Carroll Doherty @CarrollDoherty
Director of Political Research, Pew Research Center Public opinion, political data, ex-journo pewresearch.org Washington, DC Joined February 2010-
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From a survey last year on pets, % who consider their pets 'as part of their family' (as much as a human family member) asked of pet owners/based on partisan leaners Liberal Dem 57% Cons/Mod Dem 53% Mod/Lib Rep 55% Cons Rep 39% pewresearch.org/short-reads/20…
In the 1960s-70s, the public was generally skeptical of protests against the Vietnam War. For example, this is from a 1969 survey by CBS News: Approve of public protests by different groups around the country against the Vietnam War - 19% Disapprove - 77% Via @RoperCenter
fair warning that the next person who innocently asks me about my job is going to get a 20-minute spiel about how the decision to include/omit an explicit "unsure" option on current events polling* can enormously impact the results *both options are valid and tell us something!
Concerns about Biden's physical capabilities persist. In our new survey: 15% of voters are extremely or very confident Biden has the physical fitness to do the job of president; 20% are somewhat confident; 65% are not too or not at all confident. pewresearch.org/politics/2024/…
Concerns about Biden's physical capabilities persist. In our new survey: 15% of voters are extremely or very confident Biden has the physical fitness to do the job of president; 20% are somewhat confident; 65% are not too or not at all confident. pewresearch.org/politics/2024/…
Have questions about polling? Courtney Kennedy, vice president of methods and innovation at @pewresearch, is taking part in the @RealSciLine media briefing on reporting on opinion polls and surveys on May 7! Register here: bit.ly/44erBDn
NEW Amid prospects of delay in Trump election case until past November, 45% of Americans say Trump broke the law in an effort to change the 2020 election outcome; 15% say he did something wrong but didn't break law; 23% say he did nothing wrong. pewresearch.org/politics/2024/…
Election data is vital to voting rights. So why is it so hard to track down? boltsmag.org/election-data-…
Great pairing: two brilliant thinkers talk about Sanger's brilliant new book as Iran and Israel square off and Putin threatens Ukraine - and more
Great pairing: two brilliant thinkers talk about Sanger's brilliant new book as Iran and Israel square off and Putin threatens Ukraine - and more
Here is my big news. I am excited about leading @voa, whose mission is so critical in the defense of journalism, free expression and truth. I am sad to leave @freedomhouse, but it will continue to prosper because it will always be a bulwark in defense of freedom and democracy.…
my first column for @zeteo_news: how cancer changed my perspective on the threat to democracy zeteo.com/p/how-cancer-c…
The electorate has gotten older since the 1990s: 58% of registered voters are 50 or older; that compares to 41% in 1996. And older voters vote at higher rates, so they have even more electoral clout. pewrsr.ch/49v1YPB
As in past years, Americans view their state and local governments far more positively than the federal government in Washington. But favorability ratings of all three levels of government have taken a downturn from a few years ago.
Appreciate it, but credit to the good folks at @pewresearch. They have spent considerable resources on education—and I am so thankful for their work.
Appreciate it, but credit to the good folks at @pewresearch. They have spent considerable resources on education—and I am so thankful for their work.
On the states and abortion, this from last year: 62% of US adults (including 39% of Republicans and GOP leaners) said their greater concern was that some states are making it too hard, rather than too easy, to get an abortion. pewrsr.ch/3oK4qQK
For more on why I'm a skeptic about declaring political realignments based on poll subgroups, here's a wonky piece on how weighting affects *everything*. Polling has become more art than science these days. My latest @nationaljournal (unlocked) nationaljournal.com/s/724711/can-p…
a great write-up by @RuthIgielnik of the latest Pew report on party ID in the U.S. In 2020, Ds outnumbered Rs (including leaners) now, Ds & Rs are evenly divided, due in part to increasing R gains among voters without a college degree nyti.ms/3xphuiC
NEW Among the many differences in the composition of the Rep and Dem parties, religious affiliation is among the most striking. GOP continues to be overwhelmingly made up of Christians. Dem Party is now 46% non-Christian, up from 25% in 2008. pewresearch.org/politics/?p=20…
Love this @pewresearch chart. 1980s kids (older millennials) have moved a bit away from the Democratic Party over a 20 year window. The 1990s kids (young millennials/old gen z-ers) meanwhile have not moved at all.
