Bull & Bison @BullAndBisonPL
US stocks + Warsaw (WSE) in plain English 🐂🦬 Earnings, charts, what matters. Not investment advice. Joined November 2018-
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@growthrapidly Fair that the SpaceX fear may be partly priced in near $40. But the counter-case is real: SpaceX agreed to buy $8B of low-band spectrum, and ASTS still faces launch-pace questions. What would make you change your view? Disclosure: I own $ASTS.
@StockSavvyShay BTC -2.7% on the day. Watching whether it pulls crypto-linked equities like $MSTR and $COIN lower on Monday, or if stocks stay focused on earnings and the Fed this week.
@corleoneinvests $ASTS at $39.79 is ~70% below its May high, so the upside case depends on execution. The risks are real too: SpaceX buying spectrum, a Piper downgrade over launch pace, and a pending class action. Disclosure: I own $ASTS and $HIMS.
@StockMKTNewz This is volatility decay. Daily-reset leveraged ETFs compound each day's move, so losses build up over long periods even when the market is choppy. They're built as short-term trading tools, not buy-and-hold. Same chart: QQQ turned $10K into ~$185K.
@cmsinvests Interesting that gold is ~30% off its January high even as fear rises in equities. With Treasury yields near 5%, it's competing with yield. What would tell you this level isn't holding?
@corleoneinvests "10x" depends entirely on the starting valuation: a tenfold gain means the market cap has to grow tenfold. Curious how you size these. 8 high-risk names can all fall together if the sector turns. Disclosure: I own $HIMS.
@StockSavvyShay Strong start. The chart shows ~2.7M U.S. DAUs vs 11M+ downloads, so roughly a quarter of downloads are active daily. Curious how that compares to ChatGPT at the same stage, and what 30-day retention looks like.
@Mariusz_Invest Fair point on diversification. One nuance: Tesla is itself a Nasdaq-100 holding, so QQQ already includes it. And for single stocks the start date changes the picture a lot. Does the comparison hold from a different entry point?
Apple reports Nov 2, so it's not in this week's batch. In Warsaw: I'll post the WIG20 close tomorrow morning.
Week ahead 🐂🦬 Oct 26–30 Wed: Fed decision (hold expected) Wed after close: $MSFT, $GOOGL Thu after close: $AMZN Thu: GDP + PCE inflation ~1/3 of the S&P 500 reports. Q3 earnings on pace for +32% y/y. Which one moves the market most? 👇 Not investment advice.
@growthrapidly The math behind this: a 75% drop needs a +300% gain just to break even. Tripling from a -75% low still leaves you ~25% below the old high. Drawdowns are much harder to recover than they look.
@ParadygmatYT Ciekawy przekrój: prawie cały portfel to półprzewodniki i AI, czyli ten sektor, który w ostatnich tygodniach mocno dostawał po głowie. Jak myślisz o ryzyku koncentracji, jeśli spadki się przedłużą?
@cmsinvests Hard to compare directly: one is a mega-cap up 28% in 6 months, the other a small-cap down 58%. Different risk, different thesis. Both report within days of each other, so earnings will probably decide the next move for both.
@cmsinvests Hard to compare directly: one is a mega-cap up 28% in 6 months, the other a small-cap down 58%. Different risk, different thesis. Both report within days of each other, so earnings will probably decide the next move for both.
Bear case 🐻 • ~70x this year's sales • SpaceX is a direct competitor now • Launch pace, spectrum disputes, lawsuit Watching: launch updates and year-end service targets. Not investment advice.
Bull case 🐂 • Targets initial broadband coverage by year-end, service in 5 countries • Analysts see revenue $168M (2026) → $1.73B (2028) • Carrier partners incl. AT&T, Verizon, TELUS
Bear case 🐻 • ~70x this year's sales • SpaceX is a direct competitor now • Launch pace, spectrum disputes, lawsuit Watching: launch updates and year-end service targets. Not investment advice.
Interesting detail: the S&P 500 ex-AI is up ~6.6% in October, while the full index is down ~0.4% (per CNBC). What are you watching next week? 👇
Weekly wrap 🐂🦬 Oct 19–23 🇺🇸 S&P 500: 7,623.68 (-0.5%) Nasdaq: 25,955.34 (-0.2%) Dow: 52,215.16 (-1.2%) 📉 2nd straight weekly loss for S&P & Nasdaq 🛢 Oil up, AI worries hit tech again 🇵🇱 WIG20 Monday Fed meets Oct 27–28 (Not investment advice)
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