Situationally Unaware Jing @ApexQuantChef

a16z To Drop Crypto From Its Flagship Blockchain Fund's name, Focus On Other Investments, Its First Founding Member To Also Leave: The Information It’s over

@sonyasunkim Check us out - usd neutral long short on HyperLiquid 35% annualized with max drawdown 3.7% and no leverage. app.infinit.tech

US Official: Russians accepted the US proposal for a trilateral meeting with Ukraine.

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US officially finalizes new crypto stablecoin regulations under the GENIUS Act.

AI will soon be replacing PM jobs

InfraMarginal @infra_marginal

2 days ago

Balyasny has moved its Head of Applied AI Research into a trading seat Peter Anderson is now Head of Autonomous Strategies within Fundamental Equities. He came from Google after a stint as a Credit Suisse equity researcher and an ML PhD in Australia. Gearoid Murphy, formerly a

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When fake news can’t break the markets lower…. Just saying…

BREAKING: $750 billion has been added to the US stock market in the last 45 minutes as reports of a US-Iran proposal to end the war send WTI oil crashing to $96.

According to a Qatari report, as part of the proposal, Tehran agreed to a secret visit, which would not be publicly announced, by the International Atomic Energy Agency to Iranian nuclear facilities - Israel's Channel 12 New

Proposal presented today by the Pakistani army chief to senior Iranian officials has received American approval and has already received preliminary agreement from Iran. - Israel's Channel 12 News

Strategy $MSTR forms a Golden Cross for the first time since March 2023 ✔️ The last one sent price soaring nearly 700% over the next 12 months 📈 🤑

Hedge funds decreased longs and increased shorts last week, likely in a move to preserve what has been a good year, but leaving a huge amount of room for them to eventually reengage with the market.

Q4 and post-midterm seasonality remain overwhelmingly bullish. Historically, the fourth quarter has been the strongest quarter of the year for the S&P 500 in terms of consistency of positive returns. Over roughly the past 80 years, Q4 has produced a positive return about 80% of the time, compared with approximately 60%–64% for the other three quarters. The midterm election cycle adds another powerful seasonal tailwind. Stocks have historically performed particularly well as the uncertainty surrounding midterm elections is removed. Depending on the precise starting period used, recent historical studies put the S&P 500's positive rate during Q4 of midterm years at roughly 83%–85%. Given the backdrop of strong earnings growth and, at least for now, no clear evidence of recession, history argues that the bulls should continue to receive the benefit of the doubt. However, seasonality is a tendency—not a guarantee. Fed tightening, deteriorating breadth, rising interest rates and elevated oil prices represent meaningful counterweights. At a minimum, those conditions increase the probability of volatility and make the current environment considerably less straightforward than the historical averages suggest. Individual stocks have already been correcting beneath the surface of the major indexes. More than 35% of S&P 500 stocks are currently down 20% or more from their 52-week highs, even as the index itself remains relatively close to record territory. In other words, a significant correction has already occurred—it has simply been masked by the strength of a relatively small number of heavily weighted stocks. Interestingly, the 87 Crash is one of the historical analogs worth keeping in mind following a Fed tightening. The comparison should not be interpreted as a prediction of another crash, but the monetary-policy parallel is real: the Fed raised the discount rate from 5.5% to 6.0% on September 4, 1987, while market interest rates were already rising sharply. The seasonal winds are clearly at the market's back. The question is whether tightening financial conditions, weak participation and rising oil become strong enough headwinds to overpower them. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked 125 basis points in just seven months. We looked at prior cases when the 10-year Treasury yield jumped more than 125 basis points in seven months and found 13 prior cases. Only seven of the 13 cases (54%) had positive returns three months later. minervini.com

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Oh no why do you have to tweet that?!?

Jim Cramer @jimcramer

3 days ago

Jeez, cleaned out the sellers nicely. Very strong

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@jacobkxyz @sssionggg @Kl20Summit Malaysia boleh

“Positioning across funds are at record lows, especially on net exposure. Gross remains high-ish - which means that funds have hedged instead of trimming down the book.” Time to load the boat! 🛥️

BREAKTHROUGH U.S.–IRAN DEAL REPORTEDLY EXPECTED THIS WEEK Sources familiar with mediation efforts told Al-Araby Al-Jadeed that a breakthrough agreement between Washington and Tehran could be announced this week.

APEX MS Vault Update (annualized 38.9% highest watermark with max drawdown 3.7%): Strong bid in Asia with supposedly "Black Monday" happening. We don't let emotions take over our trading, we just let our systems trade.

Were futures green on Black Monday in 1987 too?

Calls for a "Black Monday" are spreading rapidly across social media right now. If history is any guide, this means the S&P 500 should hit 8,000 soon. Ignore the noise. Read our analysis below.

The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter

a week ago

x.com/i/article/2110…

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@dgt10011 Low liquidity, doubt anyone cares