New Pew report on party identification just dropped -> remember, young voters breaking more heavily Dem than their elders is a 2000s onward phenomenon, not "how it always has been" pewresearch.org/politics/2024/…
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Read more here: thebaltimorebanner.com/community/loca…
Lockered Gahs walked into Loyola Blakefield carrying the boots he wore when he served with the 42nd Infantry Division that liberated the Dachau concentration camp. He will turn 100 in June, the last man alive of the 165 infantrymen. Read more @BaltimoreBanner by @rkobell
Kudos @margbrennan
RATINGS: @FaceTheNation with @margbrennan wins as the #1 Sunday morning public affairs program across the board on Sunday, April 21. 🏆
my first column for @zeteo_news: how cancer changed my perspective on the threat to democracy zeteo.com/p/how-cancer-c…
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My @Yankees took the first step today toward winning 162 games. A little too optimistic on my part, do you think?
I will never understand these “While we didn’t agree on everything” statements when someone dies. Does anyone agree with someone 100% of the time? A good man died, that’s what’s important.
He led the life he was destined to lead--a life in the arena...and for all the rough and tumble of politics, for all the serious disputes and conflicts, he never lost his civility and good nature...
Statement from the family of Senator Joseph I. Lieberman NEW YORK, NY -- The family of Senator Joseph I. Lieberman issued the following statement today: "Former United States Senator Joseph I. Lieberman died this afternoon, March 27, 2024, in New York City due to complications…
On Sunday April 21, I hope to see you at the Kensington Day of the Book Festival. There'll be readings, live music, authors galore, kids' events, and copies of The Unmooring available. dayofthebook.com
If you listen to most discourse about Christianity and rural areas, you would think every person in the pews is a rabid Christian nationalist. Yet a new poll reveals very limited support for Christian nationalist beliefs, writes @nataliemj10 (unlocked) njour.nl/s/724519?unloc…
Tip from an Atlantic insider: the correct way to read this list is to immediately ⌘F, search for the title of your favorite novel, and then tweet angrily when you see it isn't there theatlantic.com/books/archive/…
Mouths of babes: Two of the smartest people on Congress haven't graduated college yet. Please read @WakeUp2Politics for backstory on discovering best Congress parliamentary expert is ... a 20-year-old in college 250~ miles north of London. Super smart. wakeuptopolitics.com/march-11-2024/…
This might help explain the lower than usual poll numbers that some are touting as reason SOTU might not matter - Fox News hate watchers. It would be a mistake to assume the population of SOTU watchers is static over time, making time-series comparisons highly questionable.
Joe Biden's State of the Union address drew 27.7 million viewers across nine networks, signaling a boost in total audience from last year, according to early Nielsen numbers -- Fox News topped all networks, drawing 5.64 million Final @nielsen estimate still to come…
It's a lovely weather day in DC so of course I'm going to spend it inside yelling indiscriminately about how a temporary lapse in appropriations is not the same as a shutdown.
ITS CIAA WEEK IN CHARM CITY: Baltimore welcomes 13 HBCU’s and more than 100,000 fans for the 3rd time hosting the premier HBCU basketball tournament - it’s expected to bring a more than $30 million dollar impact to the city. #CIAAweekend #CIAA #hbcupride @wjz @CIAACommish…
The problem is people slam us as partisan. I do work for Dems, but it's not a partisan argument - it's a common sense argument. If Biden were leading, the same caveats would apply - but we wouldn't have the media circus, because Biden leading wouldn't be a story.
There are two camps right now: • Pundits like Ezra Klein, Matt Yglesias & Nate Silver that are freaking out about Biden’s prospects bc of polls • People that know polling inside & out like @nataliemj10 & @gelliottmorris that saying not to put much stock into polls this early
Rubenstein, Burnes, Ledo. O’s are on an absolute heater this week.
JUST IN: Ledo Pizza signs multi-year sponsorship agreement with The Baltimore @Orioles !
I’ll be impressed only if he built the People Movers also. (Oh, and to be accurate, his Lego Dulles needs to be placed somewhere really inconvenient.) But for real… this is awesome.
It took him 6 months and 50,000 Lego pieces - but Richard Paules from Petworth built a replica of @Dulles_Airport. Well the Airport bought it and it goes on display tomorrow! More on @nbcwashington tonight
Long time followers will know that I have strong feelings about early exits. But I am about to talk on air on CNN about them and am SO glad @DavidChalian and @JohnKingCNN teed them up with ALL the cautious disclaimers. Tread carefully with early exits!!!
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