Adam Mancini @AdamMancini4
Full-Time Futures Trader ES intraday, also swing trade ETFs 2-7 day holds. Fully transparent approach. Posts for my notes only! tradecompanion.substack.com Canada Joined May 2016-
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Good level to level action in #ES_F today as we prepare for FOMC. 5121-5150 was the range as posted, with 5136 mid-pivot. We sold to 5121 exact, bounced to 5136+. I posted 5121 would be weaker on 2nd test, and just flushed. 5121 must reclaim to see huge squeeze. 5095 next down
Good level to level action in #ES_F today as we prepare for FOMC. 5121-5150 was the range as posted, with 5136 mid-pivot. We sold to 5121 exact, bounced to 5136+. I posted 5121 would be weaker on 2nd test, and just flushed. 5121 must reclaim to see huge squeeze. 5095 next down
Today's plan tracking well in #ES_F. As posted 8am, 5150-5121=the pre FOMC/earnings chop range, with a 5136 mid-pivot. We sold down to 5121 exactly, bounced, hit 5136 first target. 5146-50 next. Don't overtrade in it, it will setup a trend leg 5121 must keep hold (weaker now)
Today's plan tracking well in #ES_F. As posted 8am, 5150-5121=the pre FOMC/earnings chop range, with a 5136 mid-pivot. We sold down to 5121 exactly, bounced, hit 5136 first target. 5146-50 next. Don't overtrade in it, it will setup a trend leg 5121 must keep hold (weaker now)
Extremely precise technicals today as we fill out the range as posted in #ES_F. 5121-5150=the chop range with 5136 mid-pivot. We dipped to 5120.5 low of day, bounced. Now coming into 5136 first target. 5150 above. 5121 must hold now (weaker) or we flush to those lower supports
Extremely precise technicals today as we fill out the range as posted in #ES_F. 5121-5150=the chop range with 5136 mid-pivot. We dipped to 5120.5 low of day, bounced. Now coming into 5136 first target. 5150 above. 5121 must hold now (weaker) or we flush to those lower supports
Rangebound technicals continue in #ES_F as we fill out that 5121-5150 chop range as posted 30 mins ago, and we just dipped down to 5121 support exactly and bounced. No changes. 5121 must hold (fast) to work back to 5136 5150. We sell 5116, 5095 if it caves, it is getting weaker
Rangebound technicals continue in #ES_F as we fill out that 5121-5150 chop range as posted 30 mins ago, and we just dipped down to 5121 support exactly and bounced. No changes. 5121 must hold (fast) to work back to 5136 5150. We sell 5116, 5095 if it caves, it is getting weaker
Yesterday was slow as #ES_F consolidates last weeks 130 point rally. Finally at 3pm, we got a setup: Putting in a textbook failed breakdown long trigger under 5127, then running to 5150 target Plan today: 5121-50=chop, 5136 midpivot. dont overtrade. Sets up 5160, 5176. Sell<5121
Yesterday was slow as #ES_F consolidates last weeks 130 point rally. Finally at 3pm, we got a setup: Putting in a textbook failed breakdown long trigger under 5127, then running to 5150 target Plan today: 5121-50=chop, 5136 midpivot. dont overtrade. Sets up 5160, 5176. Sell<5121
@MateoMagg Thats Mateo! Like I say in the newsletter theres only a few concepts you need to know (traps etc), but it takes a while to actually learn to recognize them in real time (and most importantly, not trade when those concepts aren't present)
Incredible follow through on the late day long in #ES_F, and this was a textbook example of a failed breakdown, explicitly provided in Fridays newsletter. We flushed 5127, reclaimed, rallied, just hit 5150 target Ultimately, we are still basing though to setup next trend. 5170+
Incredible follow through on the late day long in #ES_F, and this was a textbook example of a failed breakdown, explicitly provided in Fridays newsletter. We flushed 5127, reclaimed, rallied, just hit 5150 target Ultimately, we are still basing though to setup next trend. 5170+
Closing update #ES_F: Consolidation day to setup the next trend move. Bulls had to hold 5127, and held nicely on a textbook failed breakdown as posted/provided above. 5145-50 remains res, to setup breakout to 5168-71. Newsletter out soon talking triggers tomorrow (link in x bio)
The ultra slow session in #ES_F continues as we digest last weeks rally. 5145-5127 remains the flagging range with 5136 mid-pivot, and with 1hr left in the session, we are *finally* getting a support test 5127=support. Must hold quickly. This fails, we work down to 5108, 5102
The ultra slow session in #ES_F continues as we digest last weeks rally. 5145-5127 remains the flagging range with 5136 mid-pivot, and with 1hr left in the session, we are *finally* getting a support test 5127=support. Must hold quickly. This fails, we work down to 5108, 5102
As expected, we continue the slow session in #ES_F, as we 1) Digest the 125 point rally and 2) Prepare for major catalysts. This base sets up trend. 5145-5127=the flagging range as posted, with 5136 mid-pivot. Es agrees No change: 5158, 5167-71 whenever its ready. Dip only <5127
As expected, we continue the slow session in #ES_F, as we 1) Digest the 125 point rally and 2) Prepare for major catalysts. This base sets up trend. 5145-5127=the flagging range as posted, with 5136 mid-pivot. Es agrees No change: 5158, 5167-71 whenever its ready. Dip only <5127
Slow session continues as posted. This is #ES_F digesting the 125 point rally we just had, and preparing for this weeks slew of catalysts. 5145-5127 is the chop zone as posted, with a 5136 mid-pivot, still here. Don't overtrade 5158, 5167-71 next when ES is ready. We dip < 5127
