Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

Your daily guide to markets, data and disruption. Start a 2-week FREE trial on our site to receive one of Wall Street's most followed daily market commentaries! datatrekresearch.com New York, NY Joined November 2017

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Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

6 hours ago

The dollar strengthened noticeably last week, +0.7/+0.5 pct against baskets of developed/emerging market currencies. This allowed the S&P 500 to broadly outperform ROW in dollar terms.

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Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

6 hours ago

Fed Funds Futures continue to put the highest odds on 2 rate cuts later this year and 1-2 more in 1H 2026.

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Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

7 hours ago

Thanks to market expectations for continued low stock price volatility, investors can relatively cheaply hedge against a +10% drop in the S&P/NAS/Russell through year end. As the old options desk saying goes, “it’s much cheaper to buy insurance when no one thinks they need it”.

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Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

8 hours ago

US High Yield corporate bond spreads are near – but not through – their lows from earlier this year and continue to reflect strong confidence in the US economy and future corporate earnings.

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Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

4 days ago

Last week saw another new high for the S&P 500 and another week of mutual fund/ETF redemptions out of US equities. This part of the retail investor universe remains cautious, which is a contrarian bullish signal.

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Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

4 days ago

Since the start of 2024, when the VIX closes at/above 19.5 (its long run average) the S&P rallies by an average of 2.2 pct over the next month with a win rate of 82 pct. If we do get a selloff soon, that is the VIX level to watch for signs of a reasonable entry point.

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Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

5 days ago

Despite all the buzz about Federal budget deficits and the dollar losing its reserve currency status, long-term Treasury yields are lower year to date, both in absolute and relative terms versus other major economy sovereign debt.

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Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) @DataTrekMB

5 days ago

DataTrek: "While valuations are unquestionably high, the simultaneous tailwinds of positive earnings revisions and expected Fed rate cuts have been enough to keep stock prices moving higher." @philrosenn @Inc @ReadOpeningBell inc.com/phil-rosen/sto…