UTC @CFCDanielX

@kiddamnesiac @USA_Polling Agree it’s not nothing but I don’t see enough evidence to suggest NPVs will make a monumental leap or the Dems are making some huge IPV shift. The apathy is strong. VoteHub has a +3.9% blue shift from 2024 based on their EV model.

1 0 1 16 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@PerseAzemXIV Wow, gracias por compartir tu perspectiva.

0 0 2 341 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@mmeier6706 @VoteHub 3.9% blue shift from 2024, not sure the logic in not using 2022 but I’m sure the margin of error in this calculation is massive.

0 0 0 49 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@BoyForida +3.9…good in theory but it must be some kind of wild assumption of how this then impacts IPV. In the past stellar VBM by Dems and mediocre VBM by NPA have followed with mediocre IPV by Dem/NPA. Interestingly GOP VBM is up too.

0 0 1 84 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@Socdem_Michael It’s partisan RV poll it’s basically useless on its own

0 0 1 584 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@Farmer_Shane91 @mavsmarie 31k views and 2 likes. Take a look in the mirror and own that you’re spewing nonsense. You don’t even have bots coming to your rescue.

0 0 0 33 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@JaysonFras Nice loyalty sliders, is there a way to create a trend based on 2022 VBM and then have it project end VBM results with the sliders? And then maybe some type of extreme project or is just a fools errand or just non sensical to project the IPV even if static to 2022?

0 0 0 5 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@paulesq711 @JaysonFras The data is cool and somewhat directional but aren’t Dems being more conditioned to vote in person?

0 0 0 17 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@bmwjim I don’t think that’s enough unless the GOP Jolly vote is substantial and NPA ratio is way higher than past elections. Could be close though

0 0 0 43 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@kiddamnesiac @USA_Polling The 28% has terrible turnout, it’s going to take a minor miracle but u could see a Slight R edge as the median of outcomes

1 0 0 44 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

6 days ago

@RefsJourney Ok thanks

0 0 1 76 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

a week ago

@WhistleBlowerDK Agree and thank you. I was just curious what the best practice for knowing the moment when the ball is played while staying hyper focused on that reference point.

1 0 2 105 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

2 weeks ago

@steelersCAtoPA @toafandom @JamieClass5 @priscialva Crime rate including non citizens peaked in 1991 and is lower than 1970. But you didn’t really care.

1 0 1 36 0

View Details

UTC @CFCDanielX

2 weeks ago

@SovereignMindsX @seaphil68 Yeah, the registered Dems who work to make ends meet, with families, who live across red and blue counties are dirty commies….yet MAGA is besties with the biggest commies on the planet.