Seth Golden @SethCL
I specialize in VIX, Retail, Consumer Goods. Hedge fund consultant, chief market strategist Finom Group finomgroup.com Ocala, FL Joined May 2012-
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ISM Prices Paid increase from increases in commodity prices. The report details crude oil, plastics, aluminum and steel.. all higher. Only declines: raw materials prices were in beverages and tobacco. #CPI #inflation #ISM
Why has $SPX likely NOT topped for 2024? Since 1980, only 1 other time has the top for the year been made in March, just ONCE! Just 2% of the time. 81% of tops are made in January or Q4 periods. $SPY $QQQ $DIA $NDX @DataTrekMB
Longest bond bear market since 1980s, nearly 3X longer than former longest bear market. 📢Now, imagine if you could go back in time and buy $SPX 666 in 2009? Discuss... $SPY $QQQ $TLT $DIA
BofA/Merrill Lynch "Risk assets... have historically fared better during longer Fed pauses. In previous periods when the Fed was on hold > than 100 days, the S&P 500 gained +13% on average, compared to the average negative return for $SPX during shorter periods" $SPY $QQQ $DIA
From within this past weekend's Research Report "..in between phase is part of a recovery cycle.. but doesn’t offer an edge to bulls or bears. As hinted toward previously; do you think it was a mistake that $SPX failed to finish at or above 5100 in favor of 5099" $SPY $QQQ $DIA
The last and only other time the $SPX was up 10%+ YTD in Q1 and fell 3%+ in April? 1936. But then, in 1936, SPX rallied 4.6% in May and 24.8% for the remainder of the year. 📢1936: Q1: +11.1% 📢April: -7.7% 💯May: +4.6% 💰May-Dec: +24.8% $SPY $QQQ $DIA @bespokeinvest
U.S. economy is as close to stagflation as I am dating Angelina Jolie. 😱 Time to stop arguing for the nonsensical stagflation, and start putting in a good word your boy 😉 #economy #GDP #Macro #inflation
Me thinks you must be a better politician to your clients. How much are you charging again Jeffrey? Is this a conversation about who's the better thief?
Me thinks you must be a better politician to your clients. How much are you charging again Jeffrey? Is this a conversation about who's the better thief? https://t.co/bYSnPZk9aJ
I think i speak for all the intelligent bulls when I say... "Come on sh_ _ _ y 💩 economic data!"
We don't stop at the closing bell 🔕 $SOXL long from $35.79 sold $36.22 after hours. You can trade/invest with us finomgroup.com Learn our market outperforming strategies! $SPX $SMH $SOXX $QQQ $NDX $NVDA
We don't stop at the closing bell 🔕 $SOXL long from $35.79 sold $36.22 after hours. You can trade/invest with us finomgroup.com Learn our market outperforming strategies! $SPX $SMH $SOXX $QQQ $NDX $NVDA https://t.co/mDNvj2loc5
Part 1 of 2: I do declare The market did not top in Q1 2024 (I'll see you here for Part 2 next month) $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA $IWM
All day, every day! 📢💯 Short $VXX from $13.44 covered $13.30. You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com $SVIX $UVXY $SPX $SPY $VVIX $NDX $VIX
All day, every day! 📢💯 Short $VXX from $13.44 covered $13.30. You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com $SVIX $UVXY $SPX $SPY $VVIX $NDX $VIX https://t.co/TGwFwqu4Jz
And another winner! 💯💰 Short $VXX from $13.23 covered $13.09. You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com $SVIX $UVXY $SPX $SPY $VVIX $NDX $VIX
And another winner! 💯💰 Short $VXX from $13.23 covered $13.09. You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com $SVIX $UVXY $SPX $SPY $VVIX $NDX $VIX https://t.co/4pL8fgu4LI
#PayPal much more tradable with raised guidance! Long trade around core $68.95 sold $69.64. You can trade with us at FinomGroup.com $QQQ $SQ $NDX $SPX $SPY
#PayPal much more tradable with raised guidance! Long trade around core $68.95 sold $69.64. You can trade with us at FinomGroup.com $QQQ $SQ $NDX $SPX $SPY https://t.co/8zpHirrElO
Jim Paulsen: "U.S. commodity price index has essentially been flat for the last 16 months. What’s not to like about 3% real GDP growth and trendless commodity prices? Hmm, healthy real growth without inflationary pressure." #inflation #CPI
JPM Cembalest: #Tesla Model 2, Semi, and Alienating Democrat vote "Model 2 production will reportedly benefit from gigacasting that casts large parts of car’s body in one piece (reducing the number of metal pieces from 171 to 2 and requiring 1,600 fewer welds)" $SPX $QQQ $TSLA
Morgan Stanley: $QQQ $AMZN $SPX “Our Cloud Capex Tracker now points to an even more robust 44% Y/Y growth in 2024 following earnings reports from $META $MSFT and $GOOGL (vs. +26% Y/Y prior) ..strongest Cloud Capex SUPER-cycle since 2018.”
