WNBA’s BEST BET🏀
Georgia Amoore U 7.5 Points
(-107 DK)
9/30 Prop #1
Time for our annual fade Amoore night.
Looking back on the film, Washington’s Head Coach looks like he’s going to favor more into his big, lengthy lineup instead of a 5’6 PG in Amoore. More of McMahon and BLH to take Amoore’s minutes.
Georgia finished last game with 8 points shooting 3/8 from the field and no 4Q mins (24 mins total). The majority of her shots were defended well, just the ball found its way in the basket.
I’m going to gamble that the ball doesn’t go her way much often and that she sees less than 22 minutes tonight.
Sonia didn’t play bad running the point in the 2nd half also.
Atlanta on their offensive head had Canada having her way isolating Amoore in the first half. If Amoore’s 3pt isn’t producing, I think HC Johnson will be desperate and pull in more BLH and McMahon minutes.
WNBA’s BEST BET🏀
Breanna Stewart O 3.5 Assists
(-130 DK)
9/29 Prop #1
Stew dominated Minnesota in Game 1 recording 34 points and 6 assists. Looking back at the replay, Collier did a very good job contesting her tight. MIN’s defense was more focused on the ball-handling guards
WNBA’s BEST BET🏀
Breanna Stewart O 3.5 Assists
(-130 DK)
9/29 Prop #1
Stew dominated Minnesota in Game 1 recording 34 points and 6 assists. Looking back at the replay, Collier did a very good job contesting her tight. MIN’s defense was more focused on the ball-handling guards in PnR action than Stew. Even with that, Stew still dished out 6 assists on 10 potentials.
This is a 3 game series so win-or-go home tonight. I’m confident that Stew is going to see tighter coverage from the defense, and Phee especially, and make others knock down their shots. Once again, Stew had 6 asts off 10 pot despite 18 FGAs and 12 FTAs.
NFL MNF’s BEST BET🏈
Makai Lemon O 24.5 Receiving Yards / 15.5 Longest Reception
(-137 DK) / (-120 DK)
Week 3 Prop #1 & #2
I’m here for a potential breakout game for the first round pick in Lemon. Philly is missing 3 TEs including their 2nd option in Goedert. Last week vs TEN,
NFL MNF’s BEST BET🏈
Kalif Raymond U 13.5 Longest Reception
(-112 DK)
Week 3 Prop #3
Raymond statistics wise has been the Bears’ WR1. Now I think this is a good spot to fade this specific prop. First, I’m expecting Chicago to rely on the run heavy just to see if they can repeat that dominant performance from last season. If so, we’re going to see heavy formations which is going to decrease Raymond’s snap usage.
Even if not, I like Kmet to see the field often to potentially buy Keenum more time to find his read in the pocket.
Most of Raymond’s routes this season has been more on the intermediate side (8-15 my version of intermediate lol). Philly likes to play a lot of match coverage where they pre-snap zone then flip to man once a receiver picks their direction. Raymond has not looked explosive from his breaks in these 2 games.
He are his big plays so far:
vs CAR
28 yd catch (Caleb breaks the pocket)
12 yd catch 2x
vs MIN [blitz heavy]
16 yd catch (11 yds after)
Philly has always been an elite tackling defense. The defense should try and get after a pocket-sitting backup QB to limit any time to set up big plays. I think Kalif takes a big hit.
NFL MNF’s BEST BET🏈
Makai Lemon O 24.5 Receiving Yards / 15.5 Longest Reception
(-137 DK) / (-120 DK)
Week 3 Prop #1 & #2
I’m here for a potential breakout game for the first round pick in Lemon. Philly is missing 3 TEs including their 2nd option in Goedert. Last week vs TEN, Makai’s line ended at 25.5 and we secured a 24.5 line with Goedert out (insane value).
Eagles haven’t faced a man coverage focus defense yet this season. Tonight will be the first. Chicago in Wk1 gave up a ton of slot production vs CAR in McMillan and Coker. The middle of the field over the LBs has looked very sweet.
This is the best shot to get Lemon going tonight. Lemon last week recorded the most routes from the slot. He managed to see just 1 target, 1 catch for 14 yards against MAN!
Now this offense is more prepared and we should see more flex formations.
Philly’s run game doesn’t look like a good matchup as Chicago has actually performed well in zone schemes.
I expect Hurts to see 26-27 pass attempts minimum and a close rigid game.
NFL Week 3 Recap
Jaylen Warren O 24.5 Rec Yards✅
Davante Adams U 5.5 Receptions❌
David Montgomery O 11.5 Rush Attempts🪝
Jahmyr Gibbs O 17.5 Longest Rush🪝
Had some extremely bad beats with the Sunday slate. Had like 5 more hooks and a few more losses in premium. Few more wins also but altogether a bad day.
Ready to stop a few blood spots for MNF tonight
NFL SUNDAY’s BEST BET🏈
Jaylen Warren O 24.5 Receiving Yards
(-128 FD)
Week 3 Prop #1
Dowdle is out. Warren takes the full-time role today vs CIN.
I was high on CIN’s defense this season and they’re not disappointing as of now with a solid performance against the run so far.
NFL SNF’s BEST BET🏈
Davante Adams U 5.5 Receptions
(-102 FD)
Week 3 Prop #5
Puka is out, meaning we’re going to see more 13 personnel to establish the run game. Denver’s run defense has been very poor so far and matchup-wise, LA should have success on the ground tonight.
With Puka out, that lessens the threat outside so there’s a chance Surtain shadows Adams much often.
Davante struggled against man coverage last season with a massive drop from 2.1 to 1.43 YPRR.
McVay’s play-calling gets elite at times. So instead of taking yards under, I really like U 5.5 a lot more.
Surtain should travel
NFL SUNDAY’s BEST BET🏈
Jahmyr Gibbs O 17.5 Longest Rush
(-120 DK)
Week 3 Prop #4
Gibbs heavy usage continues vs NYJ. Luckily, they had a couple days of extra rest from their Wk 2 TNF game.
Gibbs will always be in a good spot to breakout a run anytime.
NYJ is currently leading the league in Cover 2 usage. That’s light boxes against the run and they have given up 13 and 10 longest runs to Pollard and Spears in limited attempts, 12 longest to Kaleb in limited attempts.
Gibbs is going to see 14+ on the ground as the floor. I think he’s subject to break a couple of runs out. He faced a Buffalo defense that loaded the box and he came out with a 16 yard rush. I believe he had a couple that was called back, he might’ve covered if it wasn’t called back.
Against NO, he had a 21, 18, 15, 11, and 10 longest rush.
NFL SUNDAY’s BEST BET🏈
David Montgomery O 11.5 Rush Attempts
(-127 Novig)
Week 3 Prop #3
12.5 is good as well‼️
I think Monty should see heavy usage today. First off, being down 0-3 and losing to a division team will be a bad start to the season. Trust the ground game and play defense. They have no downfield targets with Pierce out.
HOU’s objective on DEF should sell out to Taylor and force Jones to play QB.
If so, I love HOU’s offensive chances on getting the ball in favorable positions. I think Monty’s WK1 performance of 20 carries is on board today. No Nico facing against a talented Corner duo and ball-hawking safety duo.
HOU is a man gap rush offense. IND is ranked 7th worst defending the scheme and they struggle in primarily B-C gaps.
Monty is an inside rusher so this is a good matchup for him to chunk 3-4 yards nearly everytime.
This game shouldn’t run away from the Texans so I expect the run to be a factor almost every possession.
Texans RBs last season vs IND:
Marks 19 carries Chubb 9 carries
Marks 10 carries Brooks 13 carries
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