David Keller, CMT @DKellerCMT
@StockCharts Chief Market Strategist, President @ Sierra Alpha Research, @CNBC Contributor. Former Fidelity, Bloomberg. For educational purposes only. marketmisbehavior.com Redmond, WA Joined February 2017-
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It is remarkable that a science which began with the consideration of games of chance should have become the most important object of human knowledge. Marquis de Laplace
Always be a first-rate version of yourself, instead of a second-rate version of somebody else. Judy Garland
It is the prohibition that makes anything precious. Mark Twain
Many of us economists who believe in efficiency do so because we view markets as amazingly successful devices for reflecting new information rapidly and, for the most part, accurately. Burton Malkiel
Yesterday, three stocks opened higher and closed lower. While technically not a candle pattern I would label, it does speak to the short-term reaction to initial optimism. Traders selling strength after the initial bounce! Not bullish for $V $STLD $ENPH.
Choppiness after a #Bitcoin halving is pretty normal, while the 6-12 month picture post-halving is usually quite bullish! For now, I'm labeling this a basing pattern with resistance around March high 74K and support at the 38.2% retracement level around 60K. Follow momentum!
The difficulty lies, not in the new ideas, but in escaping from the old ones. John Maynard Keynes
Energy sector still holding above *the* support level, which served as resistance in 2022 and 2023. For now, appears to be setting up with a classic technical pattern of breaking out, then pullback to the breakout level before resuming uptrend. $XLE h/t @BretKenwell @eToroUS
In a bullish phase, stocks like $MSTR will tend to find support around an ascending 50-day moving average, with the RSI bottoming out around 40. Will that hold true in April 2024?
How important is the S&P 500 gaining a foothold above the 5050 level?
The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they know about what they imagine they can design. Friedrich Hayek
Almost all of us should act as if prices are right. Kenneth French
The market is smarter than we are and no matter how smart we get, the market will always be smarter than we are. Kenneth French
A ship is safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for. William G.T. Shedd
Creation is a drug I can’t do without. Cecil B. DeMille
On today's #TheFinalBar, join @DKellerCMT and @GraysonRoze as they run through top 10 charts to watch in April 2024! Together they'll cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more. Names include $COP, $GDX, & more. youtu.be/_gAX45b5rNo
Me last week: "As long as $AMZN and $NFLX remain above the 50-day moving average, you can make an argument for 'short-term pullback' as opposed to 'protracted and painful decline.' Me today: 👀
I think it is much more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers that might be wrong… In order to make progress, one must leave the door to the unknown ajar. Richard Feynman
Ready to talk market breadth indicators? Our next free webinar "Breaking Down Breadth" will focus on breadth conditions now vs. previous market tops. Tuesday, April 23 at 1pm ET. Join me, won't you? marketmisbehavior.com/breadth
$HD oversold as it tests the 200-day moving average, which happens to line up with major highs in 2023. Is this the pivot point where $HD finally finds support?
Helene Meisler @hmeisler
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@DKellerCMT I sent this to my players that are interested in the markets #crossfire #redmond youtu.be/CC3OwNYuJ6I?si…
On today's #TheFinalBar, join @DKellerCMT and @GraysonRoze as they run through top 10 charts to watch in April 2024! Together they'll cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more. Names include $COP, $GDX, & more. youtu.be/_gAX45b5rNo
Yesterday, I joined @DKellerCMT on @StockCharts to discuss potential $NFLX & $TSM moves along with post-earnings reactions. Check out his show below 👇👇 youtu.be/ecLPpeq-yM0?si…
My Mom died a year ago tonight (in about three hours). I held her hand as she took her final breath. With all the news happening right now, be nice to each other out there.
Joining @tradertvshawn coming up right after the close. I decided to play $NFLX with butterflies going both directions...let's grab some popcorn and see how this plays out!
Happy Thurrsday Traders! In 30 MINS❗️Join #MarketsRecap insights with @tradertvshawn & @traderDanielle reviewing BIG Drop in $NFLX Earnings! $MU Pop and Drop, $TSLA Keeps Falling!🤩 + lots of potential trading opportunities 💸🤩 #TradersStayLate Available Now Everywhere…
Grok...fan of the CMTs...my opinion is improving... cc @DKellerCMT
The biggest question now is this for $SPX: 🔴 Was yesterday’s bearish engulfing pattern more like 7/27/23, which led to the 11% correction over the ensuing three months? Or… 🟢 Will it turn into something like the 12/20/23 version, which now is undetectable within the…
Listen to our conversation about $FXF @DKellerCMT youtu.be/wBsEc3fiLW0?si… via @YouTube
On today's #TheFinalBar, guest @OptionsSean shares his outlook for $ARKK and $XLE and how to employ options strategies to bet on particular outcomes. Host @DKellerCMT tracks the afternoon selloff and bearish candlestick patterns for $META, $NFLX, & more. youtu.be/CKeW6fUghT0
@FinalBarSCTV with @DKellerCMT on @StockChartsTV Dave starts w/ a great market review-then we talk about 3 instruments you don’t hear about everyday! Thanks Dave! Happy Birthday! 🎉🎊 youtu.be/wBsEc3fiLW0?si…
Talked $TAN with @DKellerCMT yesterday. youtu.be/wBsEc3fiLW0?si…
@DKellerCMT is looking for trouble spots but plans to ride the wave until he sees them, Jonathan Treussard sees a chance the Fed declares victory, and Tom Martin of Globalt talks earnings-driven stock-picking in the #MoneyLifeMarketCall.
Thank you to everyone who values my work and helped me get this recognition from @YouTube
On today's #TheFinalBar, host @DKellerCMT highlights charts breaking above resistance, including $GLD, $FCX, and more. He then interviews @buffdormeier of @kingsviewim, who shows how he uses RSI, MFI, and more to assess volume. youtu.be/3UjOHQYNT8s
It's an evolving market, with new leaders replacing old ones. See what @DKellerCMT had to say about that in this week's @MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast here... Beyond the Mag 7: Stocks, Sectors, & Strategies for a Broader Market wit... youtu.be/IPeVr-MaWDY?si… via @YouTube
Here is my latest update with Dave Keller @DKellerCMT of The Final Bar, recorded at the close last night 3/27/74. I think the market is positioned for even stronger performance in the 2nd Qtr than what we just experienced in the 1st Qtr. youtube.com/watch?v=CMKSWU…
There’s Huge Power In Journalling. But Journaling doesn’t have to be complex or time-consuming. In ‘Mastering the Mental Game of Trading’ I introduce the concept of the simple 331 Journal. Each day or week if you prefer (or both), note:: - 3 things you did well! - 3 things…
Great night with the @CMTAssociation discussing @Convertbond’s latest book - How to Listen When Markets Speak. Book available 3/26.
@CPBrownCapital @FinalBarSCTV @DKellerCMT Appreciate kind words; plan is to expand on those concepts in this weekend's video. Enjoy your day.
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