Two AVWAPs for #Bitcoin that I'm focused on:
🔵 AVWAP from the post-ETF approval highs
🟢 AVWAP from the post-ETF approval lows
I'm seeing a lot of confluence here in this $59k-$61k range.
That means a good chance for support, but a breakdown could have serious consequences.
It's almost like the U.S. economy is resilient & dynamic, while also performing much better than other countries who are all competing to attract global capital...
Oh wait, that's because it is!
Doomers are in shambles.
HT @M_McDonough
If I was a bear, I'd be extremely nervous that the Russell 2000 $RUT (the weakest index during this bull market) has still been making higher highs and higher lows in 2024.
Even this latest pullback didn't invalidate the uptrend.
The small cap index is flat YTD.
CPI ≠ INFLATION
The CPI (Consumer Price Index) is a basket of goods & services, used to calculate the rate of inflation by comparing the total cost of goods/services in Point A vs. Point B.
CPI = prices
Prices ≠ inflation
[(Prices now - prices then)/prices then] = inflation
I’ve been hearing that central banks are trapped for 10+ years.
During that time, the Fed has paused, hiked, cut, cut even more, hiked by historic magnitudes, and paused.
Yet losers on the internet still want you to think the Fed is trapped.
Fact: they do whatever they want.
I’ve been hearing that central banks are trapped for 10+ years.
During that time, the Fed has paused, hiked, cut, cut even more, hiked by historic magnitudes, and paused.
Yet losers on the internet still want you to think the Fed is trapped.
Fact: they do whatever they want.
My money is still on blue, looks even more likely now imo.
I will go full max long at $58k
p.s I'm a few hundred followers away from 100k so please help me out cause my gf is gonna get me a cake,
thanks
My money is still on blue, looks even more likely now imo.
I will go full max long at $58k
p.s I'm a few hundred followers away from 100k so please help me out cause my gf is gonna get me a cake,
thanks https://t.co/NBtXKkx2AM
I just pulled the weekly internal metrics for the S&P 500.
I'm extremely impressed.
Is it outright bullish? Probably not.
Is it a massive improvement vs. the prior week? Yes.
I'll be sharing with premium members tomorrow:
substackfwd.xyz/?url=https://c…
Relative to other currencies, the U.S. dollar is much stronger than it was 10 years ago.
Relative to a basket of goods/services, the dollar has indeed lost value.
Here's the $DXY over the past 10 years, up +33%.
Relative to other currencies, the U.S. dollar is much stronger than it was 10 years ago.
Relative to a basket of goods/services, the dollar has indeed lost value.
Here's the $DXY over the past 10 years, up +33%. https://t.co/datexnb4NW
Bears look away.
The S&P 500 $SPX is making a series of higher lows & higher highs on a short-term basis, shown using 1hr candles in the chart below.
Constructive behavior.
Bulls need a transition from "constructive" to "outright bullish".
Only +3.1% away from ATH's.
Alright fam…
It’s my birthday weekend 📈
After 3 consecutive years of publishing new research every single weekend, I’m taking my first weekend off.
Back to the regularly scheduled programming of Cubic Analytics next week!
Love you all 🧡
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