1.38M 9/13 volume = 1.16M significantly below the long term avg >1.8M contracts again yesterday after hour & overnight $SPX futures = a flat line, no pulse

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

this week: 1) July OpEx week 2) earnings week 3) huge OpEx Gamma but with, 1) super low volume 2) super suppressed $VIX strange/unusual market behavior? or staged/controlled by the PonziGPT for a stealthy reason? conspiracy?🤣 you decide.🧐

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

this week: 1) July OpEx week 2) earnings week 3) huge OpEx Gamma but with, 1) super low volume 2) super suppressed $VIX strange/unusual market behavior? or staged/controlled by the PonziGPT for a stealthy reason? conspiracy?🤣 you decide.🧐

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

#SPX futures: $ES_U volume yesterday volume = 1.06M contracts long-term avg > 1.8M contracts no-volume "staged/controlled" melt-up not sustainable. no demand on up days - Wykoff

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

#SPX futures: $ES_U volume yesterday volume = 1.06M contracts long-term avg > 1.8M contracts no-volume "staged/controlled" melt-up not sustainable. no demand on up days - Wykoff https://t.co/RcFFjtmknl

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

yesterday after hour & over-night mkt $SPX is a flat line +- 3 points range. no pulse. super productive "price-discovery" market. something is terribly wrong with the PonziGPT which controls every single tick in the futures market.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

yesterday after hour & over-night mkt $SPX is a flat line +- 3 points range. no pulse. super productive "price-discovery" market. something is terribly wrong with the PonziGPT which controls every single tick in the futures market.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

ZH- Why The Sell-off In Bank Stocks Despite Solid Earnings 3 for 3 banks beating and taking guidance higher and now banks -2%. Even best-in-class prints like JPM flat on the day. - most good news is priced in - upside is limited - if bad news? - buy the rumor, sell the news.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

ZH- Why The Sell-off In Bank Stocks Despite Solid Earnings 3 for 3 banks beating and taking guidance higher and now banks -2%. Even best-in-class prints like JPM flat on the day. - most good news is priced in - upside is limited - if bad news? - buy the rumor, sell the news.

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

hmmm St. Louis Fed Pre. Bullard, a hawk at the Fed who pushed for aggressive rate hikes to curb inflation, will leave the Fed on 14 Aug to join Purdue's business school he has recused himself from his monetary policy role & other related duties & has ceased all public speaking

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

hmmm St. Louis Fed Pre. Bullard, a hawk at the Fed who pushed for aggressive rate hikes to curb inflation, will leave the Fed on 14 Aug to join Purdue's business school he has recused himself from his monetary policy role & other related duties & has ceased all public speaking

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

U.S. Gross Federal Debt to GDP ratio = 130% at the end of 2022 how much % of these debts went to stock markets to save the zombies & the planet? moral-hazard encouraging excessive risk-taking & over-leveraging then rug-pull like 2021 tech wreck, 2008 GFC, 2020 pandemic and 2022

kerberos007 Profile Picture

Kerberos007 @kerberos007

10 months ago

U.S. Gross Federal Debt to GDP ratio = 130% at the end of 2022 how much % of these debts went to stock markets to save the zombies & the planet? moral-hazard encouraging excessive risk-taking & over-leveraging then rug-pull like 2021 tech wreck, 2008 GFC, 2020 pandemic and 2022 https://t.co/okU6VFoNoQ

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