John P. Hussman, Ph.D. @hussmanjp
Philanthropist. Finance, economics, public policy, neuroscience, genomics, and a 6-string. Realistic optimist often mistaken for prophet of doom. hussman.com Maryland Joined May 2009-
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"It's funny 'cause it's true." - Homer Simpson
There is no distinction between the observation that valuations are at record highs and the observation that value investors are jackasses and passive investing is for winners. Reality sets in later.
Well, yeah, but stocks also add growth in fundamentals* * assuming prices grow in line with fundamentals, which they will, if valuations (price/fundamentals) remain at a permanently high plateau forever, and never decline, ever.
Well, yeah, but stocks also add growth in fundamentals* * assuming prices grow in line with fundamentals, which they will, if valuations (price/fundamentals) remain at a permanently high plateau forever, and never decline, ever. https://t.co/8Zvs8tJC3A
thought you'd enjoy this @EpsilonTheory
thought you'd enjoy this @EpsilonTheory
not "nothing" "The present moment is the only moment available to us, and it is the door to all moments. The future is made up only of one substance, and it is the present moment. The best way to take care of the future is to take care of the present moment." - Thich Nhat Hanh
not "nothing" "The present moment is the only moment available to us, and it is the door to all moments. The future is made up only of one substance, and it is the present moment. The best way to take care of the future is to take care of the present moment." - Thich Nhat Hanh
@nickgiva1 "I don't remember Volker..." Little known fact. There is no "dual mandate". Those are just operational "goals" of the only actual mandate, which is what comes directly after the word "shall" in the statute... x.com/hussmanjp/stat…
@nickgiva1 "I don't remember Volker..." Little known fact. There is no "dual mandate". Those are just operational "goals" of the only actual mandate, which is what comes directly after the word "shall" in the statute... x.com/hussmanjp/stat…
When the Fed buys bonds, it pays by creating liabilities: monetary base (MB = bank reserves + currency) or "reverse repurchases" (RRP w/money market funds). They pay 5.4% today, not zero. It matters. Other than a pop after SIVB, total is falling, mostly RRP, while MB has varied.
When the Fed buys bonds, it pays by creating liabilities: monetary base (MB = bank reserves + currency) or "reverse repurchases" (RRP w/money market funds). They pay 5.4% today, not zero. It matters. Other than a pop after SIVB, total is falling, mostly RRP, while MB has varied. https://t.co/G4Fmk9RdVV
Grantham: "If you want a long bull market, you need high unemployment, depressed margins, and depressed P/Es. It’s beautiful double-counting - multiplying depressed earnings by a low P/E. Multiplying peak earnings by a high P/E, which we’re doing today, is also double jeopardy."
Grantham: "If you want a long bull market, you need high unemployment, depressed margins, and depressed P/Es. It’s beautiful double-counting - multiplying depressed earnings by a low P/E. Multiplying peak earnings by a high P/E, which we’re doing today, is also double jeopardy."
Do they have a communication device or communication cards with them at all times? Do they have an accessible way to say “no” or “something else?” Are they given the time and space to communicate their choice? Can choices be built into their daily schedule more intentionally?
The stock market presently stands at valuation extremes matched only twice in U.S. financial history: the week ended December 31, 2021, and the week ended August 26, 1929. hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc2403… via @hussmanjp
Euphoria and complacency cranking to a double top 👀
Extreme valuations, extreme glamour stock concentration, extreme market cap as a ratio to GDP, and extreme equity holdings as a share of household assets are all facets of the same disco ball. 🪩
Extreme valuations, extreme glamour stock concentration, extreme market cap as a ratio to GDP, and extreme equity holdings as a share of household assets are all facets of the same disco ball. 🪩 https://t.co/WPYDYpENPd
happy world autism acceptance day! acceptance --> inclusion --> belonging #worldautismday
One option - loving others, including those who have felt different and out of their skin for as long as they can remember. As Jesus taught, not to judge, not to condemn, but to love as he loved, because his teachings are never diminished, even on Easter, by grace or compassion.
One option - loving others, including those who have felt different and out of their skin for as long as they can remember. As Jesus taught, not to judge, not to condemn, but to love as he loved, because his teachings are never diminished, even on Easter, by grace or compassion.
Transitions can be difficult for kids with autism. To ease a transition, offer them help with getting started. This could mean offering a tangible item that they can use to get started, or completing the first step of the assignment with them.
New comment is up! 🐳 Universal Capitulation and No Margin of Safety hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc2403…
When you mark your assets at face value rather than market value, pay hundreds of billions of interest to banks on the deranged volume of liabilities you've created, plan to keep $158bn that normally goes to the Treasury, but assure the public you've been audited. @federalreserve
When you mark your assets at face value rather than market value, pay hundreds of billions of interest to banks on the deranged volume of liabilities you've created, plan to keep $158bn that normally goes to the Treasury, but assure the public you've been audited. @federalreserve https://t.co/YpM7vk0ifw
Another banger from @hussmanjp, rich with data and uncommon sense. 👇🏼
Another banger from @hussmanjp, rich with data and uncommon sense. 👇🏼 https://t.co/IkSX505Fjb
Jim Bianco @biancoresearch
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1K Followers 383 Following Diligence/Quality of earnings consultant | SMB owner/investor@hussmanjp Narrator (in Morgan Freeman voice): But there weren’t going to be any future cash flows…and Jerome knew that
@hussmanjp Exactly what I was referring to!
Yoga Connections – Virtual Join us TODAY: April 27 @ 3:30 pm - 4:30 pm Virtual by Zoom All ages are welcome! This activity is made possible through a grant from The Hussman Foundation. Click here to access the one-time registration form: buff.ly/3s5LZU8
So, where are you as you begin the week? Knowing your location - and its impact on your preferences, decisions, actions, and stories - can help you improve your choices, especially when you are at or near the four corners.
This is one of the craziest videos I’ve ever seen. Harry Mack is incredible.
This is how movie productions used to fake horseback riding, 1963
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U.S. Debt Interest Payments Reach $1 Trillion visualcapitalist.com/u-s-debt-inter… by @VisualCap
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The TINY (#thereisnoyeild) market means that you can now get almost 4x the yield in Treasury Bills rather than US Large Cap stocks...in the last 100 years has only ever been the case in the Tech Bubble years
From the world of TINA "There Is No Alternative" to the TINY (There is No Yield) world... Many thanks to @johnauthers for highlighting our recent comments in his excellent @opinion piece today. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… via @opinion
@pickover I'm thinking those particles are all equal masses, but not certain.
Mathematics, physics, science fiction. Shiver in delight and mystery. 20 examples of periodic solutions to the Three-Body Problem. Source (Perosello/Wikimedia): bit.ly/3w2bH26
@elonmusk There were 775 million cases worldwide. 1.18 million deaths in the U.S. alone. 7 million deaths around the world. Not enough for you?
@fernando_d98033 @fermatslibrary e is the base of natural logarithms calculated as the limit of (1 + 1/n)^n as n goes to infinity