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How did I develop the right trading psychology? I developed faith in my system and myself to execute it with proper position sizing and discipline.
ISM Prices Paid increase from increases in commodity prices. The report details crude oil, plastics, aluminum and steel.. all higher. Only declines: raw materials prices were in beverages and tobacco. #CPI #inflation #ISM
Like a kid before Christmas🎄 day, I pull up my phone daily waiting for the status of my @Tesla $TSLA #Cybertruck to change.
market history > market axiom "sell in May & go away" Since 1985, after 1st quarter positive (2024 ✔️) and April negative (2024✔️), May has produced an up month 71% of time. Market also experienced gain of ~2-3% for the May to year-end period. h/t the original OG @fundstrat 💪
Why has $SPX likely NOT topped for 2024? Since 1980, only 1 other time has the top for the year been made in March, just ONCE! Just 2% of the time. 81% of tops are made in January or Q4 periods. $SPY $QQQ $DIA $NDX @DataTrekMB
Longest bond bear market since 1980s, nearly 3X longer than former longest bear market. 📢Now, imagine if you could go back in time and buy $SPX 666 in 2009? Discuss... $SPY $QQQ $TLT $DIA
BofA/Merrill Lynch "Risk assets... have historically fared better during longer Fed pauses. In previous periods when the Fed was on hold > than 100 days, the S&P 500 gained +13% on average, compared to the average negative return for $SPX during shorter periods" $SPY $QQQ $DIA
The last and only other time the $SPX was up 10%+ YTD in Q1 and fell 3%+ in April? 1936. But then, in 1936, SPX rallied 4.6% in May and 24.8% for the remainder of the year. 📢1936: Q1: +11.1% 📢April: -7.7% 💯May: +4.6% 💰May-Dec: +24.8% $SPY $QQQ $DIA @bespokeinvest
U.S. economy is as close to stagflation as I am dating Angelina Jolie. 😱 Time to stop arguing for the nonsensical stagflation, and start putting in a good word your boy 😉 #economy #GDP #Macro #inflation
Me thinks you must be a better politician to your clients. How much are you charging again Jeffrey? Is this a conversation about who's the better thief?
Dear President Biden: Please address the American people explaining your position on chaos at Universities, war in Ukraine, war in Gaza and the US debt interest expense problem. What are the available solutions? Which solutions will you pursue? Sincerely, Jeffrey Gundlach
Same conclusion via net new highs. March 2024 was probably not a cyclical top.
March 2024 was probably not a cyclical top given absence of key divergences. This doesn’t preclude further downside, however, perhaps into May/June election-year trough.
I think i speak for all the intelligent bulls when I say... "Come on sh_ _ _ y 💩 economic data!"
The US Bond Market has now been in a drawdown for 45 months, by far the longest bond bear market in history.
We don't stop at the closing bell 🔕 $SOXL long from $35.79 sold $36.22 after hours. You can trade/invest with us finomgroup.com Learn our market outperforming strategies! $SPX $SMH $SOXX $QQQ $NDX $NVDA
You see me do this daily! another winner 🥇 $SOXL long from $34.70 sold $35.07. You can trade/invest with us finomgroup.com Learn our market outperforming strategies! $SPX $SMH $SOXX $QQQ $NDX $NVDA
From within this past weekend's Research Report "..in between phase is part of a recovery cycle.. but doesn’t offer an edge to bulls or bears. As hinted toward previously; do you think it was a mistake that $SPX failed to finish at or above 5100 in favor of 5099" $SPY $QQQ $DIA
AWS $AMZN revenue growth accelerated to 17% in Q1, up from 13% in Q4 and ahead of consensus for 15%. Operating income for AWS rose 84% YoY to $9.4B, up from 39% growth in Q4.
Part 1 of 2: I do declare The market did not top in Q1 2024 (I'll see you here for Part 2 next month) $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA $IWM
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