After two days working with new Sonnet 4.5 + Codex a connection is emerging
- Codex High for planning
- Claude Code for coding
After all GPT-5 at its peak is the strongest model today especially when it comes to financial analytics
however the speed simplicity and clarity of…
ETH Market temperature September 30
Index at 24% (guarded) ETH holding around $4100 Expected daily move ±3.2% $4035–$4301 Verdict hold and watch the $4000 level
What changed
Index dropped from 25.5% to 24% Three days of ETF outflows replaced by cautious inflow On derivatives…
first impressions from Claude Code Sonnet 4.5 I can note that the context holds better
apparently the sub-agent system is well organized
the logic and quality of this agent's work are quite high
when the thinking mode is enabled it seems to be no worse than Opus 4.1 and the speed…
How the ETH Crash Index performed during the ETH drop from 4600 to 3800
Pros
Clear alerts that the market is very restless when the chart looks calm (shoutout to technical analysis etc)
Several strong danger signals 6 days before the crash 2 of which were back to back before the…
ETH Crash Index - 25.7%
Base scenario for 09/29 - volatile consolidation 3860–4050 with a chance for a bounce if flows and ETFs dont fail
break below 3850 without buyer support will open the way to 3720 and in the worst case 3600
while a full-scale downtrend is not…
ETH Crash Index - 33.3%
The market is "on edge" candles can be sharp but there are:
no signals for a systemic "collapse now" It's a deleveraging sellers are more active insurance is getting more expensive but the basis and funding do not confirm capitulation
Downward bias risk…
ETH Crash Index (24) - 35.5%
Build in public Day 13
Tension rose again
Crash Index up to 35.5% from yesterday 25%
This means the market expects sharp moves at the edges of the range
Funding is negative (crowd is more short) and OI is up over 24h - more shorts and new leverage…
ETH Crash Index (24h) - 25.3
Today the market looks calmer
but not relaxed Crash Index ~25% (GUARDED) daily range $4 033–4 310 (~±3.3%) Spot ~$4 172 ETH/BTC ~0.0369 - no clear strength against BTC
The tape is slightly "heavy": taker buy/sell ~0.90 (more market sells) funding…
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