Slow session continues as posted. This is #ES_F digesting the 125 point rally we just had, and preparing for this weeks slew of catalysts. 5145-5127 is the chop zone as posted, with a 5136 mid-pivot, still here. Don't overtrade 5158, 5167-71 next when ES is ready. We dip < 5127
Slow start to the session in #ES_F and two reasons for this. 1) We are digesting the 125 point Thurs/Fri move and 2) We have heavy catalysts this week. 5145-5127 remains flagging zone as posted. No change: 5158, 5168-71 next when ES ready. If 5127 fails, we dip down the lvls
Slow start to the session in #ES_F and two reasons for this. 1) We are digesting the 125 point Thurs/Fri move and 2) We have heavy catalysts this week. 5145-5127 remains flagging zone as posted. No change: 5158, 5168-71 next when ES ready. If 5127 fails, we dip down the lvls
We continue to push off the 5108 Friday morning long in #ES_F and good start to the day. 5158 was 1st target for today en route. 5168-71 is second. We have both FOMC & multiple earnings this week, there will be huge, 2 way ranges. Trade lvl to lvl 5127 remains support, dip below
We continue to push off the 5108 Friday morning long in #ES_F and good start to the day. 5158 was 1st target for today en route. 5168-71 is second. We have both FOMC & multiple earnings this week, there will be huge, 2 way ranges. Trade lvl to lvl 5127 remains support, dip below
On Friday the plan in #ES_F was simple: Bulls retain control, and as long as 5108 held. 5145 was target: 5108 held, and we hit 5145. Basing here since Plan today: Keep holding runners. 5127-5145=flagging zone to setup 5158, 5162, 5168-5171 (major). 5127 fails, dip 5108, 5102
On Friday the plan in #ES_F was simple: Bulls retain control, and as long as 5108 held. 5145 was target: 5108 held, and we hit 5145. Basing here since Plan today: Keep holding runners. 5127-5145=flagging zone to setup 5158, 5162, 5168-5171 (major). 5127 fails, dip 5108, 5102
Good trading is knowing when not to trade, as much as knowing when to. If you have an edge, the vast majority of action daily - by definition - won't match it. Task is to sit on hands until the "fat pitch" setup (I use 3 setups) you've drilled 1000x presents. Sidelines the rest
@AdamMancini4 I am a subscriber and read your NL daily. I have tested many “advisors” over the years. Your levels are 🔥☄️
After putting in 3 red weeks for first time since Sept 2023, #ES_F went green. The pattern is now a large downtrend channel/bull flag from April high, with 5175-80 res. Magnet Plan Next Week: 5127, 5102=supports. As long as they hold, 5175 incoming. Dip spot, then breakout 5245+
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@AdamMancini4 to the tick to 5108... pff my mistake was cutting it sooner thinking it wasn't gonna get there
@ILGHomeLoans @AdamMancini4 I think with Adam's timeframe and strategy, not setup for it yet (maybe after FOMC) ...some of us are far more zoomed in and using Adam's framework for that 50,000ft view :D
@AdamMancini4 Per NL, took the short on fail of 21 after bounce at 15, and context of barrier at 36. Set first TP at 2 above 108 (just in case it FBD 21), filled. Stops on remaining runners just above 21. If we flush hard, will reverse and try the long again at 5067.
@AdamMancini4 As per NL, got in at 24 and out at 37 and probably will be sitting on the sideline for rest of the day and avoid messy action. thanks @AdamMancini4
@AdamMancini4 This 36 level is stubborn. Feels like we want to flush the lows, yields aren't helping either, Fed, etc. Not predicting (nor trading). Maybe a FBD presents of 21 again, or it may give altogether. Little tricky here for me personally.
$MCD MCDONALD'S TO TEST LARGER BURGER THIS YEAR
@AdamMancini4 Assuming 200 points move...that's 5350 or 4950...wow...that too in few days?
@AdamMancini4 Can‘t get more precise than this 21 touch and go 🚀
@AdamMancini4 Absolutely and worked out perfectly! Appreciate the guidance as always.
@AdamMancini4 sweet that worked really well. Thanks for NL note that direct long was actionable there, I might've missed it waiting for fbd otherwise!
If you know your history, it was already too late for Imperial Japan and the Axis by 1942. Their empires were built on sand because they could never hope to match the production capacity of the US. The US literally saved the world in WW2.
Japan after 1942 was unstoppable, how did they fumble so hard
@AdamMancini4 Thank you sir! Just funded another account 🙌🏽
@AdamMancini4 this has been & become about one of the least actionable zones to engage in with size. monster rally behind+monster catalyst ahead effect is very strong! holding patience for the fat pitches near extremes of the range and trading small size building risk free runners meanwhile.
Poland’s Future F-35s Have Been Officially Named “Husarz” The name for Poland’s F-35s, chosen via a public competition, draws on the nation’s military history for inspiration. Story: twz.com/news-features/…
Just browsing through my feed Is there a scenario where there Is Not a 2nd leg down coming? Goodness...
@AdamMancini4 Only took a small position but profits are profits. Took most off. Have a nice evening - do something fun!
@AdamMancini4 If this is not a liquidity grab, then I don't know what is 😂 which is also a (mini) FBD set up (again!)
@AdamMancini4 excellent end to the day! loved it. that last 10mins FBD of the 36 zone really sparked some magic! 😇
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